Washington Federal, Inc. (WAFD) AI Stock Analysis
WAFD AI stock analysis summary
AI ResearchWashington Federal, Inc. (WAFD) is a Seattle-based bank holding company operating Washington Federal Bank across the western United States. In FY2026, the company generated revenue of $1.42B and net income of $255.9M. Its shares trade at a trailing price-to-earnings multiple of 9.2x and offer a dividend yield of 3.71%.
- Market cap
- $2.16B
- Revenue (TTM)
- $776.2M
- P/E
- 9.2x fwd 13.6x
- 1Y return
- 8.1% S&P 500 16.8%
- Avg. target
- $34.25 17.5% vs last close
Bull case
- The stock trades at a discount to book value with a price-to-book ratio of 0.8x and a trailing P/E of 9.2x.
- The company maintains a 40-year track record of uninterrupted dividend payments with a payout ratio of 27.3%.
- Consensus estimates project EPS to grow 9.6% to $3.55 in the fiscal year ending September 30, 2027.
Bear case
- Over the past five years, the stock generated a return of -4.9%, substantially trailing the S&P 500 return of 83.0%.
- Net interest and operational margins have compressed from a 43.8% operating margin in FY2023 to 23.1% in FY2026.
- Short interest represents 10.4% of the float, reflecting notable negative sentiment.
What Washington Federal does
Washington Federal, Inc. operates as a bank holding company overseeing Washington Federal Bank, which provides comprehensive banking services across the United States. Founded in 1917 and headquartered in Seattle, Washington, the institution offers lending, depository, insurance, and fiduciary services. Its deposit offerings include checking accounts, certificates of deposit, money market accounts, and passbook savings accounts. The company's lending activities span single-family residential mortgages, commercial real estate loans, construction financing, consumer lot loans, and home equity lines of credit. It also provides insurance brokerage, real estate investment and management, mobile and online banking, and card issuance. As of September 30, 2021, it maintained 219 branches across eight western states.
Growth and profitability
Between FY2021 and FY2026, Washington Federal achieved a 5-year revenue compound annual growth rate of 16.8%. Annual revenue expanded from $733.4M in FY2022 to $1.43B in FY2024 before stabilizing at $1.41B in FY2025 and $1.42B in FY2026. Gross margin stood at 54.7% in FY2026, up from 50.9% in FY2025 but down from 100.0% in FY2023. Operating margin was 23.1% in FY2026, compared to 20.5% in FY2025 and 40.9% in FY2022. Net income rose from $226.1M in FY2025 to $255.9M in FY2026, yielding diluted EPS of $3.23. For the latest quarter ended September 30, 2026, quarterly revenue grew 8.2% year-over-year, while quarterly earnings grew 5.3%.
Balance sheet and cash flow
As of September 30, 2026, Washington Federal held $749.7M in cash and short-term investments and $27.23B in total assets. Total debt stood at $2.55B, resulting in net debt of $1.80B against shareholders' equity of $3.00B, reflecting a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.85 and a current ratio of 0.04. In FY2025, capital expenditures were $28.7M, while operating cash flow totaled $237.0M and free cash flow reached $208.2M. Cash returns to shareholders in FY2025 included $101.9M in share buybacks and $99.3M in dividends paid.
Valuation and performance
At a closing price of $29.15 on October 16, 2026, Washington Federal had a market capitalization of $2.16B and an enterprise value of $4.25B. The stock trades at a trailing price-to-earnings multiple of 9.2x, below the median of its US-listed Financial Services peers of 12.1x, while its forward P/E of 13.6x sits above the peer median of 10.8x. Its price-to-book ratio is 0.8x and its price-to-sales ratio is 2.8x compared to the peer median of 3.2x. Over the past year, WAFD produced a return of 8.1%, trailing the S&P 500 (SPY) return of 16.8%. Over five years, the stock returned -4.9% compared to 83.0% for the index.
WAFD dividend
Washington Federal pays a quarterly dividend with an annual forward payout of $1.08 per share, translating to a dividend yield of 3.71%. The company maintains a payout ratio of 27.3% and has paid dividends for 40 consecutive years. Its 5-year annualized dividend growth rate is 4.2%, and the last ex-dividend date was August 21, 2026.
What analysts expect
Wall Street coverage consists of 4 Hold ratings, with 0 Buy, 0 Strong Buy, 0 Sell, and 0 Strong Sell ratings. The mean price target is $34.25, representing 17.5% upside compared to the last close of $29.15. For the current fiscal year ending September 30, 2027, consensus estimates project EPS of $3.55 on revenue of $1.83B. For the subsequent fiscal year, 2 analysts project EPS of $4.03 and revenue of $2.25B. Over the last four quarters, the bank has recorded 2 EPS beats.
Key risks and what to watch
- The stock trades 13.7% below its 200-day moving average and remains down 6.8% year-to-date.
- Total debt of $2.55B exceeds cash and short-term investments of $749.7M, resulting in net debt of $1.80B.
- The bank missed consensus EPS estimates in 2 of the past 4 quarters.
AI-generated research summary. Written with AI from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 and checked so every figure matches that data. For information only, not investment advice. Disclaimer
About this WAFD AI stock analysis
This page is an AI-written research summary of Washington Federal, Inc. (WAFD). The text was generated on October 30, 2026 from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 (company profile, annual results, latest balance sheet, valuation, price performance and analyst estimates). An automatic check rejects any draft that contains a figure not found in that data. It is not investment advice; verify figures on the linked tabs before making decisions.
Related: WAFD income statement, WAFD balance sheet, WAFD key metrics, WAFD analyst forecast, WAFD chart. See the WAFD stock overview for the latest quote and news.
WAFD AI stock analysis FAQ
What is Washington Federal's dividend yield and payment schedule?
Washington Federal pays a quarterly dividend totaling $1.08 per year, which equates to a 3.71% dividend yield. The company has paid consecutive dividends for 40 years.
What are analysts' price targets for WAFD stock?
Analysts maintain a mean price target of $34.25 for WAFD, which is 17.5% above its closing price of $29.15 on October 16, 2026. All 4 covering analysts rate the stock as a Hold.
How did Washington Federal perform in FY2026?
In FY2026, Washington Federal generated $1.42B in revenue, up 0.5% from FY2025. Annual net income reached $255.9M, representing diluted earnings per share of $3.23.
How does Washington Federal's valuation compare to its peer group?
WAFD trades at a trailing P/E of 9.2x compared to the median of 12.1x for its US-listed Financial Services peers. However, its forward P/E of 13.6x sits above the peer median of 10.8x.