MGIC Investment Corporation (MTG) AI Stock Analysis
MTG AI stock analysis summary
AI ResearchMGIC Investment Corporation is a provider of private mortgage insurance and credit risk management solutions to residential mortgage lenders. The company generates robust profitability with a trailing twelve-month net profit margin of 59.2% and an operating margin of 80.8%. With $5.26B in net cash and a trailing P/E ratio of 8.7x, MTG continues to return substantial capital through dividends and share repurchases.
- Market cap
- $5.71B
- Revenue (TTM)
- $1.20B
- P/E
- 8.7x fwd 8.7x
- 1Y return
- 7.2% S&P 500 16.8%
- Avg. target
- $31.40 12.7% vs last close
Bull case
- Operating profitability is exceptionally high, reflected in a trailing twelve-month operating margin of 80.8% and a net margin of 59.2%.
- The company holds a strong balance sheet with $5.26B in net cash and a debt-to-equity ratio of just 0.13 as of June 30, 2026.
- Aggressive capital return has driven a 37.8% reduction in share count over 5 years, supported by $788.6M in FY2025 share buybacks.
Bear case
- Top-line growth has remained stagnant, as seen in a 5-year revenue CAGR of just 0.2% and a latest quarterly revenue decline of 2.9% year-over-year.
- Revenue growth for the upcoming fiscal year is estimated at a modest 1.0%, bringing projected FY2027 revenue to $1.20B.
- One-year share price return of 7.2% significantly trailed the S&P 500 benchmark gain of 16.8%.
What MGIC Investment does
Established in 1957 and based in Milwaukee, Wisconsin, MGIC Investment Corporation provides private mortgage insurance and mortgage credit risk management solutions across the United States, Puerto Rico, and Guam. Its primary mortgage insurance protects lenders against defaults on residential mortgage loans, covering unpaid principal, delinquent interest, and foreclosure-related expenses. The company also offers contract underwriting services and engages in reinsurance activities. MGIC serves residential mortgage originators, including commercial banks, savings institutions, credit unions, and mortgage brokers, supporting responsible lending practices across the housing finance system.
Growth and profitability
MGIC has maintained steady revenue alongside high margins over recent fiscal periods. Revenue moved from $1.19B in FY2021 to $1.17B in FY2022 and $1.16B in FY2023, before rebounding to $1.21B in FY2024 and $1.21B in FY2025, reflecting a 5-year revenue CAGR of 0.2%. Profitability remains strong, with net income reaching $738.3M and an operating margin of 76.5% in FY2025. Diluted EPS rose to $3.15 in FY2025 and $3.20 over the trailing twelve months. For the latest quarter ended June 30, 2026, revenue fell 2.9% year-over-year, while quarterly earnings grew 6.2%.
Balance sheet and cash flow
MGIC maintains a conservative balance sheet. As of June 30, 2026, the company held $5.91B in cash and short-term investments against total debt of $646.9M, resulting in a net cash position of $5.26B and a current ratio of 37.66. Shareholders' equity stood at $5.01B, with a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.13. In FY2025, operating cash flow reached $852.8M and capital expenditures were $1.0M, generating $851.8M in free cash flow. Cash was returned to shareholders via $788.6M in share buybacks and $132.5M in dividends paid.
Valuation and performance
At a last close of $27.85, MTG has a market capitalization of $5.71B. The stock trades at a trailing P/E of 8.7x and a forward P/E of 8.7x, below the median of its US-listed Financial Services peers of 12.1x and 10.8x, respectively. Its price-to-sales multiple is 4.8x compared to the peer median of 3.2x, while its PEG ratio sits at 0.40. Over the past year, MTG gained 7.2%, trailing the S&P 500 return of 16.8%, but outperformed over five years with a 91.4% gain versus 83.0% for the index.
MTG dividend
MGIC offers an annual forward dividend of $0.68 per share, representing a dividend yield of 2.44% and a payout ratio of 19.3%. The company has distributed quarterly dividends for 8 consecutive years, achieving a 5-year annualized dividend growth rate of 18.5%. Its most recent ex-dividend date occurred on August 5, 2026.
What analysts expect
Wall Street coverage includes 6 analysts, consisting of 1 Strong Buy, 4 Holds, and 1 Sell. The mean price target is $31.40, representing an upside of 12.7% from the last close of $27.85. For FY2026, consensus estimates project EPS of $3.27 on revenue of $1.19B, followed by EPS of $3.48 and revenue of $1.20B in FY2027. MGIC beat EPS expectations in 3 of the last 4 quarters and is scheduled to report earnings on November 4, 2026.
Key risks and what to watch
- Revenue contraction in the quarter ended June 30, 2026, with revenue declining 2.9% year-over-year, poses top-line headwinds.
- Short interest stands at 7.3% of the float, indicating some ongoing skepticism in the market.
- Estimated FY2026 revenue of $1.19B suggests a potential slight contraction from the $1.21B recorded in FY2025.
AI-generated research summary. Written with AI from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 and checked so every figure matches that data. For information only, not investment advice. Disclaimer
About this MTG AI stock analysis
This page is an AI-written research summary of MGIC Investment Corporation (MTG). The text was generated on October 30, 2026 from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 (company profile, annual results, latest balance sheet, valuation, price performance and analyst estimates). An automatic check rejects any draft that contains a figure not found in that data. It is not investment advice; verify figures on the linked tabs before making decisions.
Related: MTG income statement, MTG balance sheet, MTG key metrics, MTG analyst forecast, MTG chart. See the MTG stock overview for the latest quote and news.
MTG AI stock analysis FAQ
What dividend does MTG pay?
MGIC Investment Corporation pays an annualized forward dividend of $0.68 per share, which equals a 2.44% yield. The payout ratio is 19.3%, and the company has delivered an annualized dividend growth rate of 18.5% over the past 5 years.
What are analysts forecasting for MGIC's earnings and price target?
Analysts have a mean price target of $31.40, suggesting 12.7% upside relative to the last close of $27.85. Full-year EPS estimates are $3.27 for FY2026 and $3.48 for FY2027.
How leveraged is MGIC's balance sheet?
MGIC operates with low leverage, holding $5.91B in cash and short-term investments against $646.9M in total debt as of June 30, 2026. This leaves the company with $5.26B in net cash, a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.13, and a current ratio of 37.66.
When does MGIC report its next earnings?
MGIC Investment Corporation is scheduled to report quarterly financial results on November 4, 2026.