agilon health, inc. (AGL) AI Stock Analysis

NYSE: AGLAI research summary: business, growth, valuation, analysts, bull and bear case.

AGL AI stock analysis summary

AI Research

agilon health, inc. (AGL) operates a senior-focused healthcare service model partnering with primary care physicians. While annual revenue grew at a 5-year CAGR of 37.2% through FY2025, the company posted net losses across all five reported fiscal years, including -$405.3M in FY2025. Over the trailing twelve months, revenue reached $5.92B with an operating margin of 1.3%.

Market cap
$1.43B
Revenue (TTM)
$5.92B
P/E
—
fwd 178.6x
1Y return
252.7%
S&P 500 16.8%
Avg. target
$115.83
36.1% vs last close

Bull case

  • Quarterly revenue grew 7.2% year-over-year in the latest quarter ending June 30, 2026, accompanied by a 301.0% increase in quarterly earnings.
  • The balance sheet as of June 30, 2026, holds $185.6M in cash and short-term investments against $33.4M in total debt, providing net cash of $152.2M.
  • Analysts forecast next fiscal year EPS to reach $2.36, representing projected growth of 1591.5%.

Bear case

  • The company has posted annual net losses in all five reported fiscal years, culminating in a net loss of -$405.3M in FY2025.
  • Free cash flow has remained negative in every reported fiscal year, including -$119.0M in FY2025.
  • The forward P/E multiple of 178.6x trades at a substantial premium to the median of its US-listed Healthcare peers of 17.3x.

What agilon health does

agilon health, inc. provides comprehensive healthcare services tailored for seniors across communities in the United States, delivered through a network of primary care physicians. As of December 31, 2022, the company catered to approximately 269,500 Medicare Advantage members and 89,000 Medicare fee-for-service beneficiaries. Founded in 2016 and headquartered in Austin, Texas, the company operates an innovative model focused on physician partnerships and technology integration to enhance care delivery and operational efficiency for aging populations.

Growth and profitability

Revenue increased from $1.52B in FY2021 to $6.06B in FY2024 before decreasing 2.1% to $5.93B in FY2025. Gross margin contracted from 4.3% in FY2021 to -3.2% in FY2025, and operating margin was -7.1% in FY2025 compared to -24.5% in FY2021. Net income remained negative throughout, finishing FY2025 at -$405.3M. For the trailing twelve months ending June 30, 2026, revenue was $5.92B with a profit margin of -3.9% and an operating margin of 1.3%. In the quarter ended June 30, 2026, quarterly revenue grew 7.2% year-over-year, while quarterly earnings grew 301.0%.

AGL income statement →

Balance sheet and cash flow

As of June 30, 2026, agilon health held $185.6M in cash and short-term investments and $33.4M in total debt, resulting in net cash of $152.2M. Total assets stood at $1.59B against shareholders' equity of $227.5M, with a current ratio of 1.08 and a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.15. Operating cash flow was -$105.8M and free cash flow was -$119.0M in FY2025. In that same fiscal year, capital expenditures were $13.2M and share buybacks totaled $3.0M.

AGL balance sheet →

Valuation and performance

At a market cap of $1.43B and an enterprise value of $1.27B, agilon health trades at a forward P/E of 178.6x, compared to 17.3x for the median of its US-listed Healthcare peers. Its price-to-sales ratio is 0.2x, below the peer group median of 4.1x. The stock closed at $85.12 on October 16, 2026, gaining 252.7% over the past year compared to a 16.8% return for the S&P 500 (SPY). Over a 5-year period, AGL returned -85.8% versus 83.0% for SPY.

AGL key metrics →

What analysts expect

Wall Street coverage consists of 5 Strong Buy, 0 Buy, 9 Hold, 1 Sell, and 0 Strong Sell ratings. The mean price target is $115.83, which is 36.1% above the last close of $85.12. For the fiscal year ending December 31, 2026, analysts estimate an EPS of -$1.79 and revenue of $5.83B. For the following fiscal year, 7 analysts project EPS of $2.36 and revenue of $6.24B. The company beat EPS estimates in 2 of the last 4 quarters, and its next earnings date is November 4, 2026.

AGL forecast and price target →

Key risks and what to watch

  • Annual revenue contracted by 2.1% in FY2025 to $5.93B, indicating potential pressure on top-line expansion.
  • Gross margin turned negative at -3.2% in FY2025, down from 4.3% in FY2021.
  • The stock carries a beta of 3.00, reflecting elevated price volatility relative to the broader market.
  • Short interest represents 9.6% of the float, pointing to continued market skepticism.

AI-generated research summary. Written with AI from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 and checked so every figure matches that data. For information only, not investment advice. Disclaimer

About this AGL AI stock analysis

This page is an AI-written research summary of agilon health, inc. (AGL). The text was generated on October 30, 2026 from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 (company profile, annual results, latest balance sheet, valuation, price performance and analyst estimates). An automatic check rejects any draft that contains a figure not found in that data. It is not investment advice; verify figures on the linked tabs before making decisions.

Related: AGL income statement, AGL balance sheet, AGL key metrics, AGL analyst forecast, AGL chart. See the AGL stock overview for the latest quote and news.

AGL AI stock analysis FAQ

What is agilon health's revenue and earnings performance?

In FY2025, agilon health generated $5.93B in revenue and reported a net loss of -$405.3M. Over the trailing twelve months ending June 30, 2026, revenue stood at $5.92B with an operating margin of 1.3% and an EPS of -$15.41.

Does agilon health pay a dividend?

No, agilon health does not pay a dividend. In FY2025, the company deployed capital toward $13.2M in capital expenditures and $3.0M in share buybacks.

What is the consensus analyst target for AGL stock?

Analysts maintain a mean price target of $115.83, which sits 36.1% above its last close of $85.12 on October 16, 2026. The coverage includes 5 Strong Buy, 9 Hold, and 1 Sell recommendations.

When does agilon health report its next quarterly earnings?

The company's next earnings report is scheduled for November 4, 2026. In the prior four quarters, agilon health beat EPS estimates twice.

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