Valvoline Inc. (VVV) AI Stock Analysis

Valvoline Inc. operates a network of retail stores across the United States and Canada, specializing in automotive services for a diverse range of vehicles. Its product offerings include cabin air filter replacements, battery replacements, and tire rotations designed to enhance vehicle performance and longevity. Tracing its heritage back to 1866, the company operates 1,700 system-wide service center stores delivering maintenance solutions. Headquartered in Lexington, Kentucky, the company employs 10,600 people and focuses on customer satisfaction and operational excellence across the North American automotive aftermarket.

Annual revenue increased from $1.04B in FY2021 to $1.71B in FY2025, recording a 5-year revenue CAGR of 18.7%. Annual revenue growth moderated from 42.7% in FY2021 to 12.2% in FY2024 and 5.6% in FY2025. Operating margin was 23.1% in FY2021, 17.8% in FY2022, 17.1% in FY2023, 22.7% in FY2024, and 22.8% in FY2025. Net income was $420.3M in FY2021, $424.3M in FY2022, $1.42B in FY2023, $211.5M in FY2024, and $210.7M in FY2025. For the trailing twelve months, revenue reached $1.96B with a profit margin of 5.2%. In the latest quarter ended June 30, 2026, quarterly revenue grew 24.1% year-over-year and quarterly earnings grew 15.7%.

As of June 30, 2026, Valvoline held $84.2M in cash and short-term investments against total debt of $1.98B, resulting in net debt of $1.90B. The company reported shareholders' equity of $416.7M, a debt-to-equity ratio of 4.75, and a current ratio of 0.70. Operating cash flow stood at $297.2M in FY2025, while free cash flow reached $38.0M. During FY2025, capital expenditures were $259.2M, and the company deployed $76.8M toward share buybacks, contributing to a 5-year share count change of -29.5%.

Valvoline closed at $31.46 on October 16, 2026, representing a market cap of $4.01B and an enterprise value of $5.56B. The stock trades at a trailing P/E of 38.8x and a forward P/E of 13.5x, compared to medians of 18.0x and 14.1x for its US-listed Consumer Cyclical peers. Its price-to-sales multiple is 2.0x, above the peer median of 0.7x, while its EV-to-EBITDA stands at 12.4x versus the peer median of 11.1x. Over the past year, the stock declined 9.1%, underperforming the S&P 500 (SPY) return of 16.8%.

Analyst ratings comprise 10 Strong Buy, 2 Buy, and 4 Hold recommendations, with zero Sell or Strong Sell ratings. The mean price target is $42.81, which is 36.1% above the last close of $31.46. For the current fiscal year ending September 30, 2026, analysts estimate EPS of $1.76 and revenue of $2.08B. For the next fiscal year, 16 analysts project EPS of $1.98 and revenue of $2.32B. Valvoline beat EPS estimates in 3 of the last 4 quarters, and its next earnings date is November 18, 2026.

This page is an AI-written research summary of Valvoline Inc. (VVV). The text was generated on October 30, 2026 from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 (company profile, annual results, latest balance sheet, valuation, price performance and analyst estimates). An automatic check rejects any draft that contains a figure not found in that data. It is not investment advice; verify figures on the linked tabs before making decisions.

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