BayCom Corp (BCML) AI Stock Analysis

NASDAQ: BCMLAI research summary: business, growth, valuation, analysts, bull and bear case.

BCML AI stock analysis summary

AI Research

BayCom Corp (NASDAQ: BCML) is a bank holding company operating United Business Bank across California, Denver, and Central New Mexico. While the company generated $141.8M in revenue in FY2025 and maintains net cash of $157.9M, trailing twelve month revenue stands lower at $95.7M with quarterly revenue declining 18.4% year-over-year.

Market cap
$340.2M
Revenue (TTM)
$95.7M
P/E
26.0x
fwd 11.9x
1Y return
19.4%
S&P 500 16.8%
Avg. target
$32.75
5.1% vs last close

Bull case

  • BayCom Corp maintains balance sheet liquidity with $157.9M in net cash and a low debt-to-equity ratio of 0.14.
  • Quarterly earnings rose 47.0% year-over-year in the quarter ended June 30, 2026, supported by an attractive forward PEG ratio of 0.99.
  • Shareholders receive a 3.86% dividend yield supported by $30.1M in free cash flow generated in FY2025.

Bear case

  • Quarterly revenue fell 18.4% year-over-year in the latest quarter, contributing to a reduced TTM revenue base of $95.7M.
  • Operating margin has contracted from 30.7% in FY2021 to 16.6% over the trailing twelve months, well below the peer median of 37.7%.
  • Consensus estimates expect EPS to decrease 14.4% in FY2026 to $1.86, following only 1 earnings beat in the last 4 quarters.

What BayCom does

Established in 2004 and headquartered in Walnut Creek, California, BayCom Corp is a bank holding company overseeing United Business Bank. The institution primarily serves small and mid-sized businesses, service professionals, and individuals through 33 full-service banking branches in Northern and Southern California, Denver, and Central New Mexico. Its deposit offerings include demand deposits, savings accounts, money market accounts, and time deposits. Lending operations span commercial real estate loans, multifamily real estate loans, commercial and industrial loans, small business administration loans, construction and land loans, agriculture-related loans, and consumer loans. It also provides online and mobile banking, automated teller machines, remote deposit capture, and treasury management services.

Growth and profitability

BayCom Corp expanded revenue from $92.8M in FY2021 to $141.8M in FY2025, recording a 5-year revenue CAGR of 8.2%. Net income grew from $20.7M in FY2021 to $23.9M in FY2025, while EPS increased from $1.91 to $2.18 over the same period. Operating margin compressed from 30.7% in FY2021 to 23.2% in FY2025, and gross margin declined from 90.0% to 68.4%. Over the trailing twelve months ended June 30, 2026, revenue was $95.7M, with an operating margin of 16.6% and a net profit margin of 13.7%. In the latest quarter, revenue declined 18.4% year-over-year, while quarterly earnings grew 47.0%.

BCML income statement →

Balance sheet and cash flow

As of June 30, 2026, BayCom Corp held $204.5M in cash and short-term investments against $46.6M in total debt, resulting in net cash of $157.9M. Total assets stood at $2.58B alongside shareholders' equity of $335.4M. The company reported a current ratio of 10.96 and a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.14. In FY2025, the business generated $31.8M in operating cash flow and $30.1M in free cash flow. Capital allocation in FY2025 included $1.7M for capital expenditures, $6.9M for share buybacks, and $6.6M in dividends paid.

BCML balance sheet →

Valuation and performance

BayCom Corp carries a market capitalization of $340.2M and an enterprise value of $207.1M. It trades at a trailing P/E of 26.0x, above the 12.1x median of its US-listed Financial Services peers. However, its forward P/E of 11.9x is closer to the peer group median of 10.8x, and its PEG ratio is 0.99. Price-to-sales stands at 3.6x compared to the sector median of 3.2x, while price-to-book is 1.0x. Over the past year, BCML returned 19.4%, outperforming the S&P 500 (SPY) return of 16.8%, and over five years returned 88.7% versus 83.0% for the index.

BCML key metrics →

BCML dividend

BayCom Corp pays a quarterly dividend with an annual forward payout of $1.20 per share, delivering a dividend yield of 3.86%. Its payout ratio is 55.6%, and the company has paid dividends for 5 consecutive years. The most recent ex-dividend date was September 10, 2026.

BCML dividend history →

What analysts expect

Wall Street coverage consists of 1 Strong Buy and 3 Hold ratings. The mean price target is $32.75, representing a 5.1% premium to the last close of $31.15. For the fiscal year ending December 31, 2026, consensus estimates project revenue of $100.2M and EPS of $1.86, an expected EPS decline of 14.4%. For FY2027, four analysts project revenue of $104.8M and EPS of $2.42. Over the last four quarters, the company beat EPS estimates once. The next earnings release date is October 22, 2026.

BCML forecast and price target →

Key risks and what to watch

  • Trailing twelve month return on equity is low at 3.9%, and return on assets stands at 0.5%.
  • Gross margins have declined steadily from 90.0% in FY2021 to 68.4% in FY2025.
  • The trailing P/E multiple of 26.0x is more than double the US-listed Financial Services median of 12.1x.
  • Institutional ownership is high at 65.6%, and short interest accounts for 1.7% of the float.

AI-generated research summary. Written with AI from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 and checked so every figure matches that data. For information only, not investment advice. Disclaimer

About this BCML AI stock analysis

This page is an AI-written research summary of BayCom Corp (BCML). The text was generated on October 30, 2026 from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 (company profile, annual results, latest balance sheet, valuation, price performance and analyst estimates). An automatic check rejects any draft that contains a figure not found in that data. It is not investment advice; verify figures on the linked tabs before making decisions.

Related: BCML income statement, BCML balance sheet, BCML key metrics, BCML analyst forecast, BCML chart. See the BCML stock overview for the latest quote and news.

BCML AI stock analysis FAQ

What is BayCom Corp's dividend yield and payment schedule?

BayCom Corp pays an annual forward dividend of $1.20 per share, which equates to a 3.86% dividend yield. Dividends are paid quarterly with a payout ratio of 55.6%.

How does BayCom Corp's valuation compare to its sector peers?

BayCom Corp trades at a trailing P/E of 26.0x, compared to the median of its US-listed Financial Services peers of 12.1x. Its forward P/E is 11.9x against the peer median of 10.8x, and its price-to-book ratio is 1.0x.

What are analysts forecasting for BayCom Corp's earnings?

Analysts estimate EPS of $1.86 for FY2026, down 14.4% from the prior year, before rebounding 29.5% to $2.42 in FY2027. The mean price target among analysts is $32.75.

How strong is BayCom Corp's balance sheet?

As of June 30, 2026, BayCom Corp held $204.5M in cash and short-term investments against $46.6M in total debt, giving it $157.9M in net cash. Its debt-to-equity ratio is 0.14.

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