Samsara Inc. (IOT) AI Stock Analysis

NYSE: IOTAI research summary: business, growth, valuation, analysts, bull and bear case.

IOT AI stock analysis summary

AI Research

Samsara Inc. (IOT) is an infrastructure software company providing the Connected Operations Cloud for physical operations. In FY2026, revenue increased 29.6% to $1.62B while free cash flow reached $207.4M. The company maintains a strong liquidity position with $828.9M in cash and short-term investments alongside a net cash balance of $759.4M.

Market cap
$23.17B
Revenue (TTM)
$1.85B
P/E
282.6x
fwd 52.4x
1Y return
8.6%
S&P 500 16.8%
Avg. target
$52.07
31.6% vs last close

Bull case

  • Revenue grew 29.6% in FY2026 to $1.62B, supported by a 5-year revenue CAGR of 45.3%.
  • Free cash flow reached $207.4M in FY2026, rising from $111.5M in FY2025.
  • The company maintains a strong liquidity profile with $759.4M in net cash and a current ratio of 1.62 as of July 31, 2026.

Bear case

  • Valuation multiples remain elevated, with a trailing P/E of 282.6x and forward P/E of 52.4x compared to the US-listed Technology peers median of 28.1x and 18.8x.
  • Samsara reported an annual net loss of -$9.1M in FY2026 and an operating margin of -3.2%.
  • The stock returned 8.6% over the past year, lagging the S&P 500 return of 16.8%.

What Samsara does

Samsara Inc. provides solutions that integrate physical operations data into its Connected Operations Cloud for domestic and international clients. Its core offering is the Data Platform, which ingests, aggregates, and enriches data from IoT devices with AI-driven insights, workflows, analytics, real-time alerts, and API integrations. The company offers applications including video-based safety, vehicle telematics, driver workflow mobile applications, equipment monitoring, and site visibility. These solutions serve industries such as transportation and logistics, construction, field services, utilities, healthcare, education, manufacturing, retail trade, and food and beverage.

Growth and profitability

Samsara's revenue grew from $428.3M in FY2022 to $652.5M in FY2023, $937.4M in FY2024, $1.25B in FY2025, and $1.62B in FY2026, delivering a 5-year revenue CAGR of 45.3%. Annual revenue growth was 29.6% in FY2026. Gross margin expanded from 70.9% in FY2022 to 76.7% in FY2026. Operating margin improved from -82.3% in FY2022 to -3.2% in FY2026, while net income improved from -$355.0M to -$9.1M over the same period. For the latest quarter ended July 31, 2026, quarterly revenue growth was 29.9% year-over-year, and trailing twelve months revenue reached $1.85B with an operating margin of 1.0% and profit margin of 4.9%.

IOT income statement →

Balance sheet and cash flow

As of July 31, 2026, Samsara held $828.9M in cash and short-term investments and total debt of $69.5M, leaving a net cash position of $759.4M. Its current ratio stood at 1.62 and debt-to-equity ratio was 0.04 against shareholders' equity of $1.60B. For FY2026, operating cash flow reached $236.2M and free cash flow was $207.4M. Capital expenditures for FY2026 were $28.8M, while share issuance totaled $30.9M.

IOT balance sheet →

Valuation and performance

Samsara trades at a trailing P/E of 282.6x and a forward P/E of 52.4x, well above the US-listed Technology peers median of 28.1x and 18.8x, respectively. Its price-to-sales multiple is 12.5x compared to the peer median of 2.8x, and its EV-to-revenue ratio is 12.1x with a market cap of $23.17B. Over the past year, Samsara shares gained 8.6%, trailing the S&P 500 (SPY) return of 16.8%, while its year-to-date return stood at 11.6%.

IOT key metrics →

What analysts expect

Wall Street coverage consists of 18 Strong Buy, 2 Buy, and 6 Hold recommendations, with no Sell or Strong Sell ratings. The mean price target is $52.07, representing a 31.6% upside compared to the last close of $39.57. For the fiscal year ending January 31, 2027, analysts estimate EPS of $0.77 and revenue of $2.05B. Samsara has beaten EPS estimates in each of the last 4 quarters, and its next earnings date is December 3, 2026.

IOT forecast and price target →

Key risks and what to watch

  • The company's share count increased 17.4% over 5 years, which could dilute existing shareholder value.
  • Short interest is notable, with short percent of float standing at 9.8%.
  • Revenue growth decelerated from 71.4% in FY2022 to 29.6% in FY2026.
  • The stock exhibits elevated price volatility relative to the broader market with a beta of 1.35.

AI-generated research summary. Written with AI from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 and checked so every figure matches that data. For information only, not investment advice. Disclaimer

About this IOT AI stock analysis

This page is an AI-written research summary of Samsara Inc. (IOT). The text was generated on October 30, 2026 from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 (company profile, annual results, latest balance sheet, valuation, price performance and analyst estimates). An automatic check rejects any draft that contains a figure not found in that data. It is not investment advice; verify figures on the linked tabs before making decisions.

Related: IOT income statement, IOT balance sheet, IOT key metrics, IOT analyst forecast, IOT chart. See the IOT stock overview for the latest quote and news.

IOT AI stock analysis FAQ

What does Samsara Inc. do?

Samsara Inc. operates the Connected Operations Cloud, which integrates physical operations data from IoT devices. It provides video-based safety, vehicle telematics, equipment monitoring, and site visibility applications for industries such as transportation, construction, and utilities.

Does Samsara pay a dividend?

Samsara does not pay a dividend. The company directs its capital toward operational growth, research and development expense ($344.6M in FY2026), and capital expenditures ($28.8M in FY2026).

What are Samsara's FY2027 analyst expectations?

For the fiscal year ending January 31, 2027, consensus estimates project revenue of $2.05B and an EPS of $0.77, representing estimated EPS growth of 37.7%.

What is Samsara's balance sheet position?

As of July 31, 2026, Samsara held $828.9M in cash and short-term investments against $69.5M in total debt, resulting in net cash of $759.4M and a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.04.

When is Samsara's next earnings release?

Samsara is scheduled to report its next quarterly financial results on December 3, 2026.

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