Bakkt Holdings, Inc. (BKKT) AI Stock Analysis

NYSE: BKKTAI research summary: business, growth, valuation, analysts, bull and bear case.

BKKT AI stock analysis summary

AI Research

Bakkt Holdings, Inc. operates a digital asset platform bridging traditional financial systems and cryptocurrencies. In FY2025, annual revenue fell 33.1% to $2.34B, with a net income of -$107.2M. Over the trailing twelve months ended June 30, 2026, the company generated $1.12B in revenue while quarterly revenue declined 70.1% year-over-year.

Market cap
$251.9M
Revenue (TTM)
$1.12B
P/E
—
1Y return
-85.7%
S&P 500 16.8%
Avg. target
$12.00
114.7% vs last close

Bull case

  • Bakkt maintains net cash of $70.5M with minimal total debt of $63,000 as of June 30, 2026.
  • The stock trades at a price-to-sales multiple of 0.2x, below the US-listed Technology peer median of 2.8x.
  • The analyst consensus mean price target of $12.00 implies an upside of 114.7% over the last close of $5.59.

Bear case

  • In the latest quarter ended June 30, 2026, quarterly revenue dropped by 70.1% year-over-year.
  • Free cash flow was -$153.4M in FY2025, driven by ongoing cash burn and an operating cash flow of -$149.3M.
  • Over the past year, the stock declined 85.7%, significantly lagging the S&P 500 return of 16.8%.

What Bakkt does

Bakkt Holdings, Inc. operates a digital asset platform designed to facilitate the buying, selling, conversion, and spending of digital assets. Catering to merchants, retailers, and financial institutions, the platform serves as an ecosystem for engaging with cryptocurrencies. Bakkt has partnered with Global Payments to integrate cryptocurrency redemption into loyalty programs and expand banking-as-a-service offerings. Founded in 2018 and headquartered in Alpharetta, Georgia, the company operates as a subsidiary of Intercontinental Exchange Holdings, Inc. It leverages its parent company's infrastructure to facilitate transactions and foster adoption of cryptocurrencies across everyday financial services.

Growth and profitability

Annual revenue expanded from $39.4M in FY2021 to $56.2M in FY2022 and $780.1M in FY2023, before reaching $3.49B in FY2024. In FY2025, revenue contracted by 33.1% to $2.34B. Gross margin moved from -349.5% in FY2021 to 1.1% in FY2025, while operating margin was -6.1% in FY2025. Net income stood at -$107.2M in FY2025 compared to -$46.7M in FY2024. For the trailing twelve months, revenue reached $1.12B with an operating margin of -10.8% and an EPS of -$3.67. In the latest quarter ended June 30, 2026, quarterly revenue fell 70.1% year-over-year.

BKKT income statement →

Balance sheet and cash flow

As of June 30, 2026, Bakkt held $70.6M in cash and short-term investments against total debt of $63,000, resulting in net cash of $70.5M. The company reported a current ratio of 3.14 and a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.00, alongside shareholders' equity of $354.4M. For FY2025, operating cash flow was -$149.3M and free cash flow was -$153.4M, with capital expenditures totaling $3.8M. Over five years, its share count changed by -22.8%.

BKKT balance sheet →

Valuation and performance

Bakkt trades at a market capitalization of $251.9M and an enterprise value of $346.8M. Its price-to-sales ratio is 0.2x, below the 2.8x median of its US-listed Technology peers. Its EV-to-EBITDA ratio stands at 0.8x compared to the peer median of 16.6x, while price-to-book is 1.1x. The stock closed at $5.59 on October 16, 2026, down 40.5% from its 200-day average. Over the past year, the shares returned -85.7%, trailing the 16.8% return for the S&P 500 (SPY). Over five years, the stock returned -97.6% versus 83.0% for SPY.

BKKT key metrics →

What analysts expect

Wall Street coverage consists of 1 Strong Buy rating, 0 Buy, 0 Hold, 0 Sell, and 0 Strong Sell ratings. The mean price target is $12.00, which represents 114.7% upside relative to the last close of $5.59. For the current fiscal year ending December 31, 2026, consensus expectations project revenue of $1.20B and an EPS of $2.55, with revenue estimate for the next fiscal year at $0. Bakkt has recorded 1 EPS beat over the last 4 quarters, and its next earnings date is November 9, 2026.

BKKT forecast and price target →

Key risks and what to watch

  • A high beta of 6.07 reflects extreme share price volatility relative to the broader market.
  • Short interest represents 28.5% of float, indicating elevated market skepticism.
  • The company recorded an operating margin of -10.8% and a net loss per share of -$3.67 over the trailing twelve months.
  • FY2025 revenue declined 33.1% to $2.34B, reversing earlier multi-year revenue expansion.

AI-generated research summary. Written with AI from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 and checked so every figure matches that data. For information only, not investment advice. Disclaimer

About this BKKT AI stock analysis

This page is an AI-written research summary of Bakkt Holdings, Inc. (BKKT). The text was generated on October 30, 2026 from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 (company profile, annual results, latest balance sheet, valuation, price performance and analyst estimates). An automatic check rejects any draft that contains a figure not found in that data. It is not investment advice; verify figures on the linked tabs before making decisions.

Related: BKKT income statement, BKKT balance sheet, BKKT key metrics, BKKT analyst forecast, BKKT chart. See the BKKT stock overview for the latest quote and news.

BKKT AI stock analysis FAQ

Does Bakkt Holdings pay a dividend?

Bakkt Holdings does not pay a dividend. Its cash flow from operations was -$149.3M in FY2025 as it funds operations without returning capital via dividends.

What is Bakkt's cash position and debt load?

As of June 30, 2026, Bakkt held $70.6M in cash and short-term investments with total debt of $63,000. This provides a net cash position of $70.5M and a current ratio of 3.14.

How has Bakkt stock performed against the broader market?

Over the 1-year period, BKKT returned -85.7% while the S&P 500 returned 16.8%. Over 5 years, the stock returned -97.6% compared to an 83.0% gain for the benchmark index.

What do Wall Street analysts forecast for BKKT?

Analysts maintain 1 Strong Buy rating with a mean price target of $12.00, representing 114.7% above the last close of $5.59. For the fiscal year ending December 31, 2026, estimated revenue is $1.20B with an EPS estimate of $2.55.

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