First Mid Bancshares, Inc. (FMBH) AI Stock Analysis

NASDAQ: FMBHAI research summary: business, growth, valuation, analysts, bull and bear case.

FMBH AI stock analysis summary

AI Research

First Mid Bancshares, Inc. (NASDAQ: FMBH) is a regional financial holding company providing community banking, wealth management, and insurance solutions. Over the trailing twelve months, the company generated $373.4M in revenue with an operating margin of 38.8% and net EPS of $4.03. For the latest quarter ended June 30, 2026, quarterly revenue expanded 26.0% year-over-year while net cash stood at $982.5M.

Market cap
$1.32B
Revenue (TTM)
$373.4M
P/E
12.3x
fwd 12.0x
1Y return
45.5%
S&P 500 16.8%
Avg. target
$56.36
13.3% vs last close

Bull case

  • Quarterly revenue grew 26.0% year-over-year in the latest quarter ended June 30, 2026.
  • The balance sheet maintains $1.59B in cash and short-term investments against $612.0M in total debt.
  • Free cash flow reached $124.0M in FY2025, comfortably supporting $23.4M in dividend payments.

Bear case

  • The company's 5-year share count increased by 46.7%, diluting existing shareholder ownership.
  • The forward P/E of 12.0x trades above the median of its US-listed Financial Services peers of 10.8x.
  • Over the last four quarters, the company beat analyst EPS estimates only 2 times.

What First Mid Bancshares does

Established in 1865 and headquartered in Mattoon, Illinois, First Mid Bancshares, Inc. provides community banking services to commercial, retail, and agricultural clients across a network of 52 banking centers. Its deposit offerings include demand deposits, savings accounts, money market deposits, and time deposits. The firm maintains a diverse lending portfolio covering commercial real estate, commercial and industrial, agricultural and agricultural real estate, residential real estate, consumer loans, and municipal lending. Beyond core banking, First Mid Bancshares offers wealth management solutions such as estate planning, investment management, farm management, and brokerage services, alongside employee benefit plans and insurance products.

Growth and profitability

Between FY2020 and FY2025, First Mid Bancshares achieved a 5-year revenue CAGR of 18.3%. Revenue increased from $249.7M in FY2021 to $447.3M in FY2024 and reached $466.0M in FY2025, up 4.2% year-over-year. Net income expanded from $51.5M in FY2021 to $91.7M in FY2025, delivering an annual net margin of 19.7% and EPS of $3.95. In the trailing twelve months, revenue reached $373.4M with a profit margin of 26.9% and an operating margin of 38.8%. In the latest quarter ended June 30, 2026, quarterly revenue increased 26.0% year-over-year, while quarterly earnings grew 6.1%.

FMBH income statement →

Balance sheet and cash flow

As of June 30, 2026, First Mid Bancshares held $1.59B in cash and short-term investments against total debt of $612.0M, resulting in net cash of $982.5M. Shareholders' equity was $1.10B, and total assets stood at $9.21B. The debt-to-equity ratio was 0.56, and the current ratio was 0.21. In FY2025, the company generated $130.9M in operating cash flow and $124.0M in free cash flow. Capital expenditures totaled $6.8M, share buybacks were $724,000, and dividends paid were $23.4M.

FMBH balance sheet →

Valuation and performance

First Mid Bancshares trades at a trailing P/E of 12.3x and a forward P/E of 12.0x, compared to the median of its US-listed Financial Services peers of 12.1x trailing and 10.8x forward. Its price-to-sales ratio is 3.5x versus the peer median of 3.2x, while price-to-book is 1.2x. Over the past year, the stock returned 45.5%, outperforming the S&P 500 (SPY) return of 16.8%. Over a 5-year period, its return of 34.4% trailed the S&P 500 return of 83.0%.

FMBH key metrics →

FMBH dividend

First Mid Bancshares pays a quarterly dividend with an annualized forward rate of $1.04 per share, translating to a dividend yield of 2.09%. Its payout ratio is 22.9%, and the company has paid dividends for 30 consecutive years. The annualized 5-year dividend growth rate is 3.9%, and the last ex-dividend date was August 18, 2026.

FMBH dividend history →

What analysts expect

Wall Street coverage includes 2 Strong Buy, 2 Buy, and 3 Hold ratings, with no Sell or Strong Sell ratings. The mean price target is $56.36, representing a 13.3% premium over the last close of $49.73. For the fiscal year ending December 31, 2026, consensus estimates project EPS of $4.74 and revenue of $315.1M. Over the last four quarters, the firm posted 2 EPS beats. The next earnings date is October 29, 2026.

FMBH forecast and price target →

Key risks and what to watch

  • A current ratio of 0.21 reflects a tight short-term liquidity profile.
  • Gross margin contracted from 100.0% in FY2023 to 72.8% in FY2025.
  • The stock has lagged the broader market over a longer period, with a 5-year return of 34.4% compared to 83.0% for the S&P 500.

AI-generated research summary. Written with AI from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 and checked so every figure matches that data. For information only, not investment advice. Disclaimer

About this FMBH AI stock analysis

This page is an AI-written research summary of First Mid Bancshares, Inc. (FMBH). The text was generated on October 30, 2026 from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 (company profile, annual results, latest balance sheet, valuation, price performance and analyst estimates). An automatic check rejects any draft that contains a figure not found in that data. It is not investment advice; verify figures on the linked tabs before making decisions.

Related: FMBH income statement, FMBH balance sheet, FMBH key metrics, FMBH analyst forecast, FMBH chart. See the FMBH stock overview for the latest quote and news.

FMBH AI stock analysis FAQ

What is First Mid Bancshares' dividend yield?

The stock carries a forward dividend yield of 2.09% based on an annual forward dividend of $1.04 per share. It has paid dividends for 30 consecutive years with a payout ratio of 22.9%.

When is First Mid Bancshares' next earnings report?

The company's next earnings release is scheduled for October 29, 2026.

What is the consensus price target for FMBH?

Analysts have a mean price target of $56.36 for FMBH, which is 13.3% above its last closing price of $49.73.

How much debt does First Mid Bancshares carry?

As of June 30, 2026, First Mid Bancshares held $612.0M in total debt and $1.59B in cash and short-term investments, producing net cash of $982.5M.

More Financial Services AI stock analysis