Arlo Technologies, Inc. (ARLO) AI Stock Analysis
ARLO AI stock analysis summary
AI ResearchArlo Technologies, Inc. (ARLO) provides smart connected devices and a cloud-based platform for home security. The company expanded gross margin to 44.0% and achieved net income of $14.9M in FY2025, with trailing twelve-month revenue reaching $587.1M. As of June 30, 2026, Arlo maintains a net cash position of $135.4M with minimal total debt of $5.7M.
- Market cap
- $1.31B
- Revenue (TTM)
- $587.1M
- P/E
- 43.4x fwd 13.8x
- 1Y return
- -31.2% S&P 500 16.8%
- Avg. target
- $21.00 72.7% vs last close
Bull case
- Gross margin improved consistently from 24.8% in FY2021 to 44.0% in FY2025.
- Arlo generated $66.9M in free cash flow in FY2025 and held $135.4M in net cash as of June 30, 2026.
- Analysts expect current fiscal year EPS to grow 35.3% to $0.95, yielding a forward P/E of 13.8x and a PEG ratio of 0.55.
Bear case
- Arlo shares declined 31.2% over the past year, significantly lagging the 16.8% return of the S&P 500.
- The stock commands a trailing P/E of 43.4x and an EV/EBITDA of 59.4x, elevated relative to peer medians of 24.8x and 13.9x.
- Quarterly earnings fell 6.7% year-over-year in the period ended June 30, 2026, while trailing twelve-month operating margin remained negative at -3.6%.
What Arlo Technologies does
Arlo Technologies, Inc. operates a global cloud-based platform across the Americas, Europe, the Middle East, Africa, and the Asia Pacific. The company combines an intelligent cloud infrastructure with a mobile application and smart connected devices to deliver home security solutions. Its product lineup includes the Arlo Essential Indoor Camera, Arlo Go 2 LTE/Wi-Fi security camera, Arlo Q series, Arlo Baby monitor, and the Arlo Chime. Arlo also provides the Arlo Ultra and Arlo Pro series with integrated spotlights and color night vision, the Arlo Video Doorbell, wire-free Arlo Floodlight Camera, and accessories including mounts, charging devices, and skins.
Growth and profitability
Arlo increased annual revenue from $435.1M in FY2021 to $529.3M in FY2025, delivering a 5-year revenue CAGR of 8.2%. Gross margin steadily widened from 24.8% in FY2021 to 44.0% in FY2025. After net losses of -$56.0M in FY2021, -$56.6M in FY2022, -$22.0M in FY2023, and -$30.5M in FY2024, the company recorded net income of $14.9M in FY2025 with an operating margin of 1.1%. For the trailing twelve months ended June 30, 2026, revenue totaled $587.1M with a net profit margin of 5.2%. In the latest quarter, quarterly revenue expanded 20.5% year-over-year, while quarterly earnings contracted 6.7%.
Balance sheet and cash flow
As of June 30, 2026, Arlo held $141.1M in cash and short-term investments against $5.7M in total debt, creating a net cash balance of $135.4M. Shareholders' equity was $158.5M alongside total assets of $374.6M, supported by a current ratio of 1.40 and a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.04. In FY2025, operating cash flow was $78.7M and free cash flow reached $66.9M. Cash deployment during FY2025 included $11.8M in capital expenditures and $45.6M in share buybacks.
Valuation and performance
At $12.16 per share, Arlo trades at a trailing P/E of 43.4x, higher than the 24.8x median of its US-listed Industrials peers. In contrast, its forward P/E of 13.8x is below the peer median of 17.2x, corresponding to a PEG ratio of 0.55. The company's EV/EBITDA of 59.4x and price-to-sales of 2.2x both sit above peer medians of 13.9x and 1.5x, respectively. Over the past year, Arlo dropped 31.2%, trailing the 16.8% return of the S&P 500, though its 5-year return of 87.4% surpassed the index's 83.0%.
What analysts expect
Wall Street analysts hold 5 Strong Buy and 2 Buy ratings on Arlo, with 0 Hold, Sell, or Strong Sell recommendations. The mean price target of $21.00 represents a 72.7% premium over the last close of $12.16. For the fiscal year ending December 31, 2026, analysts forecast revenue of $591.5M and EPS of $0.95, representing 35.3% EPS growth. Arlo has beaten EPS estimates in each of the last 4 quarters, and its next earnings date is November 5, 2026.
Key risks and what to watch
- Short interest represents 13.7% of the float, pointing to meaningful negative sentiment.
- The stock has a beta of 1.60 and trades 9.4% below its 200-day moving average.
- Operating margin was -3.6% over the trailing twelve months despite 20.5% revenue growth in the latest quarter.
AI-generated research summary. Written with AI from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 and checked so every figure matches that data. For information only, not investment advice. Disclaimer
About this ARLO AI stock analysis
This page is an AI-written research summary of Arlo Technologies, Inc. (ARLO). The text was generated on October 30, 2026 from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 (company profile, annual results, latest balance sheet, valuation, price performance and analyst estimates). An automatic check rejects any draft that contains a figure not found in that data. It is not investment advice; verify figures on the linked tabs before making decisions.
Related: ARLO income statement, ARLO balance sheet, ARLO key metrics, ARLO analyst forecast, ARLO chart. See the ARLO stock overview for the latest quote and news.
ARLO AI stock analysis FAQ
Does Arlo Technologies pay a dividend?
No, Arlo Technologies does not pay a dividend. The company used its cash flow in FY2025 for $11.8M in capital expenditures and $45.6M in share buybacks.
What is the consensus analyst target for ARLO?
The mean analyst price target is $21.00, which sits 72.7% above the last close of $12.16.
What is Arlo's net cash position?
As of June 30, 2026, Arlo held $141.1M in cash and short-term investments and $5.7M in total debt, resulting in net cash of $135.4M.
When is Arlo's next earnings report?
Arlo's next earnings date is scheduled for November 5, 2026, following 4 consecutive quarters of beating EPS estimates.