Radian Group Inc. (RDN) AI Stock Analysis

NYSE: RDNAI research summary: business, growth, valuation, analysts, bull and bear case.

RDN AI stock analysis summary

AI Research

Radian Group Inc. provides mortgage insurance and real estate services, generating $1.65B in trailing twelve months revenue with a 32.5% profit margin. The company trades at a trailing P/E of 8.4x and carries a forward dividend yield of 3.00%. While revenue expanded 93.5% year-over-year in the latest quarter ending June 30, 2026, its 5-year revenue CAGR stands at -2.8%.

Market cap
$4.50B
Revenue (TTM)
$1.65B
P/E
8.4x
fwd 6.3x
1Y return
7.1%
S&P 500 16.8%
Avg. target
$44.67
31.2% vs last close

Bull case

  • Trailing twelve months profit margin stands at 32.5%, accompanied by a 12.0% return on equity.
  • Share buybacks of $431.9M in FY2025 contributed to a 24.8% reduction in share count over the past five years.
  • Analysts maintain a mean price target of $44.67, indicating a 31.2% premium over the last closing price of $34.04.

Bear case

  • Five-year revenue CAGR sits at -2.8%, reflecting longer-term top-line contraction from FY2020 to FY2025.
  • Quarterly net income contracted 16.2% year-over-year in the latest period ending June 30, 2026.
  • The stock has lagged the broader market, returning 7.1% over the past year compared to 16.8% for the S&P 500.

What Radian does

Radian Group Inc., founded in 1977 and headquartered in Wayne, Pennsylvania, operates in the mortgage and real estate services sector across the United States. Its Mortgage segment provides credit-related insurance coverage, primarily private mortgage insurance for residential first-lien mortgage loans, alongside credit risk management solutions and contract underwriting for mortgage originators. The Homegenius segment delivers real estate services, including title insurance and non-insurance options, tax and title data management, document retrieval, property valuation products, asset management, and real estate technology solutions for consumers, lenders, and government-sponsored enterprises.

Growth and profitability

Radian Group reported annual revenue of $1.25B in FY2025, representing a decline of 3.4% from $1.29B in FY2024. Operating margin remained stable at 61.2% in FY2025 compared to 59.8% in FY2024, while net income totaled $582.8M with a net margin of 46.7%. Earnings per share reached $4.23 in FY2025, up from $4.14 in FY2024 and $3.17 in FY2021. For the trailing twelve months, revenue reached $1.65B, supported by 93.5% year-over-year quarterly revenue growth in the period ending June 30, 2026. However, quarterly earnings declined 16.2% year-over-year.

RDN income statement →

Balance sheet and cash flow

As of June 30, 2026, Radian Group held $119.0M in cash and short-term investments against $1.23B in total debt, resulting in net debt of $1.11B. Shareholders' equity was $4.81B and total assets stood at $10.66B, supporting a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.26 and a current ratio of 0.03. In FY2025, operating cash flow recovered to $119.9M and free cash flow was $115.7M, following free cash flow of -$666.7M in FY2024. Capital expenditures were $4.2M, while the company allocated $431.9M to share buybacks and $145.6M to dividends.

RDN balance sheet →

Valuation and performance

Radian Group carries a market capitalization of $4.50B and an enterprise value of $5.69B. At a trailing P/E of 8.4x and a forward P/E of 6.3x, the stock trades below the median of its US-listed Financial Services peers, which sit at 12.1x trailing and 10.8x forward. Its price-to-sales ratio of 2.7x also trades below the peer median of 3.2x, while its PEG ratio stands at 0.76. Over the past year, the stock returned 7.1%, trailing the S&P 500's return of 16.8%. Over five years, RDN gained 65.1% versus 83.0% for the S&P 500.

RDN key metrics →

RDN dividend

Radian Group pays a quarterly dividend with an annualized forward payout of $1.02 per share, representing a 3.00% dividend yield as of October 16, 2026. The payout ratio is 22.2%, and the company has paid dividends for 34 consecutive years. Over the past five years, the dividend grew at an annualized rate of 15.3%, with the last ex-dividend date on August 24, 2026.

RDN dividend history →

What analysts expect

Wall Street coverage includes 3 Strong Buy, 2 Buy, and 1 Hold ratings, with no Sell or Strong Sell recommendations. The mean price target is $44.67, which is 31.2% above the last close of $34.04. Consensus estimates project FY2026 revenue of $2.31B and EPS of $4.89, followed by $2.48B in revenue and EPS of $5.22 for FY2027. Radian Group beat EPS estimates in 3 of the last 4 quarters, and its next earnings date is November 4, 2026.

RDN forecast and price target →

Key risks and what to watch

  • The balance sheet shows a low current ratio of 0.03 alongside $119.0M in cash against $1.23B in total debt.
  • Free cash flow exhibited volatility, falling to -$666.7M in FY2024 before rebounding to $115.7M in FY2025.
  • Short interest accounts for 6.1% of the float, reflecting negative sentiment among some market participants.

AI-generated research summary. Written with AI from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 and checked so every figure matches that data. For information only, not investment advice. Disclaimer

About this RDN AI stock analysis

This page is an AI-written research summary of Radian Group Inc. (RDN). The text was generated on October 30, 2026 from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 (company profile, annual results, latest balance sheet, valuation, price performance and analyst estimates). An automatic check rejects any draft that contains a figure not found in that data. It is not investment advice; verify figures on the linked tabs before making decisions.

Related: RDN income statement, RDN balance sheet, RDN key metrics, RDN analyst forecast, RDN chart. See the RDN stock overview for the latest quote and news.

RDN AI stock analysis FAQ

What is Radian Group's dividend yield and payout policy?

Radian Group offers a forward dividend yield of 3.00% based on an annual dividend of $1.02. It has paid dividends for 34 consecutive years and maintains a payout ratio of 22.2%.

How is Radian Group valued compared to its sector peers?

Radian Group trades at a trailing P/E of 8.4x and a forward P/E of 6.3x, compared to the median of its US-listed Financial Services peers of 12.1x trailing and 10.8x forward.

What are analysts projecting for Radian Group's earnings?

For FY2026, analysts estimate EPS of $4.89 and revenue of $2.31B. For FY2027, expectations rise to EPS of $5.22 and revenue of $2.48B across 6 analysts.

When does Radian Group report its next quarterly earnings?

The company is scheduled to report earnings on November 4, 2026. Over the prior four quarters, Radian Group exceeded EPS expectations 3 times.

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