Essent Group Ltd. (ESNT) AI Stock Analysis

NYSE: ESNTAI research summary: business, growth, valuation, analysts, bull and bear case.

ESNT AI stock analysis summary

AI Research

Essent Group Ltd. (ESNT) provides private mortgage insurance and reinsurance for residential properties across the United States. Over the trailing twelve months, the company generated $1.32B in revenue with a net profit margin of 51.4%. It maintains a low debt-to-equity ratio of 0.09 and trades at a trailing P/E of 9.0x.

Market cap
$5.82B
Revenue (TTM)
$1.32B
P/E
9.0x
fwd 8.2x
1Y return
12.5%
S&P 500 16.8%
Avg. target
$74.00
14.4% vs last close

Bull case

  • Essent Group delivers high underwriting margins, including a trailing twelve-month operating margin of 65.8% and a profit margin of 51.4%.
  • The balance sheet is well capitalized with $5.62B in net cash and a conservative debt-to-equity ratio of 0.09 as of June 30, 2026.
  • The stock trades at a valuation discount against sector medians, with a forward P/E of 8.2x and a PEG ratio of 0.84.

Bear case

  • Revenue growth slowed in FY2025, falling 0.5% to $1.26B after posting positive growth in preceding years.
  • The stock's 1-year return of 12.5% and 5-year return of 46.3% have both lagged the S&P 500 returns of 16.8% and 83.0%.
  • Earnings consistency has been mixed over the past year, with the company beating analyst EPS estimates in only 2 of the last 4 quarters.

What Essent does

Essent Group Ltd. operates in the mortgage insurance and reinsurance sector, specializing in private mortgage insurance and reinsurance for residential properties across the United States. Its comprehensive product line includes primary, pool, and master policies that help mitigate credit risk for residential mortgage lenders and investors. The company also provides supporting services such as information technology maintenance and development, customer support, underwriting consulting, and contract underwriting services. Founded in 2008 and based in Hamilton, Bermuda, Essent Group primarily serves mortgage loan originators, including regulated depository institutions, mortgage banks, credit unions, and other residential mortgage lenders.

Growth and profitability

Between FY2020 and FY2025, Essent Group delivered a 5-year revenue CAGR of 5.7%. Annual revenue rose from $1.03B in FY2021 to $1.27B in FY2024 before decreasing 0.5% to $1.26B in FY2025. Net income was $690.0M in FY2025, producing EPS of $6.89 and a net margin of 54.7%. Operating margin reached 65.2% in FY2025 compared to 80.0% in FY2021. For the latest quarter ended June 30, 2026, quarterly revenue increased 13.6% year-over-year, while quarterly earnings grew 7.8%. Over the trailing twelve months, revenue reached $1.32B with an operating margin of 65.8% and diluted EPS of $7.17.

ESNT income statement →

Balance sheet and cash flow

As of June 30, 2026, Essent Group held $6.11B in cash and short-term investments against $496.0M in total debt, resulting in net cash of $5.62B. Shareholders' equity was $5.66B, with a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.09 and a current ratio of 0.49. In FY2025, operating cash flow reached $856.1M and free cash flow was $848.7M, while capital expenditures totaled $7.4M. Capital allocation in FY2025 included $587.7M in share buybacks and $122.1M in dividends paid, contributing to a 5-year share count reduction of 16.9%.

ESNT balance sheet →

Valuation and performance

At a last close of $64.70 on October 16, 2026, Essent Group traded at a trailing P/E of 9.0x and a forward P/E of 8.2x, below the median of its US-listed Financial Services peers of 12.1x trailing and 10.8x forward. Its price-to-sales ratio of 4.4x sits above the peer median of 3.2x, while its PEG ratio is 0.84 and price-to-book ratio is 1.0x. Over the past year, the stock appreciated 12.5%, trailing the S&P 500 return of 16.8%. Over five years, the stock generated a return of 46.3% compared to 83.0% for the index.

ESNT key metrics →

ESNT dividend

Essent Group pays a quarterly dividend with a forward annual payout of $1.40, resulting in a dividend yield of 2.16% and a payout ratio of 19.0%. The company has paid dividends for 8 consecutive years and maintains an annualized 5-year dividend growth rate of 14.1%. Its last ex-dividend date was August 31, 2026.

ESNT dividend history →

What analysts expect

Wall Street analysts cover Essent Group with 2 Strong Buy, 1 Buy, and 5 Hold ratings. The mean price target is $74.00, representing 14.4% upside compared to the last close of $64.70. For the fiscal year ending December 31, 2026, consensus estimates project revenue of $1.36B and EPS of $7.59. For the next fiscal year, 7 analysts project revenue of $1.42B and EPS of $7.92. Essent Group has beaten EPS estimates in 2 of the last 4 quarters, and its next earnings date is November 6, 2026.

ESNT forecast and price target →

Key risks and what to watch

  • The company's current ratio stood at 0.49 as of June 30, 2026, reflecting potential short-term liquidity constraints.
  • Operating margins declined from 80.0% in FY2021 to 65.2% in FY2025, indicating potential long-term margin compression.
  • Projected revenue growth moderates to 4.6% in the next fiscal year, representing an expected top line of $1.42B.

AI-generated research summary. Written with AI from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 and checked so every figure matches that data. For information only, not investment advice. Disclaimer

About this ESNT AI stock analysis

This page is an AI-written research summary of Essent Group Ltd. (ESNT). The text was generated on October 30, 2026 from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 (company profile, annual results, latest balance sheet, valuation, price performance and analyst estimates). An automatic check rejects any draft that contains a figure not found in that data. It is not investment advice; verify figures on the linked tabs before making decisions.

Related: ESNT income statement, ESNT balance sheet, ESNT key metrics, ESNT analyst forecast, ESNT chart. See the ESNT stock overview for the latest quote and news.

ESNT AI stock analysis FAQ

Does Essent Group pay a dividend?

Yes, Essent Group pays a quarterly dividend with a forward annual payout of $1.40, offering a 2.16% yield and a payout ratio of 19.0%.

What is the consensus analyst price target for Essent Group?

The mean price target for Essent Group is $74.00, which sits 14.4% above its October 16, 2026 closing price of $64.70.

What is Essent Group's cash and debt position?

As of June 30, 2026, Essent Group held $6.11B in cash and short-term investments and $496.0M in total debt, resulting in net cash of $5.62B.

When is Essent Group's next earnings report?

Essent Group's next earnings report is scheduled for November 6, 2026.

More Financial Services AI stock analysis