Builders FirstSource, Inc. (BLDR) AI Stock Analysis

NYSE: BLDRAI research summary: business, growth, valuation, analysts, bull and bear case.

BLDR AI stock analysis summary

AI Research

Builders FirstSource, Inc. (BLDR) is a US manufacturer and supplier of building materials and construction services. The company generated $14.45B in trailing twelve-month revenue, but its quarterly earnings fell 82.9% year-over-year in the period ended June 30, 2026. The stock has dropped 55.6% over the past year, trading at a trailing price-to-earnings ratio of 59.4x.

Market cap
$5.88B
Revenue (TTM)
$14.45B
P/E
59.4x
fwd 13.9x
1Y return
-55.6%
S&P 500 16.8%
Avg. target
$71.36
30.6% vs last close

Bull case

  • The stock's forward price-to-earnings ratio of 13.9x is lower than the US-listed Industrials peer median of 17.2x.
  • Analysts project next fiscal year EPS to grow 25.7% to $3.81 alongside revenue of $14.60B.
  • The company has reduced its share count by 43.2% over 5 years, supported by $414.0M in share buybacks during FY2025.

Bear case

  • Quarterly earnings dropped 82.9% year-over-year for the period ended June 30, 2026, with trailing twelve-month profit margin compressing to 0.7%.
  • Net debt reached $5.17B as of June 30, 2026, with cash and short-term investments of just $65.7M relative to $5.24B in total debt.
  • The stock posted a 1-year return of -55.6%, substantially lagging the S&P 500 return of 16.8%.

What Builders FirstSource does

Builders FirstSource, Inc. manufactures and supplies building materials, manufactured components, and construction services for professional homebuilders, sub-contractors, remodelers, and consumers in the United States. Its offerings include lumber and lumber sheet goods such as dimensional lumber, plywood, and oriented strand board used in house framing. The company also supplies manufactured products like wood and steel trusses, wall panels, stairs, windows, doors, and custom products under the Synboard brand. Additionally, it offers gypsum, roofing, insulation, siding, metal studs, cement products, turn-key framing, shell construction, and installation services.

Growth and profitability

Revenue grew at a 5-year CAGR of 12.2% from FY2020 to FY2025, reaching a peak of $22.73B in FY2022 before retreating. Annual revenue fell 24.8% in FY2023 to $17.10B, 4.1% in FY2024 to $16.40B, and 7.4% in FY2025 to $15.19B. Net margin contracted from 12.1% in FY2022 to 2.9% in FY2025, with net income declining from $2.75B to $435.2M. For the latest quarter ending June 30, 2026, quarterly revenue fell 8.8% year-over-year, while quarterly earnings dropped 82.9%. Trailing twelve-month revenue stood at $14.45B with an operating margin of 3.3% and EPS of $0.92.

BLDR income statement →

Balance sheet and cash flow

As of June 30, 2026, Builders FirstSource held $65.7M in cash and short-term investments against total debt of $5.24B, resulting in net debt of $5.17B. The company reported total assets of $11.32B, shareholders' equity of $4.01B, a debt-to-equity ratio of 1.31, and a current ratio of 1.79. In FY2025, operating cash flow was $1.22B and free cash flow was $853.3M. The company spent $362.6M on capital expenditures and $414.0M on share buybacks in FY2025, reducing its share count by 43.2% over 5 years.

BLDR balance sheet →

Valuation and performance

Builders FirstSource has a market capitalization of $5.88B and an enterprise value of $11.54B. The stock trades at a trailing price-to-earnings ratio of 59.4x, which is above the 24.8x median of its US-listed Industrials peers. Its forward price-to-earnings ratio of 13.9x and EV to EBITDA ratio of 11.2x compare to peer medians of 17.2x and 13.9x, respectively. The company trades at a price-to-sales ratio of 0.4x. Over the past year, the stock fell 55.6%, trailing the S&P 500 return of 16.8%.

BLDR key metrics →

What analysts expect

Analyst ratings comprise 8 Strong Buy, 2 Buy, 12 Hold, 0 Sell, and 2 Strong Sell recommendations. The mean price target is $71.36, representing a 30.6% premium over the last close of $54.65 on October 16, 2026. For the fiscal year ending December 31, 2026, analysts estimate revenue of $14.29B and EPS of $3.03, reflecting a 56.1% drop in earnings. Next fiscal year estimates project revenue of $14.60B and EPS of $3.81. Builders FirstSource beat EPS estimates in 1 of the last 4 quarters, with next earnings scheduled for October 29, 2026.

BLDR forecast and price target →

Key risks and what to watch

  • Builders FirstSource carries a debt-to-equity ratio of 1.31 and net debt of $5.17B against $65.7M in cash.
  • The company exceeded analyst EPS estimates in only 1 of the last 4 quarters ahead of its October 29, 2026 earnings report.
  • Share price volatility remains elevated, reflected by a beta of 1.45 and a short interest of 10.2% of float.
  • Annual revenue has fallen consecutively each fiscal year from $22.73B in FY2022 to $15.19B in FY2025.

AI-generated research summary. Written with AI from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 and checked so every figure matches that data. For information only, not investment advice. Disclaimer

About this BLDR AI stock analysis

This page is an AI-written research summary of Builders FirstSource, Inc. (BLDR). The text was generated on October 30, 2026 from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 (company profile, annual results, latest balance sheet, valuation, price performance and analyst estimates). An automatic check rejects any draft that contains a figure not found in that data. It is not investment advice; verify figures on the linked tabs before making decisions.

Related: BLDR income statement, BLDR balance sheet, BLDR key metrics, BLDR analyst forecast, BLDR chart. See the BLDR stock overview for the latest quote and news.

BLDR AI stock analysis FAQ

Does Builders FirstSource pay a dividend?

Builders FirstSource does not pay a dividend. The company utilized $414.0M for share buybacks in FY2025.

What is the average analyst price target for BLDR?

The mean analyst price target is $71.36. This indicates an upside of 30.6% compared to the October 16, 2026 closing price of $54.65.

What are the FY2026 earnings and revenue estimates for BLDR?

For the fiscal year ending December 31, 2026, analysts estimate revenue of $14.29B and EPS of $3.03. This EPS estimate reflects a 56.1% decrease year-over-year.

How much debt does Builders FirstSource have?

As of June 30, 2026, Builders FirstSource had $5.24B in total debt and $65.7M in cash and short-term investments, leaving net debt at $5.17B.

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