Corpay, Inc. (CPAY) AI Stock Analysis

NYSE: CPAYAI research summary: business, growth, valuation, analysts, bull and bear case.

CPAY AI stock analysis summary

AI Research

Corpay, Inc. (CPAY) is a global payments company specializing in vehicle-related expenses, lodging payments, and corporate transactions. Over the trailing twelve months, the company generated $5.02B in revenue with an operating margin of 46.9%. While annual revenue grew from $2.83B in FY2021 to $4.53B in FY2025, total debt reached $10.62B as of June 30, 2026.

Market cap
$26.25B
Revenue (TTM)
$5.02B
P/E
24.3x
fwd 12.8x
1Y return
44.1%
S&P 500 16.8%
Avg. target
$461.00
15.3% vs last close

Bull case

  • Corpay trades at a forward P/E of 12.8x and an EV to EBITDA of 13.0x, both well below its S&P 500 Technology peers medians of 20.9x and 19.9x.
  • Trailing twelve-month operating margin stands at 46.9%, significantly exceeding the peer group median of 23.0%.
  • Analyst estimates forecast FY2026 EPS to increase 28.2% to $27.41, supported by 4 consecutive quarters of earnings beats.

Bear case

  • Total debt stands at $10.62B relative to $3.16B in cash, producing net debt of $7.46B and a debt-to-equity ratio of 3.00.
  • Annual gross margin decreased from 80.2% in FY2021 to 69.9% in FY2025.
  • Quarterly earnings fell 7.0% year-over-year in the latest quarter ended June 30, 2026.

What Corpay does

Corpay, Inc., formerly known as FLEETCOR Technologies, Inc., operates as a global payments company that manages vehicle-related expenses, lodging payments, and corporate transactions. Headquartered in Atlanta, Georgia, the company serves clients across the United States, Brazil, the United Kingdom, and other international markets. Its vehicle solutions cover fuel purchases, tolls, parking fees, fleet maintenance, and long-haul transportation expenses, alongside prepaid food and transportation vouchers. Corpay also offers corporate payment tools such as accounts payable automation, virtual cards, cross-border payment solutions, and purchasing cards. Additionally, it processes lodging payments for corporate travelers, airline and cruise crews, stranded passengers, and displaced insurance policyholders.

Growth and profitability

Between FY2021 and FY2025, Corpay grew its annual revenue from $2.83B to $4.53B, achieving a 5-year revenue CAGR of 13.6% from FY2020 to FY2025. Annual net income climbed from $839.5M in FY2021 to $1.07B in FY2025, while diluted earnings per share expanded from $13.21 to $21.09. However, gross margin compressed from 80.2% in FY2021 to 69.9% in FY2025, and operating margin moved from 43.8% to 43.1%. Over the trailing twelve months, revenue reached $5.02B with a profit margin of 22.7%. For the latest quarter ended June 30, 2026, quarterly revenue grew 21.5% year-over-year, while quarterly earnings declined 7.0%.

CPAY income statement →

Balance sheet and cash flow

As of June 30, 2026, Corpay held $3.16B in cash and short-term investments against $10.62B in total debt, resulting in net debt of $7.46B. Total assets stood at $28.22B and shareholders' equity was $3.54B, yielding a debt-to-equity ratio of 3.00 and a current ratio of 0.97. In FY2025, operating cash flow was $1.50B and free cash flow was $1.30B. Capital allocation that year included $200.8M in capital expenditures and $782.8M in share buybacks, contributing to a 19.1% reduction in share count over 5 years.

CPAY balance sheet →

Valuation and performance

At a last close price of $399.84, Corpay trades at a trailing P/E of 24.3x and a forward P/E of 12.8x, compared to medians of 31.5x and 20.9x for its S&P 500 Technology peers. Its enterprise value of $33.26B represents an EV to EBITDA multiple of 13.0x, below the peer group median of 19.9x. The stock trades at a price-to-sales ratio of 5.2x and a PEG ratio of 0.75. Over the past year, Corpay returned 44.1%, outpacing the S&P 500 SPY return of 16.8%, though its 5-year return of 46.9% trails the index return of 83.0%.

CPAY key metrics →

What analysts expect

Wall Street analysts hold 8 Strong Buy, 5 Buy, and 3 Hold ratings on Corpay, with no Sell or Strong Sell ratings. The mean price target of $461.00 implies upside of 15.3% over the last close of $399.84. For the fiscal year ending December 31, 2026, analysts estimate revenue of $5.32B and EPS of $27.41, representing 28.2% earnings growth. Corpay has beat EPS estimates in each of the last 4 quarters, and its next earnings date is scheduled for November 4, 2026.

CPAY forecast and price target →

Key risks and what to watch

  • The balance sheet carries $10.62B in total debt with a current ratio of 0.97 as of June 30, 2026.
  • Gross margins narrowed by over 10 percentage points from 80.2% in FY2021 to 69.9% in FY2025.
  • Quarterly earnings growth turned negative at -7.0% in the period ending June 30, 2026, even as revenue expanded 21.5%.

AI-generated research summary. Written with AI from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 and checked so every figure matches that data. For information only, not investment advice. Disclaimer

About this CPAY AI stock analysis

This page is an AI-written research summary of Corpay, Inc. (CPAY). The text was generated on October 30, 2026 from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 (company profile, annual results, latest balance sheet, valuation, price performance and analyst estimates). An automatic check rejects any draft that contains a figure not found in that data. It is not investment advice; verify figures on the linked tabs before making decisions.

Related: CPAY income statement, CPAY balance sheet, CPAY key metrics, CPAY analyst forecast, CPAY chart. See the CPAY stock overview for the latest quote and news.

CPAY AI stock analysis FAQ

What is Corpay's ticker symbol and index membership?

Corpay trades on the NYSE under the ticker symbol CPAY and is a constituent of the S&P 500.

What were Corpay's revenue and earnings in FY2025?

In FY2025, Corpay generated $4.53B in revenue, net income of $1.07B, and diluted earnings per share of $21.09.

What is the consensus analyst target price for CPAY?

Analysts have a mean price target of $461.00 for CPAY, representing a 15.3% premium over its last close of $399.84 as of October 16, 2026.

How does Corpay allocate its free cash flow?

In FY2025, Corpay produced $1.30B in free cash flow, deploying $200.8M toward capital expenditures and $782.8M toward share repurchases, contributing to a 19.1% share count reduction over 5 years.

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