PACS Group, Inc. (PACS) AI Stock Analysis

NYSE: PACSAI research summary: business, growth, valuation, analysts, bull and bear case.

PACS AI stock analysis summary

AI Research

PACS Group, Inc. (PACS) operates skilled nursing facilities, assisted living residences, and independent senior living facilities across the United States. Revenue reached $5.29B in FY2025, driven by a 4-year revenue CAGR of 45.9% from FY2021 to FY2025. Over the trailing twelve months, the company generated $5.55B in revenue with net profit margin of 4.9% and carries net debt of $3.09B.

Market cap
$7.43B
Revenue (TTM)
$5.55B
P/E
27.4x
fwd 15.5x
1Y return
276.8%
S&P 500 16.8%
Avg. target
$59.00
25.8% vs last close

Bull case

  • Revenue expanded at a 4-year CAGR of 45.9% between FY2021 and FY2025, reaching $5.29B.
  • Free cash flow grew to $298.8M in FY2025 from $17.5M in FY2024, supported by $404.2M in operating cash flow.
  • Quarterly earnings for the period ended June 30, 2026, increased by 51.6% year-over-year.

Bear case

  • Balance sheet leverage remains elevated, with total debt of $3.25B and a debt-to-equity ratio of 2.93 as of June 30, 2026.
  • Short-term liquidity is tight, reflected in a current ratio of 0.91 alongside $164.5M in cash against $3.09B in net debt.
  • Valuation multiples reflect a premium on EV/EBITDA at 20.0x compared to the US-listed Healthcare peer median of 12.0x.

What PACS does

PACS Group, Inc., headquartered in Farmington, Utah, operates skilled nursing facilities and assisted living residences throughout the United States. Established in 2013, the company specializes in senior care services, including independent living facilities. In addition to managing daily facility operations, PACS Group focuses on acquiring, owning, and leasing healthcare-related properties. This comprehensive operating and property investment approach provides specialized accommodation and tailored care solutions designed to address the needs of aging populations across its nationwide network.

Growth and profitability

Revenue expanded from $1.17B in FY2021 to $5.29B in FY2025, registering a 4-year CAGR of 45.9%. Annual top-line growth was 107.6% in FY2022, 28.5% in FY2023, 31.4% in FY2024, and 29.3% in FY2025. Gross margin stood at 21.9% in FY2025, recovering from 12.4% in FY2024. Operating margin was 5.9% in FY2025, and net income grew to $191.5M with a 3.6% net margin and EPS of $1.75. In the trailing twelve months ending June 30, 2026, revenue totaled $5.55B with an operating margin of 7.7% and EPS of $1.71. For the quarter ended June 30, 2026, quarterly revenue grew 9.1% year-over-year, while quarterly earnings grew 51.6%.

PACS income statement →

Balance sheet and cash flow

As of June 30, 2026, PACS Group held $164.5M in cash and short-term investments against total debt of $3.25B, resulting in net debt of $3.09B. Shareholders' equity was $1.11B, leading to a debt-to-equity ratio of 2.93 and a current ratio of 0.91. Total assets were $5.66B. In FY2025, operating cash flow reached $404.2M and free cash flow was $298.8M. For capital allocation in FY2025, capital expenditures totaled $105.4M and dividends paid amounted to $33.7M.

PACS balance sheet →

Valuation and performance

PACS trades at a trailing P/E of 27.4x and a forward P/E of 15.5x, compared to medians of 24.6x and 17.3x for its US-listed Healthcare peers. Its enterprise value of $9.59B values the company at an EV/EBITDA of 20.0x versus the peer median of 12.0x, and an EV/revenue of 1.7x. The stock trades at a price-to-sales multiple of 1.3x versus the peer median of 4.1x, and a price-to-book ratio of 5.9x. The PEG ratio is 1.03. Over the past year, PACS achieved a return of 276.8%, compared to 16.8% for the S&P 500 (SPY).

PACS key metrics →

What analysts expect

Consensus analyst coverage consists of 4 Strong Buy, 2 Buy, 0 Hold, 0 Sell, and 0 Strong Sell ratings. The mean price target is $59.00, representing 25.8% above the last close of $46.91. For the current fiscal year ending December 31, 2026, analysts estimate EPS of $2.50 (up 38.5%) on revenue of $5.85B. For the next fiscal year, 5 analysts project EPS of $2.74 and revenue of $6.54B. The company beat EPS estimates in 2 of the last 4 quarters. The next earnings date is November 18, 2026.

PACS forecast and price target →

Key risks and what to watch

  • A current ratio of 0.91 indicates short-term obligations exceed current assets as of June 30, 2026.
  • Net debt stood at $3.09B on June 30, 2026, requiring ongoing cash generation to service liabilities.
  • Profit margins remain sensitive, with trailing twelve month net profit margin recorded at 4.9%.

AI-generated research summary. Written with AI from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 and checked so every figure matches that data. For information only, not investment advice. Disclaimer

About this PACS AI stock analysis

This page is an AI-written research summary of PACS Group, Inc. (PACS). The text was generated on October 30, 2026 from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 (company profile, annual results, latest balance sheet, valuation, price performance and analyst estimates). An automatic check rejects any draft that contains a figure not found in that data. It is not investment advice; verify figures on the linked tabs before making decisions.

Related: PACS income statement, PACS balance sheet, PACS key metrics, PACS analyst forecast, PACS chart. See the PACS stock overview for the latest quote and news.

PACS AI stock analysis FAQ

What does PACS Group do?

PACS Group, Inc. operates skilled nursing facilities, assisted living residences, and independent senior living facilities across the United States. It also acquires, owns, and leases healthcare properties.

Does PACS pay a dividend?

In FY2025, PACS Group paid $33.7M in dividends, though current dividend yield data is not reported.

What are analysts' price targets for PACS?

Analysts have a mean price target of $59.00 for PACS, which is 25.8% above its last close of $46.91 as of October 16, 2026.

How much debt does PACS have?

As of June 30, 2026, PACS Group held total debt of $3.25B and net debt of $3.09B, resulting in a debt-to-equity ratio of 2.93.

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