Aeva Technologies, Inc. (AEVA) AI Stock Analysis
AEVA AI stock analysis summary
AI ResearchAeva Technologies, Inc. develops frequency modulated continuous wave (FMCW) sensing technology and 4D LiDAR-on-chip solutions. While revenue grew 99.4% to $18.1M in FY2025, the company reported a net income of -$145.4M and free cash flow of -$119.7M. The stock trades at a price-to-sales multiple of 32.4x with net cash of $75.5M as of June 30, 2026.
- Market cap
- $699.1M
- Revenue (TTM)
- $21.6M
- P/E
- —
- 1Y return
- -41.4% S&P 500 16.8%
- Avg. target
- $29.00 189.1% vs last close
Bull case
- Revenue increased 99.4% to $18.1M in FY2025, supported by a 5-year revenue CAGR of 30.1% from FY2020 to FY2025.
- Consensus estimates from 5 analysts project next fiscal year revenue to expand 124.8% to $72.7M.
- The company maintains liquidity with $177.9M in cash and short-term investments, resulting in net cash of $75.5M as of June 30, 2026.
Bear case
- Operating cash flow was -$115.1M and free cash flow was -$119.7M in FY2025, reflecting continued cash burn.
- Dilution has increased supply, with the company's share count rising 50.9% over a 5-year period.
- Valuation multiples remain elevated, featuring a price-to-sales ratio of 32.4x compared to 2.8x for US-listed Technology peers.
What Aeva Technologies does
Aeva Technologies, Inc., headquartered in Mountain View, California, pioneers frequency modulated continuous wave (FMCW) sensing technology. This innovation drives the development of its signature 4D LiDAR-on-chip, aiming to integrate LiDAR technology across automated driving, consumer electronics, consumer health devices, industrial automation, and security applications. Founded in 2017, the company specializes in delivering compact LiDAR systems that enable real-time 4D imaging with spatial awareness and object detection. Beyond automotive solutions, Aeva collaborates with industry partners to implement LiDAR sensing across healthcare devices, consumer electronics, and industrial automation platforms.
Growth and profitability
Aeva increased annual revenue from $9.3M in FY2021 to $18.1M in FY2025, reflecting a 5-year revenue CAGR of 30.1% from FY2020 to FY2025. Following a revenue drop of 54.8% in FY2022 to $4.2M, top-line growth rebounded with increases of 110.2% in FY2024 to $9.1M and 99.4% in FY2025. Gross margin improved from -136.5% in FY2023 to -3.7% in FY2025, though operating margin remained negative at -705.8%. FY2025 net income stood at -$145.4M, with diluted EPS of -$1.94. In the trailing twelve months ended June 30, 2026, revenue reached $21.6M, with quarterly revenue rising 11.3% year-over-year and profit margin at -150.1%.
Balance sheet and cash flow
As of June 30, 2026, Aeva held $177.9M in cash and short-term investments and $102.4M in total debt, leaving net cash of $75.5M. Total assets were $227.8M against shareholders' equity of $27.5M, yielding a current ratio of 7.85 and a debt-to-equity ratio of 3.72. The company continues to record negative operating cash flow, which was -$115.1M in FY2025 alongside capital expenditures of $4.6M, resulting in free cash flow of -$119.7M. Research and development expense totaled $85.4M in FY2025, while the 5-year share count increased 50.9%.
Valuation and performance
Aeva trades at a price-to-sales multiple of 32.4x and an enterprise value-to-revenue multiple of 45.6x, compared to a median price-to-sales of 2.8x for the 805 peers in the US-listed Technology group. Price-to-book sits at 38.5x with an enterprise value of $985.4M and a market capitalization of $699.1M. The stock closed at $10.03 on October 16, 2026, representing a 1-year return of -41.4% and a 5-year return of -73.8%, compared to returns of 16.8% and 83.0% for the S&P 500 (SPY) over those respective periods. Shares trade 41.9% below their 200-day moving average.
What analysts expect
Wall Street coverage includes 3 Strong Buy ratings and 2 Hold ratings. The mean price target of $29.00 indicates a 189.1% premium over the last closing price of $10.03. For the fiscal year ending December 31, 2026, consensus estimates project revenue of $32.4M and an EPS of -$1.53. For the following fiscal year, 5 analysts project revenue of $72.7M, representing 124.8% growth, alongside an EPS estimate of -$1.61. Aeva beat EPS estimates in each of the last 4 quarters, and its next earnings date is November 4, 2026.
Key risks and what to watch
- Ongoing negative profitability includes an operating margin of -563.2% and an EPS of -$2.72 over the trailing twelve months.
- Debt levels are high relative to net assets, evidenced by a debt-to-equity ratio of 3.72 on total debt of $102.4M as of June 30, 2026.
- Short interest is notable, with short percent of float at 18.6% alongside a beta of 2.41.
- The stock trades 41.9% below its 200-day average and has declined 41.4% over the past year.
AI-generated research summary. Written with AI from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 and checked so every figure matches that data. For information only, not investment advice. Disclaimer
About this AEVA AI stock analysis
This page is an AI-written research summary of Aeva Technologies, Inc. (AEVA). The text was generated on October 30, 2026 from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 (company profile, annual results, latest balance sheet, valuation, price performance and analyst estimates). An automatic check rejects any draft that contains a figure not found in that data. It is not investment advice; verify figures on the linked tabs before making decisions.
Related: AEVA income statement, AEVA balance sheet, AEVA key metrics, AEVA analyst forecast, AEVA chart. See the AEVA stock overview for the latest quote and news.
AEVA AI stock analysis FAQ
What was Aeva Technologies' revenue in FY2025?
Aeva Technologies generated revenue of $18.1M in FY2025, representing an increase of 99.4% over FY2024 revenue of $9.1M.
Does Aeva Technologies generate positive cash flow?
No, the company recorded free cash flow of -$119.7M and operating cash flow of -$115.1M in FY2025.
What is the consensus analyst price target for AEVA?
The mean analyst price target is $29.00, which is 189.1% above its last close of $10.03 on October 16, 2026.
How much cash and debt does Aeva Technologies hold?
As of June 30, 2026, the company held $177.9M in cash and short-term investments and $102.4M in total debt, resulting in net cash of $75.5M.