JD.com, Inc. (JD) AI Stock Analysis
JD AI stock analysis summary
AI ResearchJD.com, Inc. (JD) is a supply chain-based technology and e-commerce company operating across China. Over the trailing twelve months, it produced $1.31T in revenue with a net profit margin of 1.1%. The company maintains a strong liquidity position with net cash of $129.80B as of June 30, 2026.
- Market cap
- $36.48B
- Revenue (TTM)
- $1.31T
- P/E
- 18.9x fwd 6.7x
- 1Y return
- -14.6% S&P 500 16.8%
- Avg. target
- $39.05 44.6% vs last close
Bull case
- The stock trades at a forward P/E of 6.7x, well below the median of 14.1x for its US-listed Consumer Cyclical peers.
- JD.com possesses a robust liquidity cushion with $129.80B in net cash as of June 30, 2026.
- Analysts maintain a positive outlook with 31 Buy-equivalent ratings and a mean price target of $39.05, representing 44.6% upside.
Bear case
- In the latest quarter ended June 30, 2026, revenue fell 2.9% year-over-year.
- Net income dropped from $41.36B in FY2024 to $19.63B in FY2025 as operating margin decreased to 0.2%.
- Shareholder returns have lagged the market significantly, with a 5-year return of -62.2% compared to 83.0% for the S&P 500.
What JD.com does
JD.com, Inc., headquartered in Beijing, China, provides supply chain-based technologies and services. The company operates an online platform selling computers, communication devices, consumer electronics, home appliances, and general merchandise such as food, fresh produce, baby products, furniture, pharmaceuticals, and apparel. JD.com also provides online marketplace services for third-party merchants, marketing solutions, and omni-channel retail offerings. In addition, the company owns and manages logistics infrastructure and real estate properties, provides asset management services for logistics property investors, and offers integrated digital transformation solutions for enterprises and institutions.
Growth and profitability
Revenue expanded from $951.59B in FY2021 to $1.31T in FY2025, reflecting a 5-year revenue CAGR of 11.9%. Revenue growth accelerated to 13.0% in FY2025, but gross margin compressed to 9.3% and operating margin fell to 0.2%, down from 3.3% in FY2024. Consequently, net income decreased from $41.36B in FY2024 to $19.63B in FY2025, while diluted EPS dropped to $17.68. Over the trailing twelve months, revenue stood at $1.31T with an operating margin of 1.2%. In the latest quarter ended June 30, 2026, quarterly revenue fell 2.9% year-over-year, while quarterly earnings grew 21.3%.
Balance sheet and cash flow
As of June 30, 2026, JD.com held $235.14B in cash and short-term investments against total debt of $105.35B, resulting in net cash of $129.80B. Shareholders' equity was $219.20B, supporting a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.48 and a current ratio of 1.14. In FY2025, operating cash flow was $18.99B and free cash flow was $4.81B. Capital expenditures totaled $14.18B, while cash returns to shareholders included $21.43B in share buybacks and $10.38B in dividends paid. Its share count fell 9.5% over 5 years.
Valuation and performance
JD.com closed at $27.01 on October 16, 2026, giving it a market capitalization of $36.48B and an enterprise value of $36.95B. The stock trades at a forward P/E of 6.7x and an EV/EBITDA of 5.1x, compared to medians of 14.1x and 11.1x for its US-listed Consumer Cyclical peers. Its trailing P/E of 18.9x sits slightly above the peer median of 18.0x, with a PEG ratio of 0.50. Over the past 1 year, the stock returned -14.6%, lagging the S&P 500 (SPY) return of 16.8%, and over 5 years it returned -62.2% against 83.0% for the benchmark.
JD dividend
JD.com pays an annual dividend with a forward rate of $1.00, representing a dividend yield of 3.70%. The dividend payout ratio stands at 9.6%. The company has paid dividends for 5 consecutive years, with its last ex-dividend date on April 9, 2026.
What analysts expect
Wall Street coverage consists of 24 Strong Buy, 7 Buy, 3 Hold, 0 Sell, and 1 Strong Sell ratings. The mean price target is $39.05, which is 44.6% above the last close of $27.01. For the current fiscal year ending December 31, 2026, consensus estimates project EPS of $21.76 on revenue of $1.35T. JD.com beat EPS estimates in 3 of the last 4 quarters, and its next earnings date is November 12, 2026.
Key risks and what to watch
- Operating margin of 1.2% over the trailing twelve months leaves limited buffer against rising operating expenses or price competition.
- Free cash flow contracted sharply from $44.28B in FY2024 to $4.81B in FY2025.
- Quarterly revenue contracted 2.9% year-over-year in the latest quarter, trailing the peer group median growth of 4.5%.
AI-generated research summary. Written with AI from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 and checked so every figure matches that data. For information only, not investment advice. Disclaimer
About this JD AI stock analysis
This page is an AI-written research summary of JD.com, Inc. (JD). The text was generated on October 30, 2026 from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 (company profile, annual results, latest balance sheet, valuation, price performance and analyst estimates). An automatic check rejects any draft that contains a figure not found in that data. It is not investment advice; verify figures on the linked tabs before making decisions.
Related: JD income statement, JD balance sheet, JD key metrics, JD analyst forecast, JD chart. See the JD stock overview for the latest quote and news.
JD AI stock analysis FAQ
What is JD.com's dividend yield and payout schedule?
JD.com pays an annual dividend with a forward amount of $1.00 per share, which corresponds to a dividend yield of 3.70%. The payout ratio is 9.6%, and the company has paid dividends for 5 consecutive years.
What are analysts' earnings projections for JD.com?
For the fiscal year ending December 31, 2026, analysts estimate EPS of $21.76, representing 22.1% growth, on revenue of $1.35T. For the following fiscal year, 29 analysts project EPS of $27.27 on revenue of $1.42T.
How does JD.com's valuation compare to its peer group?
JD.com trades at a forward P/E of 6.7x and an EV/EBITDA of 5.1x. Both figures are lower than the medians of its US-listed Consumer Cyclical peers, which stand at 14.1x and 11.1x, respectively.
What is JD.com's net cash position?
As of June 30, 2026, JD.com held $235.14B in cash and short-term investments alongside total debt of $105.35B, resulting in a net cash balance of $129.80B.