Concentra Group Holdings Parent, Inc. (CON) AI Stock Analysis
CON AI stock analysis summary
AI ResearchConcentra Group Holdings Parent, Inc. (CON) provides occupational health services across the United States. In FY2025, revenue reached $2.16B with a 13.9% annual growth rate, while trailing twelve months operating margin stood at 19.3%. Over the past year, the stock returned 95.6%, outperforming the S&P 500 return of 16.8%.
- Market cap
- $4.91B
- Revenue (TTM)
- $2.29B
- P/E
- 24.9x fwd 18.0x
- 1Y return
- 95.6% S&P 500 16.8%
- Avg. target
- $41.67 8.1% vs last close
Bull case
- Quarterly earnings growth reached 47.0% year-over-year in the quarter ended June 30, 2026.
- The company delivered trailing twelve months return on equity of 47.1% and an operating margin of 19.3%.
- Analysts maintain a positive outlook with 7 Strong Buy ratings and an earnings beat in all 4 of the last 4 quarters.
Bear case
- Total debt stood at $2.14B as of June 30, 2026, resulting in a debt-to-equity ratio of 4.49.
- Free cash flow decreased from $243.9M in FY2021 to $197.1M in FY2025.
- Concentra's EV/EBITDA multiple of 14.1x sits above the median of 12.0x for its US-listed Healthcare peers.
What Concentra Group Holdings Parent does
Concentra Group Holdings Parent, Inc. provides occupational health services in the United States through three segments: Occupational Health centers, Onsite health clinics, and Other business. It offers workers compensation, employer, and consumer health services, alongside employer-sponsored primary care at workplaces, mobile health, and episodic specialty testing. The company also operates Concentra Telemed for work-related injuries, Concentra Pharmacy for distributing repackaged medications, and Concentra Medical Compliance Administration for managing substance abuse testing programs. In addition, it provides injury care, urgent care, physical examinations, vaccinations, clinical testing, drug and alcohol screenings, and consultative workplace hazard services.
Growth and profitability
Revenue grew from $1.73B in FY2021 to $2.16B in FY2025, representing a four-year revenue CAGR of 5.7%. Annual revenue declined 0.4% in FY2022 before expanding 6.6% in FY2023, 3.4% in FY2024, and 13.9% in FY2025. Gross margin increased from 24.7% in FY2021 to 28.3% in FY2025, while operating margin moved from 15.6% to 15.4%. Net income was $166.4M in FY2025 with a net margin of 7.7%, compared to $208.9M and 12.1% in FY2021. For the trailing twelve months ended June 30, 2026, revenue totaled $2.29B. In the latest quarter, quarterly revenue grew 10.0% year-over-year, and quarterly earnings grew 47.0% year-over-year.
Balance sheet and cash flow
As of June 30, 2026, Concentra held $158.0M in cash and short-term investments against total debt of $2.14B, resulting in net debt of $1.99B. Total assets stood at $3.01B, shareholders' equity was $477.1M, and the current ratio was 1.38. Debt-to-equity was 4.49. In FY2025, operating cash flow reached $279.4M and free cash flow was $197.1M. Capital allocation in FY2025 included $82.3M for capital expenditures, $22.4M for share buybacks, and $32.1M for dividends paid.
Valuation and performance
Concentra trades at a trailing P/E of 24.9x and a forward P/E of 18.0x, compared to medians of 24.6x and 17.3x for its US-listed Healthcare peers. Its enterprise value to EBITDA sits at 14.1x versus the peer median of 12.0x, while its price-to-sales ratio of 2.1x is below the peer median of 4.1x. The company has an enterprise value of $6.42B and a market cap of $4.91B. Over the past year, the stock returned 95.6%, compared to a 16.8% return for the S&P 500.
CON dividend
Concentra pays a quarterly dividend with an annual forward payout of $0.25, translating to a dividend yield of 0.65%. The company has paid dividends for 3 consecutive years. Its payout ratio stands at 15.8%, and the last ex-dividend date was August 20, 2026. Dividends paid in FY2025 totaled $32.1M.
What analysts expect
Wall Street coverage includes 7 Strong Buy and 2 Buy ratings, with no Hold, Sell, or Strong Sell ratings. The mean price target is $41.67, representing an 8.1% upside from the last close of $38.54. Analysts beat EPS estimates in all 4 of the last 4 quarters. Consensus estimates project FY2026 revenue of $2.35B and EPS of $1.65, reflecting 20.5% EPS growth. The next earnings date is November 5, 2026.
Key risks and what to watch
- Net debt of $1.99B against cash and short-term investments of $158.0M presents leverage risk.
- Annual net income declined from $208.9M in FY2021 to $166.4M in FY2025.
- The company's five-year share count increased by 22.1%, which dilutes equity per share.
AI-generated research summary. Written with AI from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 and checked so every figure matches that data. For information only, not investment advice. Disclaimer
About this CON AI stock analysis
This page is an AI-written research summary of Concentra Group Holdings Parent, Inc. (CON). The text was generated on October 30, 2026 from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 (company profile, annual results, latest balance sheet, valuation, price performance and analyst estimates). An automatic check rejects any draft that contains a figure not found in that data. It is not investment advice; verify figures on the linked tabs before making decisions.
Related: CON income statement, CON balance sheet, CON key metrics, CON analyst forecast, CON chart. See the CON stock overview for the latest quote and news.
CON AI stock analysis FAQ
What was Concentra's revenue growth in FY2025?
In FY2025, Concentra generated revenue of $2.16B, representing a 13.9% increase from $1.90B in FY2024.
Does Concentra pay a dividend?
Yes, Concentra offers an annual forward dividend of $0.25 per share, yielding 0.65% with a payout ratio of 15.8%. It has paid dividends for 3 consecutive years.
What is Concentra's debt load?
As of June 30, 2026, the company reported $2.14B in total debt and $158.0M in cash and short-term investments, leading to net debt of $1.99B and a debt-to-equity ratio of 4.49.
What are analysts forecasting for CON stock?
Analysts project current fiscal year EPS of $1.65 on revenue of $2.35B. The consensus mean price target is $41.67, which is 8.1% above the last closing price of $38.54.