Baozun Inc. (BZUN) AI Stock Analysis
BZUN AI stock analysis summary
AI ResearchBaozun Inc. (BZUN) is an e-commerce solutions provider serving brand partners in China across various consumer categories. In FY2025, the company generated $9.95B in revenue with a gross margin of 50.9%, though it reported a net loss of -$242.1M. As of June 30, 2026, the company held a net cash position of $778.2M with a current ratio of 1.90.
- Market cap
- $215.9M
- Revenue (TTM)
- $10.45B
- P/E
- 26.6x fwd 16.4x
- 1Y return
- 12.0% S&P 500 16.8%
- Avg. target
- $4.59 23.4% vs last close
Bull case
- Gross margin expanded steadily from 36.8% in FY2021 to 50.9% in FY2025.
- The balance sheet maintains liquidity with $778.2M in net cash and a current ratio of 1.90 as of June 30, 2026.
- Free cash flow recovered to $266.6M in FY2025 after declining to -$107.0M in FY2024.
Bear case
- The company has posted annual net losses in every year from FY2021 through FY2025, including -$242.1M in FY2025.
- Trailing 5-year stock performance of -80.7% lagged significantly behind the S&P 500 return of 83.0%.
- Quarterly earnings fell 47.6% year-over-year in the period ending June 30, 2026.
What Baozun does
Baozun Inc., headquartered in Shanghai, provides end-to-end e-commerce solutions for brand partners in the People's Republic of China. Its services include IT infrastructure setup, online store design and implementation, operational store management, visual merchandising, marketing campaigns, customer service, and warehousing and order fulfillment. The company serves clients across sectors including apparel and accessories, appliances, electronics, home furnishings, food and health products, beauty and cosmetics, fast-moving consumer goods, mother and baby products, and automobiles. Baozun enables brand partners to establish and expand their digital presence within the Chinese e-commerce landscape.
Growth and profitability
Baozun's revenue expanded at a 5-year CAGR of 2.4% from FY2020 to FY2025. Annual revenue grew from $8.40B in FY2022 to $8.81B in FY2023, $9.42B in FY2024, and $9.95B in FY2025. Gross margin expanded from 36.8% in FY2021 to 50.9% in FY2025. Operating margin turned positive to 0.8% in FY2025 after reaching -2.3% in FY2023 and -1.2% in FY2024. Net income remained negative across all five years, finishing at -$242.1M in FY2025. For the trailing twelve months ended June 30, 2026, revenue stood at $10.45B, quarterly revenue grew 7.5% year-over-year, and quarterly earnings declined 47.6%.
Balance sheet and cash flow
As of June 30, 2026, Baozun held $2.90B in cash and short-term investments and $2.12B in total debt, yielding net cash of $778.2M. Total assets reached $9.57B against shareholders' equity of $3.64B, with a current ratio of 1.90 and a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.58. In FY2025, operating cash flow was $420.4M and free cash flow reached $266.6M. Capital expenditures totaled $153.8M, while $10.2M was allocated to share buybacks. The share count decreased 12.9% over five years.
Valuation and performance
At a share price of $3.72 on October 16, 2026, Baozun had a market capitalization of $215.9M and an enterprise value of $68.6M. The stock traded at a trailing P/E of 26.6x and a forward P/E of 16.4x, compared to medians of 18.0x and 14.1x for its US-listed Consumer Cyclical peers. Its EV/EBITDA multiple of 2.2x was below the peer median of 11.1x, while its price-to-book stood at 0.3x. Baozun returned 12.0% over the past year and -80.7% over 5 years, compared to 1-year and 5-year returns of 16.8% and 83.0% for the S&P 500.
What analysts expect
Consensus ratings include 5 Strong Buys, 1 Buy, and 1 Hold, with no Sell or Strong Sell recommendations. The mean price target is $4.59, representing 23.4% upside over the last close of $3.72. For the fiscal year ending December 31, 2026, analysts estimate EPS of $3.55 on revenue of $10.76B. For the following fiscal year, 5 analysts forecast EPS of $5.85 and revenue of $11.53B. The company beat EPS estimates in 1 of the last 4 quarters, and the next earnings date is November 24, 2026.
Key risks and what to watch
- The company carries $2.12B in total debt, representing a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.58 as of June 30, 2026.
- Operating margins remain slim, sitting at 2.3% for the trailing twelve months and 0.8% in FY2025.
- Earnings consistency remains an issue, with the company beating analyst EPS estimates in only 1 of the last 4 quarters.
AI-generated research summary. Written with AI from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 and checked so every figure matches that data. For information only, not investment advice. Disclaimer
About this BZUN AI stock analysis
This page is an AI-written research summary of Baozun Inc. (BZUN). The text was generated on October 30, 2026 from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 (company profile, annual results, latest balance sheet, valuation, price performance and analyst estimates). An automatic check rejects any draft that contains a figure not found in that data. It is not investment advice; verify figures on the linked tabs before making decisions.
Related: BZUN income statement, BZUN balance sheet, BZUN key metrics, BZUN analyst forecast, BZUN chart. See the BZUN stock overview for the latest quote and news.
BZUN AI stock analysis FAQ
What is Baozun's core business model?
Baozun provides end-to-end e-commerce solutions for brand partners in China, including online store management, IT setup, visual merchandising, marketing, customer service, and logistics fulfillment.
Is Baozun profitable?
Baozun generated trailing twelve-month EPS of $0.14, but reported net losses of -$242.1M in FY2025 and -$185.2M in FY2024, with a TTM profit margin of -1.3%.
What is Baozun's financial position regarding debt and cash?
As of June 30, 2026, Baozun held $2.90B in cash and short-term investments against $2.12B in total debt, giving it a net cash balance of $778.2M and a current ratio of 1.90.
What are analysts forecasting for Baozun?
Analysts have a mean price target of $4.59, implying 23.4% upside to the October 16, 2026 price of $3.72, and project FY2026 revenue of $10.76B with EPS of $3.55.