NMI Holdings, Inc. (NMIH) AI Stock Analysis
NMIH AI stock analysis summary
AI ResearchNMI Holdings, Inc. (NMIH) provides private mortgage guaranty insurance and outsourced loan review services across the United States. The company generated $730.8M in trailing twelve-month revenue with a net profit margin of 54.1%. It trades at a trailing price-to-earnings ratio of 8.0x, alongside a 5-year revenue compound annual growth rate of 10.1%.
- Market cap
- $3.06B
- Revenue (TTM)
- $730.8M
- P/E
- 8.0x fwd 7.7x
- 1Y return
- 15.2% S&P 500 16.8%
- Avg. target
- $49.14 20.7% vs last close
Bull case
- Operating cash flow reached $419.3M and free cash flow stood at $412.5M in FY2025, supporting $105.1M in share buybacks.
- Trailing twelve-month operating margin is 76.7%, well above the US-listed Financial Services peer median of 37.7%.
- The stock trades at a forward P/E of 7.7x, presenting a discount to the sector peer median of 10.8x.
Bear case
- Quarterly revenue growth of 8.1% year-over-year trailed the US-listed Financial Services peer median of 10.1%.
- Gross margins have narrowed from 100.5% in FY2022 to 91.8% in FY2025.
- The company holds a current ratio of 0.54, with cash and short-term investments of $72.1M against total debt of $418.0M.
What NMI does
NMI Holdings, Inc. operates in the U.S. mortgage insurance industry, offering private mortgage guaranty insurance services designed to mitigate risk for lenders and facilitate mortgage financing for homeowners. Established in 2011 and based in Emeryville, California, the company also provides outsourced loan review services to mortgage loan originators. Its diverse customer base includes national and regional mortgage banks, money center banks, credit unions, community banks, builder-owned lenders, internet-sourced lenders, and other non-bank financial institutions.
Growth and profitability
NMI Holdings grew annual revenue from $485.6M in FY2021 to $705.6M in FY2025, recording a 5-year revenue compound annual growth rate of 10.1%. Over the same span, net income increased from $231.1M to $388.9M, with diluted EPS advancing from $2.73 to $4.91. For FY2025, operating margin was 70.8% and net margin stood at 55.1%. Across the trailing twelve months ended June 30, 2026, revenue reached $730.8M with an operating margin of 76.7% and EPS of $5.08. In the quarter ended June 30, 2026, revenue increased 8.1% year-over-year while quarterly earnings expanded 14.1%.
Balance sheet and cash flow
As of June 30, 2026, NMI Holdings held $72.1M in cash and short-term investments against $418.0M in total debt, resulting in net debt of $345.9M. Shareholders' equity was $2.71B against total assets of $4.00B, yielding a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.15 and a current ratio of 0.54. In FY2025, the business generated $419.3M in operating cash flow and $412.5M in free cash flow. Capital expenditures were $6.8M, while share buybacks totaled $105.1M, contributing to a 12.1% reduction in share count over 5 years.
Valuation and performance
At $40.71 per share, NMI Holdings has a market capitalization of $3.06B and an enterprise value of $3.52B. The stock trades at a trailing P/E of 8.0x and a forward P/E of 7.7x, both below the US-listed Financial Services peer group medians of 12.1x and 10.8x, respectively. Its price-to-sales ratio is 4.2x compared to the peer median of 3.2x. Over the past year, the stock returned 15.2%, trailing the S&P 500 (SPY) return of 16.8%, while its 5-year return of 65.2% compares to 83.0% for the index.
What analysts expect
Wall Street coverage includes 3 Strong Buy, 2 Buy, and 2 Hold recommendations, with zero Sell or Strong Sell ratings. The mean price target is $49.14, representing a 20.7% premium over the last close of $40.71. For the fiscal year ending December 31, 2026, consensus expectations project EPS of $5.27 on revenue of $753.3M. For the following fiscal year, 6 analysts anticipate revenue of $794.0M and EPS of $5.52. NMI Holdings has beaten EPS estimates in 3 of the last 4 quarters, and its next earnings date is November 5, 2026.
Key risks and what to watch
- Cash and short-term investments of $72.1M leave a net debt burden of $345.9M alongside a current ratio of 0.54.
- Earnings growth is projected to decelerate from 7.0% in FY2026 to 4.5% in the following fiscal year.
- Revenue growth slowed from 12.4% in FY2024 to 8.4% in FY2025.
AI-generated research summary. Written with AI from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 and checked so every figure matches that data. For information only, not investment advice. Disclaimer
About this NMIH AI stock analysis
This page is an AI-written research summary of NMI Holdings, Inc. (NMIH). The text was generated on October 30, 2026 from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 (company profile, annual results, latest balance sheet, valuation, price performance and analyst estimates). An automatic check rejects any draft that contains a figure not found in that data. It is not investment advice; verify figures on the linked tabs before making decisions.
Related: NMIH income statement, NMIH balance sheet, NMIH key metrics, NMIH analyst forecast, NMIH chart. See the NMIH stock overview for the latest quote and news.
NMIH AI stock analysis FAQ
What is NMI Holdings' current valuation multiple?
NMI Holdings trades at a trailing price-to-earnings ratio of 8.0x, a forward P/E of 7.7x, and a price-to-book ratio of 1.2x as of October 16, 2026.
Does NMI Holdings pay a dividend?
NMI Holdings does not currently pay a dividend. Capital allocation has instead focused on share repurchases, which totaled $105.1M in FY2025.
What are analysts' price targets for NMIH stock?
Analysts have established a mean price target of $49.14, which sits 20.7% above the October 16, 2026 closing price of $40.71.
When does NMI Holdings report its next quarterly earnings?
NMI Holdings is scheduled to report its next earnings on November 5, 2026.