Black Rock Coffee Bar, Inc. (BRCB) AI Stock Analysis
BRCB AI stock analysis summary
AI ResearchBlack Rock Coffee Bar, Inc. (BRCB) operates a chain of drive-thru coffee bars across the United States. Revenue grew 24.5% in FY2025 to $200.3M, but free cash flow stood at -$33.1M. The stock closed at $8.07 after falling 65.5% over the past year.
- Market cap
- $179.2M
- Revenue (TTM)
- $223.6M
- P/E
- 100.9x
- 1Y return
- -65.5% S&P 500 16.8%
- Avg. target
- $11.67 44.6% vs last close
Bull case
- Revenue expanded at a 2-year CAGR of 22.7% through FY2025 and rose 25.0% year-over-year in the quarter ended June 30, 2026.
- Analysts maintain a mean price target of $11.67, implying 44.6% upside from the recent close of $8.07.
- For FY2027, 4 analysts forecast revenue to climb 24.5% to $318.0M alongside 36.2% EPS growth to $0.27.
Bear case
- Trailing twelve-month return on equity stands at -22.0% while profit margin remains low at 0.7%.
- Net debt of $145.7M and a current ratio of 0.71 highlight liquidity pressures alongside FY2025 free cash flow of -$33.1M.
- BRCB trades at an EV/EBITDA of 36.1x, well above the 11.1x median of its US-listed Consumer Cyclical peers.
What Black Rock Coffee Bar does
Black Rock Coffee Bar, Inc. owns and operates a chain of drive-thru coffee bars in the United States. It offers classic espresso-based drinks, energy drinks, and savory and sweet items under the all-day breakfast brand. The company was founded in 2008 and is based in Scottsdale, Arizona.
Growth and profitability
Annual revenue increased from $133.2M in FY2023 to $160.9M in FY2024 and $200.3M in FY2025, recording a 2-year revenue CAGR of 22.7%. Gross margin contracted from 45.8% in FY2023 and 49.3% in FY2024 to 29.3% in FY2025. Operating margin was 1.5% in FY2023, -1.7% in FY2024, and 2.6% in FY2025. Net income was -$8.8M in FY2023, -$3.7M in FY2024, and -$60,000 in FY2025. Over the trailing twelve months, revenue reached $223.6M with a profit margin of 0.7% and an operating margin of 6.5%. In the latest quarter ended June 30, 2026, quarterly revenue grew 25.0% year-over-year.
Balance sheet and cash flow
As of June 30, 2026, cash and short-term investments totaled $16.0M against total debt of $161.7M, leaving net debt at $145.7M. The current ratio was 0.71, while debt-to-equity stood at 2.96 with shareholders' equity of $54.6M. Operating cash flow was $2.2M in FY2025. During FY2025, capital expenditures reached $35.3M, yielding free cash flow of -$33.1M. The company also deployed $246.2M for share buybacks and paid $600,000 in dividends.
Valuation and performance
At $8.07, BRCB trades at a trailing P/E of 100.9x and EV/EBITDA of 36.1x, above the median of its US-listed Consumer Cyclical peers of 18.0x and 11.1x. Its price-to-sales ratio of 0.8x is near the peer group median of 0.7x. Over the past year, the stock fell 65.5%, trailing the S&P 500 (SPY) return of 16.8%. The stock also trades 27.8% below its 200-day average.
What analysts expect
Wall Street analysts hold 3 Strong Buy, 1 Buy, and 3 Hold ratings on BRCB, with no Sell or Strong Sell ratings. The mean price target is $11.67, representing a 44.6% premium over the last close of $8.07. For the fiscal year ending December 31, 2026, analysts estimate EPS of $0.20 and revenue of $255.5M. The company has beaten EPS estimates in 2 of the last 4 quarters, and its next earnings date is November 10, 2026.
Key risks and what to watch
- Total debt of $161.7M exceeds shareholders' equity of $54.6M, resulting in a debt-to-equity ratio of 2.96.
- Gross margin dropped from 49.3% in FY2024 to 29.3% in FY2025, signaling profitability pressure.
- Short interest represents 9.7% of the float, reflecting elevated market skepticism.
- The current ratio of 0.71 as of June 30, 2026, indicates that short-term assets do not fully cover short-term liabilities.
AI-generated research summary. Written with AI from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 and checked so every figure matches that data. For information only, not investment advice. Disclaimer
About this BRCB AI stock analysis
This page is an AI-written research summary of Black Rock Coffee Bar, Inc. (BRCB). The text was generated on October 30, 2026 from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 (company profile, annual results, latest balance sheet, valuation, price performance and analyst estimates). An automatic check rejects any draft that contains a figure not found in that data. It is not investment advice; verify figures on the linked tabs before making decisions.
Related: BRCB income statement, BRCB balance sheet, BRCB key metrics, BRCB analyst forecast, BRCB chart. See the BRCB stock overview for the latest quote and news.
BRCB AI stock analysis FAQ
What is Black Rock Coffee Bar's revenue growth rate?
The company delivered a 2-year revenue CAGR of 22.7% from FY2023 to FY2025. In the latest quarter ended June 30, 2026, revenue increased 25.0% year-over-year.
How much debt does BRCB have?
As of June 30, 2026, BRCB reported $161.7M in total debt and $16.0M in cash, resulting in net debt of $145.7M and a debt-to-equity ratio of 2.96.
What is the analyst price target for BRCB?
The mean analyst price target is $11.67, which is 44.6% above the last closing price of $8.07.
When does Black Rock Coffee Bar report earnings next?
The company's next earnings report is scheduled for November 10, 2026.