First Financial Bankshares, Inc. (FFIN) AI Stock Analysis

NASDAQ: FFINAI research summary: business, growth, valuation, analysts, bull and bear case.

FFIN AI stock analysis summary

AI Research

First Financial Bankshares, Inc. (NASDAQ: FFIN) is an Abilene, Texas-based regional banking institution offering commercial banking, trust, and wealth management services. In the trailing twelve months, the company generated $672.5M in revenue with a net profit margin of 43.3%. It maintains a low debt-to-equity ratio of 0.04 and pays a 2.89% dividend yield backed by 34 consecutive years of dividend payments.

Market cap
$4.37B
Revenue (TTM)
$672.5M
P/E
16.3x
fwd 24.6x
1Y return
-0.2%
S&P 500 16.8%
Avg. target
$35.43
16.3% vs last close

Bull case

  • Quarterly revenue grew 25.8% year-over-year while quarterly earnings expanded by 44.0% in the period ended September 30, 2026.
  • The company maintains net cash of $113.9M and a low debt-to-equity ratio of 0.04.
  • Dividends have been paid for 34 consecutive years, with an 8.0% annualized dividend growth rate over the last 5 years.

Bear case

  • FFIN shares returned -28.9% over 5 years, lagging behind the S&P 500 return of 83.0%.
  • The forward P/E multiple of 24.6x trades at a substantial premium to the peer median of 10.8x for US-listed Financial Services.
  • Analysts estimate FY2026 revenue of $705.1M, which sits below the FY2025 revenue level of $825.8M.

What First Financial Bankshares does

First Financial Bankshares, Inc. offers commercial banking products and services through its subsidiaries across Texas. Founded in 1890 and headquartered in Abilene, Texas, the company serves businesses, professional individuals, farm and ranch operations, and municipalities. Its deposit offerings include checking, savings, money market, and time deposits. Its lending products encompass commercial and industrial loans, agricultural loans, residential mortgages, and consumer auto loans. Additionally, the bank provides digital banking, drive-in facilities, payroll cards, personal trust management, wealth management, estate administration, and securities brokerage services, along with retirement and employee benefit accounts.

Growth and profitability

Revenue increased from $505.6M in FY2021 to $825.8M in FY2025, reflecting a 5-year revenue CAGR of 10.9%. Annual revenue grew 11.7% in FY2025, accompanied by an operating margin of 37.5% and net income of $253.6M, which was up from $223.5M in FY2024. Diluted EPS rose to $1.77 in FY2025 from $1.47 in FY2024. Over the trailing twelve months, revenue reached $672.5M with an operating margin of 56.9% and an EPS of $1.87. In the latest quarter ended September 30, 2026, quarterly revenue grew 25.8% year-over-year, while quarterly earnings grew 44.0%.

FFIN income statement →

Balance sheet and cash flow

As of September 30, 2026, First Financial Bankshares held $178.8M in cash and short-term investments against total debt of $64.9M, resulting in net cash of $113.9M. Shareholders' equity stood at $1.83B alongside total assets of $15.16B. The company recorded a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.04 and a current ratio of 4.15. In FY2025, it generated $320.6M in operating cash flow and $307.1M in free cash flow, deploying $13.4M into capital expenditures and $106.0M toward dividends paid. Over five years, the share count changed by 0.3%.

FFIN balance sheet →

Valuation and performance

FFIN trades at a trailing P/E of 16.3x and a forward P/E of 24.6x, compared to the median of its US-listed Financial Services peers of 12.1x trailing and 10.8x forward. Its price-to-sales ratio is 6.5x, above the peer median of 3.2x, while its price-to-book ratio is 2.3x. Enterprise value stands at $3.96B against a market cap of $4.37B. Over the past year, the stock fell 0.2%, underperforming the S&P 500 (SPY) return of 16.8%. Over a 5-year period, FFIN returned -28.9% compared to an 83.0% return for the benchmark.

FFIN key metrics →

FFIN dividend

First Financial Bankshares offers a forward annual dividend of $0.88 per share, representing a 2.89% dividend yield as of October 16, 2026. The company pays dividends quarterly with a payout ratio of 34.3%. It has paid consecutive dividends for 34 years, delivering an annualized 5-year dividend growth rate of 8.0%. The most recent ex-dividend date was September 14, 2026.

FFIN dividend history →

What analysts expect

Wall Street coverage includes 1 Strong Buy and 7 Hold ratings. The mean price target is $35.43, representing a 16.3% upside compared to the last close of $30.47. For the fiscal year ending December 31, 2026, analysts estimate EPS of $2.04 on revenue of $705.1M. For the following fiscal year, 6 analysts project an EPS of $2.14 and revenue of $742.7M. The company beat EPS estimates in 2 of the last 4 quarters.

FFIN forecast and price target →

Key risks and what to watch

  • Valuation risk exists as the stock's price-to-sales of 6.5x is more than double the peer median of 3.2x.
  • Earnings consistency remains mixed after beating analyst EPS estimates in only 2 of the last 4 quarters.
  • Short interest accounts for 8.6% of the float as of October 16, 2026.
  • Long-term share price performance has trailed the broader market, with the stock trading 5.4% below its 200-day average.

AI-generated research summary. Written with AI from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 and checked so every figure matches that data. For information only, not investment advice. Disclaimer

About this FFIN AI stock analysis

This page is an AI-written research summary of First Financial Bankshares, Inc. (FFIN). The text was generated on October 30, 2026 from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 (company profile, annual results, latest balance sheet, valuation, price performance and analyst estimates). An automatic check rejects any draft that contains a figure not found in that data. It is not investment advice; verify figures on the linked tabs before making decisions.

Related: FFIN income statement, FFIN balance sheet, FFIN key metrics, FFIN analyst forecast, FFIN chart. See the FFIN stock overview for the latest quote and news.

FFIN AI stock analysis FAQ

What is First Financial Bankshares' dividend yield?

FFIN has a forward dividend yield of 2.89%, paying an annual dividend of $0.88 per share. The company has maintained consecutive dividend payments for 34 years.

How does FFIN's valuation compare to other financial firms?

FFIN trades at a trailing P/E of 16.3x and forward P/E of 24.6x, compared to the median for US-listed Financial Services peers of 12.1x and 10.8x, respectively. Its price-to-sales multiple is 6.5x versus the peer median of 3.2x.

What are analysts forecasting for FFIN's earnings?

Analysts forecast FY2026 EPS of $2.04, reflecting expected growth of 15.3%, followed by FY2027 EPS of $2.14. The consensus mean price target is $35.43.

How strong is First Financial Bankshares' balance sheet?

As of September 30, 2026, the company held $178.8M in cash and short-term investments against $64.9M in total debt, yielding a net cash position of $113.9M and a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.04.

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