Lennox International Inc. (LII) AI Stock Analysis

NYSE: LIIAI research summary: business, growth, valuation, analysts, bull and bear case.

LII AI stock analysis summary

AI Research

Lennox International Inc. is a manufacturer and distributor of heating, ventilation, air conditioning, and refrigeration products. The company generated $5.30B in trailing twelve-month revenue with an operating margin of 22.9%, well above its peer group median. However, the stock has dropped 30.9% over the past year and trades at a forward P/E of 14.2x.

Market cap
$12.36B
Revenue (TTM)
$5.30B
P/E
15.8x
fwd 14.2x
1Y return
-30.9%
S&P 500 16.8%
Avg. target
$449.29
25.6% vs last close

Bull case

  • Operating margin reached 22.9% over the trailing twelve months, exceeding the S&P 500 Industrials peer median of 17.3%.
  • Shares trade at a forward P/E of 14.2x and a PEG ratio of 0.94, well below the peer group median forward P/E of 20.7x.
  • Analyst consensus price target of $449.29 implies 25.6% upside potential from the latest closing price of $357.73.

Bear case

  • Revenue contracted 2.7% in FY2025, and latest quarterly top-line growth of 3.0% trails the S&P 500 Industrials median of 10.3%.
  • Net debt stands at $1.97B against cash and short-term investments of $52.1M, creating a debt-to-equity ratio of 1.56.
  • The stock has lagged the broader market, dropping 30.9% over the past year while the S&P 500 gained 16.8%.

What Lennox does

Lennox International Inc. designs, manufactures, and markets products for the heating, ventilation, air conditioning, and refrigeration markets globally, with primary operations in the United States and Canada. The company organizes its business into three segments: Residential Heating & Cooling, Commercial Heating & Cooling, and Refrigeration. Residential offers furnaces, air conditioners, heat pumps, packaged systems, and replacement parts for replacement and new construction markets. Commercial provides unitary heating and cooling equipment, applied systems, controls, and variable refrigerant flow products. Refrigeration sells condensing units, unit coolers, air handlers, rack systems, and process chillers for supermarkets, convenience stores, restaurants, distribution centers, and data centers.

Growth and profitability

Between FY2021 and FY2024, revenue climbed from $4.19B to $5.34B before declining 2.7% to $5.20B in FY2025. Despite top-line contraction in FY2025, gross margin expanded to 33.4% and operating margin rose to 20.0%, compared to 28.3% and 14.1% in FY2021. Net income reached $805.8M in FY2025 with diluted EPS of $22.62, up from $464.0M and $12.59 in FY2021. For the latest quarter ended June 30, 2026, revenue increased 3.0% year-over-year, while quarterly earnings growth was 0.1%. Lennox produced $638.8M in free cash flow in FY2025.

LII income statement →

Balance sheet and cash flow

As of June 30, 2026, Lennox held $52.1M in cash and short-term investments against total debt of $2.02B, resulting in net debt of $1.97B. Shareholders' equity stood at $1.30B, yielding a debt-to-equity ratio of 1.56, while the current ratio was 1.57. In FY2025, operating cash flow was $757.6M, which supported capital expenditures of $118.8M, dividend payments of $173.0M, and share buybacks of $501.5M. The company has reduced its share count by 5.4% over five years.

LII balance sheet →

Valuation and performance

Lennox trades at a trailing P/E of 15.8x and a forward P/E of 14.2x, lower than the median of its S&P 500 Industrials peers of 28.5x and 20.7x, respectively. Its enterprise value to EBITDA ratio is 12.7x compared to the peer median of 17.7x, and its price-to-sales multiple is 2.3x versus the peer median of 3.3x. Over the past year, the stock fell 30.9%, trailing the S&P 500 ETF (SPY) return of 16.8%. Over five years, Lennox gained 22.9% versus 83.0% for the S&P 500.

LII key metrics →

LII dividend

Lennox pays an annualized forward dividend of $5.44 per share, providing a 1.52% dividend yield based on the last close of $357.73. The dividend payout ratio is 23.6%, and payments are distributed on a quarterly basis. Lennox has paid dividends for 28 consecutive years and achieved a 5-year annualized dividend growth rate of 10.4%. The last ex-dividend date was September 30, 2026.

LII dividend history →

What analysts expect

Wall Street coverage includes 3 Strong Buy, 1 Buy, 13 Hold, and 1 Strong Sell recommendations among 18 analysts. The mean price target is $449.29, representing 25.6% upside from the last close of $357.73. For the fiscal year ending December 31, 2026, analysts estimate EPS of $23.45 on $5.59B in revenue, followed by $25.80 on $5.93B in FY2027. The company beat EPS estimates in 3 of the last 4 quarters, with its next earnings release scheduled for October 28, 2026.

LII forecast and price target →

Key risks and what to watch

  • Short interest represents 9.8% of the float, reflecting meaningful negative sentiment.
  • The company maintains $2.02B in total debt against $52.1M in cash, which could limit balance sheet flexibility.
  • The stock is trading 25.0% below its 200-day moving average and remains near its 52-week low of $340.32.

AI-generated research summary. Written with AI from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 and checked so every figure matches that data. For information only, not investment advice. Disclaimer

About this LII AI stock analysis

This page is an AI-written research summary of Lennox International Inc. (LII). The text was generated on October 30, 2026 from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 (company profile, annual results, latest balance sheet, valuation, price performance and analyst estimates). An automatic check rejects any draft that contains a figure not found in that data. It is not investment advice; verify figures on the linked tabs before making decisions.

Related: LII income statement, LII balance sheet, LII key metrics, LII analyst forecast, LII chart. See the LII stock overview for the latest quote and news.

LII AI stock analysis FAQ

What dividend does Lennox International Inc. pay?

Lennox pays an annual forward dividend of $5.44 per share, translating to a dividend yield of 1.52% on a payout ratio of 23.6%. The company has paid dividends for 28 consecutive years.

What are the analyst earnings expectations for Lennox in FY2026?

Analysts project full-year EPS of $23.45 on revenue of $5.59B for the fiscal year ending December 31, 2026, representing 1.2% EPS growth. In FY2027, EPS is estimated to grow 10.0% to $25.80.

How does Lennox's valuation compare to industry peers?

Lennox trades at a trailing P/E of 15.8x and EV/EBITDA of 12.7x, both lower than the median of its S&P 500 Industrials peers, which sit at 28.5x and 17.7x, respectively.

When is Lennox International's next earnings report?

The company's next earnings release is scheduled for October 28, 2026. Lennox has beaten EPS consensus estimates in 3 of the last 4 quarters.

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