CarMax, Inc. (KMX) AI Stock Analysis
KMX AI stock analysis summary
AI ResearchCarMax, Inc. (KMX) is a leading nationwide retailer of used vehicles and automotive financing solutions. Trailing twelve month revenue stands at $29.46B with a profit margin of 1.0%, while the latest quarter saw revenue grow 17.7% year-over-year. The company carries $17.87B in total debt and trades at a trailing P/E of 25.3x.
- Market cap
- $7.57B
- Revenue (TTM)
- $29.46B
- P/E
- 25.3x fwd 21.6x
- 1Y return
- 23.2% S&P 500 16.8%
- Avg. target
- $63.77 19.6% vs last close
Bull case
- Quarterly revenue grew 17.7% and quarterly earnings surged 81.6% year-over-year in the period ended August 31, 2026.
- Free cash flow improved substantially to $1.24B in FY2026, supporting $642.8M in share repurchases.
- CarMax beat consensus EPS estimates in each of the last 4 quarters, and analysts expect 92.3% EPS growth in FY2027.
Bear case
- Annual revenue fell for four consecutive fiscal years, declining from $31.90B in FY2022 to $25.88B in FY2026.
- Total debt of $17.87B significantly exceeds cash and short-term investments of $170.5M, leaving net debt at $17.70B.
- The stock trades at a trailing P/E of 25.3x and an EV to EBITDA of 16.8x, both above its US-listed Consumer Cyclical peer medians.
What CarMax does
CarMax, Inc. operates as a retailer specializing in pre-owned vehicles across the United States. It functions through two primary segments: CarMax Sales Operations and CarMax Auto Finance. The company sells domestic, imported, luxury, hybrid, and electric vehicles, while offering extended protection plans, reconditioning, and vehicle repair services. Older inventory, typically around 10 years old with over 100,000 miles, is sold through wholesale auctions. Through CarMax Auto Finance and third-party financial institutions, it provides financing options across a range of credit tiers. As of February 28, 2022, the company operated approximately 230 used car stores nationwide.
Growth and profitability
CarMax achieved a 5-year revenue CAGR of 6.4% from FY2021 to FY2026, though annual sales declined from $31.90B in FY2022 to $25.88B in FY2026. Annual net income decreased from $1.15B in FY2022 to $247.3M in FY2026, yielding net margins of 1.0% in FY2026 compared to 3.6% in FY2022. Operating margins were negative across FY2023 through FY2026, ending at -1.6% in FY2026. However, performance rebounded in the trailing twelve months, generating $29.46B in revenue and an operating margin of 2.8%. In the latest quarter ended August 31, 2026, quarterly revenue grew 17.7% year-over-year and quarterly earnings grew 81.6%.
Balance sheet and cash flow
As of August 31, 2026, CarMax held $170.5M in cash and short-term investments against $17.87B in total debt, resulting in net debt of $17.70B. Shareholders' equity was $6.30B, leading to a debt-to-equity ratio of 2.83, while the current ratio stood at 2.33. In FY2026, operating cash flow reached $1.78B and free cash flow was $1.24B. The company deployed cash toward $541.0M in capital expenditures and $642.8M in share buybacks, helping reduce its share count by 13.6% over five years.
Valuation and performance
KMX trades at a trailing P/E of 25.3x and a forward P/E of 21.6x, both higher than the median of its US-listed Consumer Cyclical peers at 18.0x and 14.1x, respectively. Its EV to EBITDA multiple of 16.8x also sits above the peer median of 11.1x, though its price-to-sales of 0.3x is below the peer median of 0.7x. Over the past year, the stock returned 23.2% compared to 16.8% for SPY. Over five years, KMX fell 61.0%, while SPY gained 83.0%.
What analysts expect
Wall Street coverage includes 4 Strong Buy, 15 Hold, and 1 Sell ratings. The mean price target of $63.77 indicates 19.6% upside compared to the last close of $53.33. Over the last four quarters, CarMax posted 4 EPS beats. For the current fiscal year ending February 28, 2027, analysts project revenue of $29.03B and EPS of $3.23, representing 92.3% EPS growth. For the next fiscal year, 15 analysts forecast revenue of $29.39B and EPS of $3.53.
Key risks and what to watch
- Profitability has been thin, with a trailing twelve month net margin of just 1.0% and return on assets of 1.8%.
- CarMax maintains a elevated debt-to-equity ratio of 2.83, supported by $6.30B in shareholders' equity against $17.87B in debt.
- Short interest sits at 8.6% of float, and the stock exhibits higher volatility with a beta of 1.23.
- Operating margin was negative for four straight fiscal years from FY2023 through FY2026, bottoming at -1.6% in FY2026.
AI-generated research summary. Written with AI from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 and checked so every figure matches that data. For information only, not investment advice. Disclaimer
About this KMX AI stock analysis
This page is an AI-written research summary of CarMax, Inc. (KMX). The text was generated on October 30, 2026 from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 (company profile, annual results, latest balance sheet, valuation, price performance and analyst estimates). An automatic check rejects any draft that contains a figure not found in that data. It is not investment advice; verify figures on the linked tabs before making decisions.
Related: KMX income statement, KMX balance sheet, KMX key metrics, KMX analyst forecast, KMX chart. See the KMX stock overview for the latest quote and news.
KMX AI stock analysis FAQ
Does CarMax pay a dividend?
No, CarMax does not pay a dividend. Capital is instead allocated to initiatives such as capital expenditures of $541.0M and share buybacks of $642.8M in FY2026.
What is CarMax's net debt?
As of August 31, 2026, CarMax had net debt of $17.70B, calculated from $17.87B in total debt less $170.5M in cash and short-term investments.
What are analysts' price targets for KMX?
Analysts have a mean price target of $63.77 for KMX, which represents a 19.6% premium over its last close of $53.33.
How did CarMax perform in its latest reported quarter?
In the quarter ended August 31, 2026, CarMax generated year-over-year revenue growth of 17.7% and earnings growth of 81.6%.