Saul Centers, Inc. (BFS) AI Stock Analysis
BFS AI stock analysis summary
AI ResearchSaul Centers, Inc. (BFS) is a self-managed equity real estate investment trust operating 60 properties primarily in the metropolitan Washington, DC/Baltimore area. The company generated $302.2M in trailing twelve months revenue with an operating margin of 41.1%. It offers a forward dividend yield of 8.00% while carrying $1.60B in total debt as of June 30, 2026.
- Market cap
- $1.02B
- Revenue (TTM)
- $302.2M
- P/E
- 30.1x fwd 178.6x
- 1Y return
- 5.8% S&P 500 16.8%
- Avg. target
- $43.00 45.8% vs last close
Bull case
- BFS offers a high forward dividend yield of 8.00% backed by 34 consecutive years of dividend payments.
- Analyst sentiment is positive with 2 Strong Buy ratings and a mean price target of $43.00, implying 45.8% upside from the last close.
- The REIT achieved steady top-line expansion with a 5-year revenue CAGR of 5.3% through FY2025 and quarterly revenue growth of 8.4% in the quarter ending June 30, 2026.
Bear case
- The balance sheet carries significant leverage with total debt of $1.60B compared to $5.9M in cash and a debt-to-equity ratio of 5.42 as of June 30, 2026.
- Analyst estimates project EPS to decline 47.7% in FY2026 to $0.57, contributing to an elevated forward P/E of 178.6x.
- The stock has lagged broader markets over the long term, generating a 5-year return of -12.0% compared to an 83.0% gain for the S&P 500.
What Saul Centers does
Saul Centers, Inc., based in Bethesda, Maryland, is a self-managed and self-administered equity real estate investment trust that operates a portfolio of 60 properties. Its portfolio includes 50 community and neighborhood shopping centers, seven mixed-use properties totaling approximately 9.8 million square feet of leasable area, and three land and development properties. The company focuses operations primarily in the metropolitan Washington, DC/Baltimore area, where approximately 85% of its property operating income is derived. Its portfolio provides spaces for retail, dining, residential, and commercial uses, supported by 156 employees.
Growth and profitability
Saul Centers grew revenue from $239.2M in FY2021 to $245.9M in FY2022, $257.2M in FY2023, $268.8M in FY2024, and $291.6M in FY2025, achieving a 5-year revenue CAGR of 5.3%. Operating margin stood at 44.8% in FY2021, reached 64.8% in FY2023, and was 41.0% in FY2025. Annual net income moved from $3.0M in FY2021 to $52.7M in FY2023 before declining to $37.5M in FY2025. Over the trailing twelve months, revenue reached $302.2M with a profit margin of 11.5% and an operating margin of 41.1%. In the latest quarter ending June 30, 2026, quarterly revenue rose 8.4% year-over-year, while quarterly earnings declined 26.7%.
Balance sheet and cash flow
As of June 30, 2026, Saul Centers held $5.9M in cash and short-term investments alongside total debt of $1.60B, resulting in net debt of $1.60B. Shareholders' equity was $295.9M against total assets of $2.16B, producing a debt-to-equity ratio of 5.42 and a current ratio of 1.35. During FY2025, the company generated $99.8M in operating cash flow and free cash flow. It deployed capital toward $95.9M in capital expenditures and paid $68.3M in dividends, while raising $21.8M through share issuance.
Valuation and performance
At a closing price of $29.49 on October 16, 2026, Saul Centers has a market capitalization of $1.02B and an enterprise value of $2.53B. The stock trades at a trailing P/E of 30.1x and a forward P/E of 178.6x, compared to medians of 21.6x and 23.5x for its US-listed Real Estate peers. Its price-to-sales of 3.4x and EV-to-EBITDA of 14.0x compare to peer medians of 3.7x and 14.7x. Over the past year, BFS gained 5.8%, trailing the 16.8% return of the S&P 500 (SPY), while its 5-year return of -12.0% underperformed SPY's 83.0% gain.
BFS dividend
Saul Centers pays an annualized forward dividend of $2.36 per share, representing a dividend yield of 8.00% with a quarterly distribution frequency. The trust has paid dividends for 34 consecutive years, recording a 5-year annualized dividend growth rate of 2.2%. Its reported payout ratio stands at 1.7%, and the most recent ex-dividend date was October 15, 2026.
What analysts expect
Two analysts cover the company, with 2 Strong Buy ratings and no Buy, Hold, or Sell ratings. The mean price target is $43.00, representing a 45.8% upside from the last close of $29.49. For the fiscal year ending December 31, 2026, estimated revenue is $311.4M with EPS estimated at $0.57, representing an EPS decline of 47.7%. For the following year, 1 analyst estimates EPS of $0.80 and revenue of $322.0M. Saul Centers beat EPS estimates in 3 of the last 4 quarters, with next earnings scheduled for November 5, 2026.
Key risks and what to watch
- Geographic concentration is high, as Saul Centers generates approximately 85% of its property operating income from the metropolitan Washington, DC/Baltimore area.
- Quarterly earnings dropped 26.7% year-over-year in the quarter ending June 30, 2026, signaling near-term profit volatility.
- Substantial annual capital expenditures of $95.9M in FY2025 absorbed nearly all of the company's $99.8M in operating cash flow.
- A high debt load of $1.60B creates ongoing refinancing and interest expense exposure given cash reserves of only $5.9M.
AI-generated research summary. Written with AI from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 and checked so every figure matches that data. For information only, not investment advice. Disclaimer
About this BFS AI stock analysis
This page is an AI-written research summary of Saul Centers, Inc. (BFS). The text was generated on October 30, 2026 from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 (company profile, annual results, latest balance sheet, valuation, price performance and analyst estimates). An automatic check rejects any draft that contains a figure not found in that data. It is not investment advice; verify figures on the linked tabs before making decisions.
Related: BFS income statement, BFS balance sheet, BFS key metrics, BFS analyst forecast, BFS chart. See the BFS stock overview for the latest quote and news.
BFS AI stock analysis FAQ
What is Saul Centers' dividend yield and payout history?
Saul Centers offers an annual forward dividend of $2.36 per share, yielding 8.00% as of October 16, 2026. The company has maintained consecutive dividend payments for 34 years and grew its dividend at an annualized rate of 2.2% over the last 5 years.
Where are Saul Centers' properties located?
Saul Centers manages 60 properties comprising 50 shopping centers, seven mixed-use properties, and three development properties totaling approximately 9.8 million leasable square feet. It generates approximately 85% of its property operating income from the Washington, DC and Baltimore metropolitan area.
How much debt does Saul Centers have?
As of June 30, 2026, the company carried $1.60B in total debt against $5.9M in cash and short-term investments. This resulted in a debt-to-equity ratio of 5.42 and net debt of $1.60B.
When does Saul Centers report its next quarterly earnings?
The company is scheduled to report its next earnings on November 5, 2026. Over the trailing 4 quarters, Saul Centers exceeded EPS estimates in 3 quarters.