Madison Air Solutions Corporation (MAIR) AI Stock Analysis
MAIR AI stock analysis summary
AI ResearchMadison Air Solutions Corporation provides indoor air quality products and solutions, generating $3.75B in trailing twelve month revenue. The company delivered 20.9% year-over-year quarterly revenue growth in the quarter ended June 30, 2026, alongside free cash flow of $439.8M in FY2025. However, net debt stood at $2.82B against $261.8M in cash and short-term investments as of June 30, 2026.
- Market cap
- $11.71B
- Revenue (TTM)
- $3.75B
- P/E
- 47.6x fwd 20.2x
- 1Y return
- — S&P 500 16.8%
- Avg. target
- $38.67 65.7% vs last close
Bull case
- The company achieved a 2-year revenue CAGR of 17.3% from FY2023 to FY2025, with revenue reaching $3.52B in FY2025.
- For the quarter ended June 30, 2026, quarterly revenue increased 20.9% and quarterly earnings surged 111.9% year-over-year.
- Analyst sentiment remains favorable, with 8 Strong Buy ratings and a mean price target of $38.67, implying 65.7% upside over the last close of $23.34.
Bear case
- Net income fell from $175.2M in FY2024 to $30.8M in FY2025, leaving a net margin of 0.9%.
- The company carries total debt of $3.08B against $261.8M in cash and short-term investments as of June 30, 2026, resulting in net debt of $2.82B.
- Trading at a trailing P/E of 47.6x and an EV-to-EBITDA of 19.2x, the stock carries a valuation premium over US-listed Industrials peer medians of 24.8x and 13.9x, respectively.
What Madison Air Solutions does
Madison Air Solutions Corporation manufactures and sells indoor air quality products and solutions in the United States and internationally. It offers heating, air filtration and purification, air movement, and air conditioning solutions under brands including Reznor, AprilAire, Big Ass Fans, Nortek Air Solutions, and Roberts-Gordon. The company also provides related services such as custom design, installation, repair, and maintenance. It distributes through direct sales, manufacturers' sales representatives, distributors, and retail partners, serving data centers, healthcare, education, logistics, advanced manufacturing, and residential markets.
Growth and profitability
Revenue rose from $2.56B in FY2023 to $2.62B in FY2024 and reached $3.52B in FY2025, reflecting a 2-year revenue CAGR of 17.3% and 34.1% annual growth in FY2025. Gross margin expanded from 36.7% in FY2023 to 38.4% in FY2024 and 38.8% in FY2025. Operating margin was 16.4% in FY2023, 18.5% in FY2024, and 14.3% in FY2025. Net income was $58.2M in FY2023, increasing to $175.2M in FY2024 before decreasing to $30.8M in FY2025, which yielded a net margin of 0.9%. For the latest quarter ended June 30, 2026, quarterly revenue growth was 20.9% year-over-year, and quarterly earnings grew 111.9% year-over-year.
Balance sheet and cash flow
As of June 30, 2026, Madison Air Solutions Corporation held $261.8M in cash and short-term investments against total debt of $3.08B, resulting in net debt of $2.82B. Shareholders' equity was $3.65B, representing a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.84, while the current ratio stood at 1.82. In FY2025, the company generated $480.4M in operating cash flow and invested $40.6M in capital expenditures, delivering free cash flow of $439.8M.
Valuation and performance
At a last close of $23.34, Madison Air Solutions Corporation has a market capitalization of $11.71B and an enterprise value of $15.49B. The stock trades at a trailing P/E of 47.6x and a forward P/E of 20.2x, compared to the median of 24.8x and 17.2x, respectively, for its US-listed Industrials peers. Its price-to-sales multiple is 3.1x versus the peer median of 1.5x, and its EV-to-EBITDA is 19.2x versus the peer median of 13.9x. Meanwhile, the S&P 500 (SPY) returned 16.8% over the past 1 year.
What analysts expect
Wall Street coverage consists of 8 Strong Buy, 1 Buy, and 2 Hold ratings, with 0 Sell or Strong Sell ratings. The mean price target of $38.67 represents a 65.7% premium over the last close of $23.34. For the fiscal year ending December 31, 2026, analysts estimate revenue of $3.97B and EPS of $1.05. For the next fiscal year, consensus estimates project revenue of $4.22B and EPS of $1.20, based on 8 analysts. The next earnings date is October 29, 2026.
Key risks and what to watch
- A total debt burden of $3.08B against cash of $261.8M creates balance sheet leverage risks if operating conditions soften.
- Free cash flow exhibited past volatility, dropping from $262.0M in FY2023 to -$10.3M in FY2024 before recovering to $439.8M in FY2025.
- Net profit margin compressed to 0.9% in FY2025 and stands at 3.7% over the trailing twelve months, showing sensitivity to operating costs.
AI-generated research summary. Written with AI from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 and checked so every figure matches that data. For information only, not investment advice. Disclaimer
About this MAIR AI stock analysis
This page is an AI-written research summary of Madison Air Solutions Corporation (MAIR). The text was generated on October 30, 2026 from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 (company profile, annual results, latest balance sheet, valuation, price performance and analyst estimates). An automatic check rejects any draft that contains a figure not found in that data. It is not investment advice; verify figures on the linked tabs before making decisions.
Related: MAIR income statement, MAIR balance sheet, MAIR key metrics, MAIR analyst forecast, MAIR chart. See the MAIR stock overview for the latest quote and news.
MAIR AI stock analysis FAQ
Does Madison Air Solutions Corporation pay a dividend?
No dividend information is reported for Madison Air Solutions Corporation, and the company does not have a recorded dividend yield or payout.
What are analysts forecasting for MAIR's earnings and revenue?
For FY2026, analysts estimate EPS of $1.05 on revenue of $3.97B, followed by EPS of $1.20 on revenue of $4.22B for the next fiscal year.
What is Madison Air Solutions Corporation's current debt level?
As of June 30, 2026, the company held $3.08B in total debt and $261.8M in cash and short-term investments, resulting in net debt of $2.82B and a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.84.
When is the next earnings report for MAIR?
The next earnings date for Madison Air Solutions Corporation is scheduled for October 29, 2026.