Ducommun Incorporated (DCO) AI Stock Analysis
DCO AI stock analysis summary
AI ResearchDucommun Incorporated (NYSE: DCO) is an aerospace and defense engineering and manufacturing supplier operating through Electronic Systems and Structural Systems segments. Over the trailing twelve months, the company generated $865.1M in revenue with an operating margin of 12.6%, though net profit margin stood at -2.5%. DCO shares have gained 86.3% over the past year, trading at a forward P/E of 31.5x.
- Market cap
- $2.58B
- Revenue (TTM)
- $865.1M
- P/E
- — fwd 31.5x
- 1Y return
- 86.3% S&P 500 16.8%
- Avg. target
- $219.67 28.6% vs last close
Bull case
- Ducommun beat analyst EPS estimates in all 4 of the last four quarters while delivering 56.0% year-over-year quarterly earnings growth in the quarter ended June 30, 2026.
- Wall Street maintains 5 Strong Buy ratings against zero Sells, with a mean price target of $219.67 pointing to 28.6% upside from the $170.76 closing price.
- FY2027 consensus estimates from 6 analysts project 23.2% EPS growth to $5.37 on $968.6M in revenue.
Bear case
- The company posted negative free cash flow of -$48.6M and operating cash flow of -$33.4M in FY2025.
- Trailing twelve month profitability remains negative with a profit margin of -2.5% and diluted EPS of -$1.85.
- DCO trades at a steep EV-to-EBITDA multiple of 131.5x, compared to the US-listed Industrials peer median of 13.9x.
What Ducommun does
Ducommun Incorporated specializes in engineering and manufacturing products and services primarily for the aerospace and defense sectors, as well as industrial and medical industries. It operates two core segments: Electronic Systems and Structural Systems. Electronic Systems produces cable assemblies, interconnect systems, printed circuit board assemblies, lightning diversion systems, radar enclosures, and avionics racks. Structural Systems designs and manufactures contoured aluminum, titanium, and Inconel aerostructures, including winglets, fuselage structural panels, engine components, rotor blades, and flight control surfaces. The company serves commercial aircraft as well as military fixed-wing and rotary-wing platforms.
Growth and profitability
Ducommun grew annual revenue from $645.4M in FY2021 to $824.8M in FY2025, reflecting a 5-year revenue CAGR of 5.6%. Gross margin expanded from 22.1% in FY2021 to 26.9% in FY2025, while operating margin rose to 8.9%. Despite operating improvements, net income dropped from $135.5M in FY2021 to -$37.4M in FY2025, producing a net margin of -4.5%, although EPS was reported at $3.75. In the latest quarter ended June 30, 2026, quarterly revenue grew 11.8% year-over-year and quarterly earnings grew 56.0%. Trailing twelve month revenue reached $865.1M, with an operating margin of 12.6% and an EPS of -$1.85.
Balance sheet and cash flow
As of June 30, 2026, Ducommun held $39.8M in cash and short-term investments against $335.9M in total debt, resulting in net debt of $296.1M. Shareholders' equity was $690.4M, with total assets of $1.22B. The company maintains a current ratio of 3.36 and a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.49. In FY2025, operating cash flow was -$33.4M and free cash flow was -$48.6M. Capital expenditures totaled $15.2M, alongside $3.2M directed toward share buybacks, while share count increased 27.1% over five years.
Valuation and performance
DCO trades at a forward P/E of 31.5x, above the 17.2x median of its US-listed Industrials peers. Its price-to-sales multiple of 3.0x and EV-to-EBITDA of 131.5x also compare to peer medians of 1.5x and 13.9x, respectively. The stock has a PEG ratio of 3.34 and an enterprise value of $2.90B. DCO's 1-year return of 86.3% and 5-year return of 246.4% outpaced the S&P 500 benchmark returns of 16.8% and 83.0% over the same periods.
What analysts expect
Wall Street coverage includes 5 Strong Buy ratings and 1 Hold rating among analysts. The mean price target is $219.67, representing a 28.6% premium over the last close of $170.76. For the current fiscal year ending December 31, 2026, consensus estimates project EPS of $4.35 (up 16.1%) on revenue of $883.6M. For the following fiscal year, 6 analysts anticipate EPS of $5.37 on revenue of $968.6M. Ducommun has beaten EPS estimates in each of the last 4 quarters, with next earnings scheduled for November 5, 2026.
Key risks and what to watch
- Total debt of $335.9M exceeds cash of $39.8M, resulting in net debt of $296.1M.
- Dilution has increased the share count by 27.1% over a 5-year timeframe.
- The stock carries elevated short interest, with short percent of float standing at 5.5%.
AI-generated research summary. Written with AI from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 and checked so every figure matches that data. For information only, not investment advice. Disclaimer
About this DCO AI stock analysis
This page is an AI-written research summary of Ducommun Incorporated (DCO). The text was generated on October 30, 2026 from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 (company profile, annual results, latest balance sheet, valuation, price performance and analyst estimates). An automatic check rejects any draft that contains a figure not found in that data. It is not investment advice; verify figures on the linked tabs before making decisions.
Related: DCO income statement, DCO balance sheet, DCO key metrics, DCO analyst forecast, DCO chart. See the DCO stock overview for the latest quote and news.
DCO AI stock analysis FAQ
Does Ducommun pay a dividend?
Ducommun does not pay a dividend based on current company filings.
When is Ducommun's next earnings report?
Ducommun is scheduled to report its next earnings on November 5, 2026.
What are analysts' price targets for DCO?
Analysts have an average price target of $219.67 for DCO, which is 28.6% above its October 16, 2026 closing price of $170.76.
What is Ducommun's net debt position?
As of June 30, 2026, Ducommun held $39.8M in cash and short-term investments and $335.9M in total debt, resulting in net debt of $296.1M.