Johnson Controls International plc (JCI) AI Stock Analysis

NYSE: JCIAI research summary: business, growth, valuation, analysts, bull and bear case.

JCI AI stock analysis summary

AI Research

Johnson Controls International plc (NYSE: JCI) is a global provider of advanced building products, technologies, and services. Over the trailing twelve months ended June 30, 2026, the company generated $25.00B in revenue with a profit margin of 14.3%. The stock closed at $145.47, reflecting a 1-year return of 34.6%.

Market cap
$88.12B
Revenue (TTM)
$25.00B
P/E
41.1x
fwd 23.9x
1Y return
34.6%
S&P 500 16.8%
Avg. target
$168.50
15.8% vs last close

Bull case

  • Quarterly earnings expanded 15.3% year-over-year in the quarter ended June 30, 2026, beating consensus estimates across each of the past 4 quarters.
  • FY2026 EPS is projected to reach $5.07, representing an estimated annual earnings growth rate of 34.9%.
  • The company returned substantial cash to shareholders in FY2025, funding $5.99B in share repurchases and reducing its share count by -9.7% over 5 years.

Bear case

  • Valuation multiples trade at a premium to the S&P 500 Industrials peer median, including a trailing P/E of 41.1x versus 28.4x and an EV/EBITDA of 26.3x versus 17.2x.
  • Liquidity metrics show a current ratio of 0.97 as of June 30, 2026, alongside net debt of $8.83B against $641.0M in cash and short-term investments.
  • Free cash flow contracted from $1.60B in FY2024 to $965.0M in FY2025, while 5-year revenue CAGR remained modest at 1.1%.

What Johnson Controls does

Johnson Controls International plc designs, manufactures, retrofits, and services building products and systems globally across four segments: Building Solutions North America, Building Solutions EMEA/LA, Building Solutions Asia Pacific, and Global Products. Its portfolio includes HVAC, controls, building management systems, refrigeration, integrated electronic security, and fire detection and suppression systems. It serves commercial, industrial, retail, small business, institutional, and governmental sectors. The company also offers energy efficiency solutions, technical services such as inspection, maintenance, and repair, data-driven smart building solutions, and residential and commercial control software. Headquartered in Cork, Ireland, the company was founded in 1885 and employs 87,000 people.

Growth and profitability

Between FY2021 and FY2025, revenue grew from $23.67B to $23.60B, with a 5-year revenue CAGR of 1.1% from FY2020 to FY2025. Annual revenue declined 12.8% in FY2022 to $20.64B before rebounding 8.2% in FY2023 to $22.33B, and growing 2.8% in both FY2024 ($22.95B) and FY2025 ($23.60B). Gross margin widened steadily from 34.0% in FY2021 to 36.4% in FY2025, while operating margin rose from 11.7% to 12.0%. Net income reached $3.29B in FY2025 with diluted EPS of $3.77. In the latest quarter ended June 30, 2026, quarterly revenue grew 9.3% year-over-year, and quarterly earnings grew 15.3% year-over-year, supporting trailing twelve month revenue of $25.00B and EPS of $3.54.

JCI income statement →

Balance sheet and cash flow

As of June 30, 2026, Johnson Controls held $641.0M in cash and short-term investments against $9.47B in total debt, resulting in net debt of $8.83B. Shareholders' equity stood at $13.48B, with total assets of $38.76B. The company reported a current ratio of 0.97 and a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.70. In FY2025, operating cash flow was $1.40B and free cash flow was $965.0M. Capital deployment in FY2025 included $434.0M in capital expenditures, $976.0M in dividends paid, and $5.99B in share buybacks, contributing to a 5-year share count change of -9.7%.

JCI balance sheet →

Valuation and performance

At $145.47, Johnson Controls has a market capitalization of $88.12B and an enterprise value of $97.54B. The stock trades at a trailing P/E of 41.1x and a forward P/E of 23.9x, compared to medians of 28.4x and 20.1x for its S&P 500 Industrials peers. Its price-to-sales of 3.5x and EV/EBITDA of 26.3x also sit above peer medians of 3.1x and 17.2x, respectively. The stock's PEG ratio is 1.67. Over the past year, JCI gained 34.6% versus a 16.8% return for the S&P 500 (SPY), while its 5-year return of 125.3% outpaced SPY's 83.0%.

JCI key metrics →

JCI dividend

Johnson Controls pays a quarterly dividend with an annual forward payout of $1.60 per share, yielding 1.10% with a payout ratio of 33.6%. The company has paid dividends for 42 consecutive years, generating an annualized 5-year dividend growth rate of 8.2%. The last ex-dividend date was September 21, 2026.

JCI dividend history →

What analysts expect

Wall Street analyst ratings comprise 11 Strong Buy, 1 Buy, 8 Hold, and 2 Sell recommendations. The mean price target is $168.50, implying a 15.8% upside relative to the last close of $145.47. For the fiscal year ending September 30, 2026, consensus estimates project revenue of $25.57B and EPS of $5.07, representing 34.9% EPS growth. Johnson Controls beat EPS estimates in each of the last 4 quarters, and its next earnings date is October 27, 2026.

JCI forecast and price target →

Key risks and what to watch

  • A current ratio of 0.97 indicates that short-term obligations exceed current liquid assets.
  • Total debt of $9.47B compared to cash and short-term investments of $641.0M creates leverage exposure across debt service cycles.
  • The stock carries a beta of 1.28, implying higher volatility relative to the broader market.
  • Trailing twelve month operating margin of 15.9% trails the S&P 500 Industrials peer median of 17.9%.

AI-generated research summary. Written with AI from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 and checked so every figure matches that data. For information only, not investment advice. Disclaimer

About this JCI AI stock analysis

This page is an AI-written research summary of Johnson Controls International plc (JCI). The text was generated on October 30, 2026 from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 (company profile, annual results, latest balance sheet, valuation, price performance and analyst estimates). An automatic check rejects any draft that contains a figure not found in that data. It is not investment advice; verify figures on the linked tabs before making decisions.

Related: JCI income statement, JCI balance sheet, JCI key metrics, JCI analyst forecast, JCI chart. See the JCI stock overview for the latest quote and news.

JCI AI stock analysis FAQ

What is Johnson Controls' dividend yield and payout schedule?

Johnson Controls pays a quarterly dividend totaling an annual forward amount of $1.60 per share, which corresponds to a dividend yield of 1.10% and a payout ratio of 33.6%.

When is Johnson Controls' next earnings report?

The company's next earnings date is scheduled for October 27, 2026.

How do analysts rate JCI stock?

Among covering analysts, there are 11 Strong Buy, 1 Buy, 8 Hold, and 2 Sell ratings. The mean price target is $168.50, which is 15.8% above the last close of $145.47.

What is Johnson Controls' debt position?

As of June 30, 2026, the company held $641.0M in cash and short-term investments and $9.47B in total debt, resulting in net debt of $8.83B and a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.70.

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