Arcosa, Inc. (ACA) AI Stock Analysis
ACA AI stock analysis summary
AI ResearchArcosa, Inc. (NYSE: ACA) provides infrastructure-related products across construction, engineered structures, and transportation markets. Trailing twelve months revenue stands at $2.92B with an operating margin of 12.3%. The stock trades at a forward P/E of 29.9x following a 59.4% gain over the past year.
- Market cap
- $7.22B
- Revenue (TTM)
- $2.92B
- P/E
- 36.3x fwd 29.9x
- 1Y return
- 59.4% S&P 500 16.8%
- Avg. target
- $146.67 -0.3% vs last close
Bull case
- Gross margin expanded from 17.5% in FY2021 to 22.4% in FY2025, supporting a net income rebound to $208.4M.
- Free cash flow generation remained positive at $175.5M in FY2025 on $340.3M of operating cash flow.
- The company generated a 59.4% one-year total return, outperforming the S&P 500 return of 16.8%.
Bear case
- Forward P/E of 29.9x and trailing P/E of 36.3x trade at a premium to the US-listed Industrials peer medians of 17.2x and 24.8x.
- Quarterly revenue growth slowed to 1.7% year-over-year in the latest quarter, below the peer median of 9.1%.
- The analyst consensus EPS estimate of $4.29 for FY2026 represents a 4.0% decrease compared to FY2025.
What Arcosa does
Arcosa, Inc., along with its subsidiaries, provides a diverse range of infrastructure-related products and solutions for the construction, engineered structures, and transportation markets across North America. The company operates through three main segments: Construction Products, Engineered Structures, and Transportation Products. The Construction Products segment offers natural and recycled aggregates, specialty materials, and construction site support equipment such as trench shields and shoring products. The Engineered Structures segment supplies utility structures, wind towers, traffic structures, and telecommunication structures for power transmission, renewable energy, and communications. The Transportation Products segment delivers inland barges, fiberglass covers, marine hardware, railcar steel components, axles, circular forgings, and cast components.
Growth and profitability
Arcosa grew revenue from $2.04B in FY2021 to $2.88B in FY2025, delivering an 8.3% five-year revenue CAGR through FY2025. Annual revenue expanded 12.2% in FY2025, up from 11.4% in FY2024 and 2.9% in FY2023. Gross margin widened from 17.5% in FY2021 to 22.4% in FY2025, while operating margin rose to 11.8% in FY2025 from 7.7% in FY2024. Net income reached $208.4M in FY2025, representing EPS of $4.47 compared to $3.01 in FY2024. For the latest quarter ended June 30, 2026, revenue increased 1.7% year-over-year, while quarterly earnings grew 448.6%. Trailing twelve months revenue reached $2.92B, with a profit margin of 16.8% and EPS of $4.05.
Balance sheet and cash flow
As of June 30, 2026, Arcosa held $432.1M in cash and short-term investments alongside total debt of $1.44B, resulting in net debt of $1.01B. Total assets stood at $5.30B against shareholders' equity of $2.98B, with a current ratio of 3.12 and a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.48. In FY2025, the company generated $340.3M in operating cash flow and $175.5M in free cash flow. Capital expenditures absorbed $165.6M, while Arcosa allocated $12.9M to share buybacks and $10.0M to dividends.
Valuation and performance
At $147.06 per share, Arcosa has a market capitalization of $7.22B and an enterprise value of $8.20B. ACA trades at a trailing P/E of 36.3x and a forward P/E of 29.9x, both higher than the median of its US-listed Industrials peers at 24.8x and 17.2x, respectively. Its price-to-sales multiple is 2.5x compared to the peer median of 1.5x, and its EV/EBITDA is 14.0x versus the peer median of 13.9x. The stock has risen 59.4% over the past year and 186.4% over five years, compared to gains of 16.8% and 83.0% for the S&P 500 (SPY).
ACA dividend
Arcosa pays an annual forward dividend of $0.20 per share, resulting in a dividend yield of 0.14%. The payout ratio is 4.3%, and the company has paid dividends for 8 consecutive years. Its five-year annualized dividend growth rate is 0.0%, with payments distributed on a quarterly schedule.
What analysts expect
Wall Street coverage includes 1 Buy rating, 2 Hold ratings, and 0 Sell ratings. The mean price target is $146.67, which sits 0.3% below the last close of $147.06. For the fiscal year ending December 31, 2026, analysts estimate EPS of $4.29 on revenue of $2.59B. For the following fiscal year, 4 analysts forecast EPS to grow 19.3% to $5.12 with revenue growing 9.7% to $2.84B. The company beat EPS estimates in 3 of the last 4 quarters, and the next earnings date is October 29, 2026.
Key risks and what to watch
- Arcosa carries $1.01B in net debt with total debt of $1.44B as of June 30, 2026.
- FY2026 revenue is projected to decline to $2.59B from $2.88B reported in FY2025.
- The mean analyst price target of $146.67 sits 0.3% below the recent close of $147.06, indicating limited projected upside from current levels.
AI-generated research summary. Written with AI from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 and checked so every figure matches that data. For information only, not investment advice. Disclaimer
About this ACA AI stock analysis
This page is an AI-written research summary of Arcosa, Inc. (ACA). The text was generated on October 30, 2026 from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 (company profile, annual results, latest balance sheet, valuation, price performance and analyst estimates). An automatic check rejects any draft that contains a figure not found in that data. It is not investment advice; verify figures on the linked tabs before making decisions.
Related: ACA income statement, ACA balance sheet, ACA key metrics, ACA analyst forecast, ACA chart. See the ACA stock overview for the latest quote and news.
ACA AI stock analysis FAQ
What is Arcosa's dividend yield and payout schedule?
Arcosa pays a quarterly dividend of $0.20 per share on an annualized forward basis, resulting in a yield of 0.14%. The company's dividend payout ratio is 4.3%, and it has paid dividends for 8 consecutive years.
How does Arcosa's valuation compare to its industry peers?
Arcosa trades at a forward P/E of 29.9x and a trailing P/E of 36.3x, both above the median of its US-listed Industrials peers of 17.2x and 24.8x. Its EV/EBITDA stands at 14.0x, in line with the peer median of 13.9x.
What are analysts forecasting for Arcosa's next fiscal year?
For the fiscal year ending December 31, 2027, 4 analysts forecast EPS to rise 19.3% to $5.12. Next-year revenue is expected to grow 9.7% to $2.84B.
When is Arcosa's next earnings report?
Arcosa is scheduled to report its next financial results on October 29, 2026.