Wayfair Inc. (W) AI Stock Analysis

NYSE: WAI research summary: business, growth, valuation, analysts, bull and bear case.

W AI stock analysis summary

AI Research

Wayfair Inc. is a major online retailer specializing in home goods, furniture, and decor across multiple brand platforms. The company generated $12.90B in trailing twelve-month revenue, but net income remains negative with a profit margin of -2.5%. Balance sheet leverage remains high, evidenced by $3.48B in total debt and negative shareholders' equity of -$2.79B.

Market cap
$14.69B
Revenue (TTM)
$12.90B
P/E
—
fwd 25.8x
1Y return
29.0%
S&P 500 16.8%
Avg. target
$122.69
14.4% vs last close

Bull case

  • Revenue expanded 7.5% year-over-year in the quarter ended June 30, 2026, outpacing the peer median quarterly growth of 4.5%.
  • Free cash flow improved to $329.0M in FY2025, recovering from negative free cash flow of -$1.13B in FY2022.
  • Analysts forecast full-year EPS to expand 33.7% in the next fiscal year to reach $3.88.

Bear case

  • Wayfair carries substantial leverage with total debt of $3.48B and negative shareholders' equity of -$2.79B.
  • The trailing twelve-month profit margin remains negative at -2.5% alongside an EPS of -$2.47.
  • Shares trade at a steep EV/EBITDA multiple of 145.3x, compared to 11.1x for the peer median.

What Wayfair does

Wayfair Inc. is an e-commerce company specializing in home goods and furnishings across the United States and globally. Founded in 2002 and based in Boston, Massachusetts, it operates an online platform offering approximately thirty-three million products across home decor, housewares, and home improvement. The company sells through a portfolio of brands that includes Wayfair, Joss & Main, AllModern, Birch Lane, and Perigold. Its business model centers on delivering an accessible online shopping experience supported by product information, customer reviews, and visual inspirations, using advanced technology and data analytics to optimize operations.

Growth and profitability

Wayfair generated revenue of $12.46B in FY2025, rebounding 5.1% after declining from $13.71B in FY2021 to $11.85B in FY2024, resulting in a 5-year revenue CAGR of -2.5%. Gross margin stood at 30.2% in FY2025, while operating margin turned slightly positive to 0.1%, improving from -11.3% in FY2022. Net income was -$313.0M in FY2025 with an EPS of $2.52. For the trailing twelve months ended June 30, 2026, revenue reached $12.90B with an operating margin of 3.0% and an EPS of -$2.47. In the latest quarter, revenue grew 7.5% year-over-year, while quarterly earnings declined 55.1%.

W income statement →

Balance sheet and cash flow

As of June 30, 2026, Wayfair held $1.14B in cash and short-term investments against $3.48B in total debt, leading to net debt of $2.33B. The company operates with a current ratio of 0.74 and negative shareholders' equity of -$2.79B on total assets of $2.98B. In FY2025, operating cash flow reached $534.0M and free cash flow was $329.0M, following capital expenditures of $205.0M. The company's share count increased by 25.7% over the past 5 years.

W balance sheet →

Valuation and performance

Wayfair trades at a forward P/E of 25.8x and an EV/EBITDA of 145.3x, both well above the median of its US-listed Consumer Cyclical peers of 14.1x and 11.1x, respectively. Its price-to-sales multiple is 1.1x, compared to the peer median of 0.7x. The company's stock has gained 29.0% over the past year, outperforming the S&P 500 benchmark return of 16.8%. However, over a 5-year timeframe, the shares fell 55.3% while the S&P 500 rose 83.0%.

W key metrics →

What analysts expect

Wall Street analysts hold 15 Strong Buy, 5 Buy, 12 Hold, 1 Sell, and 0 Strong Sell ratings on Wayfair. The mean price target of $122.69 sits 14.4% above the last closing price of $107.28. For the current fiscal year ending December 31, 2026, consensus estimates project EPS of $2.90 on revenue of $13.42B. For the next fiscal year, 28 analysts project EPS of $3.88 on revenue of $14.41B. The company beat EPS estimates in 3 of the last 4 quarters, and its next earnings date is November 4, 2026.

W forecast and price target →

Key risks and what to watch

  • A current ratio of 0.74 highlights tight short-term liquidity relative to existing obligations.
  • The stock carries elevated price volatility, reflected in a beta of 3.02.
  • Quarterly earnings fell 55.1% year-over-year in the latest quarter ending June 30, 2026.
  • A short interest level of 13.8% of float signals notable market skepticism.

AI-generated research summary. Written with AI from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 and checked so every figure matches that data. For information only, not investment advice. Disclaimer

About this W AI stock analysis

This page is an AI-written research summary of Wayfair Inc. (W). The text was generated on October 30, 2026 from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 (company profile, annual results, latest balance sheet, valuation, price performance and analyst estimates). An automatic check rejects any draft that contains a figure not found in that data. It is not investment advice; verify figures on the linked tabs before making decisions.

Related: W income statement, W balance sheet, W key metrics, W analyst forecast, W chart. See the W stock overview for the latest quote and news.

W AI stock analysis FAQ

Does Wayfair pay a dividend?

No, Wayfair does not pay a dividend on its common stock.

What is Wayfair's net debt position?

As of June 30, 2026, Wayfair had $1.14B in cash and short-term investments and $3.48B in total debt, resulting in net debt of $2.33B.

How does Wayfair's valuation compare to its peers?

Wayfair trades at a forward P/E of 25.8x and an EV/EBITDA of 145.3x, both higher than the US-listed Consumer Cyclical peer medians of 14.1x and 11.1x.

When is Wayfair's next earnings report?

Wayfair's next earnings release is scheduled for November 4, 2026.

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