Cracker Barrel Old Country Store, Inc. (CBRL) AI Stock Analysis
CBRL AI stock analysis summary
AI ResearchCracker Barrel Old Country Store, Inc. develops and operates restaurant and gift shop concepts across the United States. In FY2026, revenue fell 4.7% to $3.32B with net income of $31.7M. The stock trades at $68.97 after gaining 178.1% year-to-date.
- Market cap
- $1.54B
- Revenue (TTM)
- $3.32B
- P/E
- 49.3x fwd 48.5x
- 1Y return
- 76.4% S&P 500 16.8%
- Avg. target
- $50.71 -26.5% vs last close
Bull case
- The stock has demonstrated strong recent momentum, rising 178.1% year-to-date and 76.4% over the past year.
- For the fiscal year ending July 31, 2027, analysts project annual EPS to increase 146.5% to $1.97.
- The company generated $90.9M in free cash flow and $206.2M in operating cash flow in FY2026.
Bear case
- The mean analyst price target of $50.71 indicates a 26.5% downside from the last close of $68.97.
- Cracker Barrel carries $1.04B in total debt against $36.5M in cash, resulting in a current ratio of 0.58 and a debt-to-equity ratio of 2.17.
- Profitability has shrunk significantly, with gross margin declining to 6.3% and net income falling to $31.7M in FY2026 compared to $131.9M in FY2022.
What Cracker Barrel does
Cracker Barrel Old Country Store, Inc. develops and operates the Cracker Barrel Old Country Store concept across the United States. Each store combines a restaurant with a gift shop. The restaurants serve breakfast, lunch, and dinner through dine-in, pick-up, and delivery services. Gift shops offer decorative and functional items such as rocking chairs, seasonal gifts, apparel, toys, cookware, candies, and specialty foods. As of September 14, 2022, Cracker Barrel operated 664 stores across 45 states. Founded in 1969, the company is headquartered in Lebanon, Tennessee, and employs 74,500 people.
Growth and profitability
Over the past five fiscal years, annual revenue moved from $3.27B in FY2022 to a peak of $3.48B in FY2025 before declining 4.7% to $3.32B in FY2026. The 5-year revenue CAGR from FY2021 to FY2026 was 3.3%. Gross margin decreased from 32.7% in FY2022 to 6.3% in FY2026, while operating margin fell from 4.7% to -0.0%. Net income contracted from $131.9M in FY2022 to $31.7M in FY2026, with diluted EPS decreasing from $6.09 to $0.79. In the latest quarter ended July 31, 2026, quarterly revenue fell 2.2% year-over-year, but quarterly earnings grew 85.1%.
Balance sheet and cash flow
As of July 31, 2026, Cracker Barrel held $36.5M in cash and short-term investments alongside $1.04B in total debt, resulting in net debt of $999.5M. Shareholders' equity stood at $478.2M, with a current ratio of 0.58 and a debt-to-equity ratio of 2.17. In FY2026, the company generated $206.2M in operating cash flow and $90.9M in free cash flow. Capital allocation in FY2026 included $115.3M in capital expenditures, $23.1M in dividends paid, and $1.9M in share buybacks.
Valuation and performance
Cracker Barrel trades at a trailing P/E of 49.3x and a forward P/E of 48.5x, both above the median of its US-listed Consumer Cyclical peers of 18.0x and 14.1x, respectively. Its EV/EBITDA multiple is 12.4x compared to the peer median of 11.1x, while its price-to-sales ratio of 0.5x sits below the peer median of 0.7x. Over the past year, the stock returned 76.4%, outperforming the S&P 500 return of 16.8%. Over five years, the stock returned -36.9%, trailing the S&P 500 return of 83.0%.
CBRL dividend
Cracker Barrel pays a quarterly dividend with an annualized forward rate of $1.00 per share, representing a dividend yield of 1.45%. The company has paid dividends for 42 consecutive years. Its payout ratio stands at 126.6%, and its 5-year annualized dividend growth rate was -23.8%. The most recent ex-dividend date occurred on October 16, 2026.
What analysts expect
Wall Street analysts coverage consists of 2 Strong Buy, 0 Buy, 4 Hold, 1 Sell, and 2 Strong Sell recommendations. The mean price target is $50.71, sitting 26.5% below the last close of $68.97. For the fiscal year ending July 31, 2027, consensus estimates project EPS of $1.97 and revenue of $3.38B. Cracker Barrel beat EPS estimates in 3 of the last 4 quarters, and its next earnings date is December 8, 2026.
Key risks and what to watch
- Short interest is elevated, with short percent of float standing at 39.1%.
- The dividend payout ratio of 126.6% exceeds net income, following a 5-year annualized dividend growth rate of -23.8%.
- Operating margin stood at -0.0% in FY2026, which is below the median of 8.8% for US-listed Consumer Cyclical peers.
- Net debt of $999.5M poses a potential liquidity challenge alongside a current ratio of 0.58.
AI-generated research summary. Written with AI from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 and checked so every figure matches that data. For information only, not investment advice. Disclaimer
About this CBRL AI stock analysis
This page is an AI-written research summary of Cracker Barrel Old Country Store, Inc. (CBRL). The text was generated on October 30, 2026 from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 (company profile, annual results, latest balance sheet, valuation, price performance and analyst estimates). An automatic check rejects any draft that contains a figure not found in that data. It is not investment advice; verify figures on the linked tabs before making decisions.
Related: CBRL income statement, CBRL balance sheet, CBRL key metrics, CBRL analyst forecast, CBRL chart. See the CBRL stock overview for the latest quote and news.
CBRL AI stock analysis FAQ
Does Cracker Barrel pay a dividend?
Yes, Cracker Barrel pays a quarterly dividend with an annualized forward payout of $1.00 per share and a yield of 1.45%. The company has paid dividends for 42 consecutive years, though its payout ratio is 126.6%.
When is Cracker Barrel's next earnings report?
Cracker Barrel is scheduled to report earnings on December 8, 2026. The company beat EPS estimates in 3 of the last 4 quarters.
What are analyst price targets for CBRL?
Analysts have established a mean price target of $50.71 for CBRL, which is 26.5% below its last close of $68.97. Ratings include 2 Strong Buy, 0 Buy, 4 Hold, 1 Sell, and 2 Strong Sell recommendations.
How much debt does Cracker Barrel have?
As of July 31, 2026, Cracker Barrel reported total debt of $1.04B and cash and short-term investments of $36.5M, leaving net debt at $999.5M. This corresponds to a debt-to-equity ratio of 2.17.