Group 1 Automotive, Inc. (GPI) AI Stock Analysis

NYSE: GPIAI research summary: business, growth, valuation, analysts, bull and bear case.

GPI AI stock analysis summary

AI Research

Group 1 Automotive, Inc. (GPI) is an automotive retailer operating across the new and used vehicle, parts, and service segments. While full-year revenue expanded from $13.48B in FY2021 to $22.57B in FY2025, net income contracted to $323.7M as operating margins fell to 4.2%. The stock trades at a trailing P/E of 10.1x with total debt standing at $5.98B as of June 30, 2026.

Market cap
$2.89B
Revenue (TTM)
$22.15B
P/E
10.1x
fwd 5.7x
1Y return
-43.4%
S&P 500 16.8%
Avg. target
$333.33
37.6% vs last close

Bull case

  • The stock trades at a low valuation with a forward P/E of 5.7x, a PEG ratio of 0.29, and a price-to-book ratio of 1.0x.
  • Analyst estimates forecast FY2027 earnings growth of 9.9% to reach an EPS of $40.86 alongside revenue expansion of 5.3% to $23.26B.
  • Capital return programs remain active, illustrated by $554.8M in FY2025 share repurchases and a 34.4% reduction in share count over 5 years.

Bear case

  • Profitability has weakened, with net margin narrowing to 1.4% in FY2025 and trailing twelve month earnings declining 20.1% year-over-year in the latest quarter.
  • The balance sheet carries significant leverage, featuring $5.98B in total debt compared to $164.5M in cash and a debt-to-equity ratio of 2.03.
  • Execution has missed expectations recently, with 0 EPS beats over the last 4 quarters and a 1-year stock decline of 43.4%.

What Group 1 Automotive does

Group 1 Automotive, Inc., based in Houston, Texas, operates in the automotive retail sector through its subsidiaries. The company sells new and used cars, light trucks, and vehicle parts, while also providing vehicle financing arrangements, service and insurance contracts, and maintenance and repair services. Founded in 1995, Group 1 Automotive maintains a portfolio of automotive brands and works with vehicle manufacturers to serve retail customers across an extensive network of dealership locations.

Growth and profitability

Group 1 Automotive generated a 5-year revenue CAGR of 16.3% between FY2020 and FY2025, with revenue climbing from $13.48B in FY2021 to $22.57B in FY2025. However, net margins compressed steadily over the same span, moving from 4.1% in FY2021 to 1.4% in FY2025 as net income decreased from $552.1M to $323.7M. In the latest quarter ended June 30, 2026, quarterly revenue fell 5.6% year-over-year, while quarterly earnings declined 20.1% year-over-year, leaving trailing twelve month net margin at 1.3% on $22.15B in revenue.

GPI income statement →

Balance sheet and cash flow

As of June 30, 2026, Group 1 Automotive held $164.5M in cash and short-term investments against $5.98B in total debt, yielding net debt of $5.82B and a debt-to-equity ratio of 2.03. The current ratio was 1.02, alongside shareholders' equity of $2.95B. In FY2025, operating cash flow reached $644.9M and free cash flow stood at $374.9M. Capital allocation in FY2025 included $270.0M for capital expenditures, $554.8M for share buybacks, and $25.6M for dividend payments.

GPI balance sheet →

Valuation and performance

Group 1 Automotive trades at a trailing P/E of 10.1x and a forward P/E of 5.7x, both below the median of its US-listed Consumer Cyclical peers of 18.0x and 14.1x, respectively. Its price-to-sales multiple is 0.1x, compared to the peer median of 0.7x, while its EV/EBITDA stands at 10.5x versus the peer median of 11.1x. The stock has dropped 43.4% over the past year, underperforming the S&P 500 (SPY) gain of 16.8%, and currently trades 22.7% below its 200-day average.

GPI key metrics →

GPI dividend

Group 1 Automotive pays an annual forward dividend of $2.20 per share, delivering a dividend yield of 0.91% based on a payout ratio of 5.8%. The company distributes dividends quarterly and has paid dividends for 17 consecutive years, with a 5-year annualized dividend growth rate of 27.2%. Its last ex-dividend date was September 1, 2026.

GPI dividend history →

What analysts expect

Wall Street analysts hold 7 Strong Buy, 1 Buy, 3 Hold, 0 Sell, and 1 Strong Sell recommendations on GPI. The mean price target is $333.33, representing a 37.6% premium over the last close of $242.22. Consensus estimates project current fiscal year EPS of $37.19, reflecting an 8.6% drop on $22.10B in revenue. For the following fiscal year, 12 analysts expect EPS of $40.86 on revenue of $23.26B. The company recorded 0 EPS beats over the last 4 quarters, with next earnings scheduled for October 28, 2026.

GPI forecast and price target →

Key risks and what to watch

  • Short interest represents 17.6% of the float, indicating elevated negative positioning in the market.
  • Net debt stands at $5.82B against a market cap of $2.89B, exposing the firm to debt-service constraints.
  • Quarterly revenue shrank 5.6% year-over-year in the period ending June 30, 2026, pointing to contracting near-term sales volume.

AI-generated research summary. Written with AI from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 and checked so every figure matches that data. For information only, not investment advice. Disclaimer

About this GPI AI stock analysis

This page is an AI-written research summary of Group 1 Automotive, Inc. (GPI). The text was generated on October 30, 2026 from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 (company profile, annual results, latest balance sheet, valuation, price performance and analyst estimates). An automatic check rejects any draft that contains a figure not found in that data. It is not investment advice; verify figures on the linked tabs before making decisions.

Related: GPI income statement, GPI balance sheet, GPI key metrics, GPI analyst forecast, GPI chart. See the GPI stock overview for the latest quote and news.

GPI AI stock analysis FAQ

What is Group 1 Automotive's current valuation?

GPI has a market capitalization of $2.89B and an enterprise value of $8.56B. It trades at a trailing P/E of 10.1x, a forward P/E of 5.7x, and an EV/EBITDA of 10.5x.

Does Group 1 Automotive pay a dividend?

Yes, Group 1 Automotive pays a forward annual dividend of $2.20 per share, which corresponds to a 0.91% yield. The dividend has been paid for 17 consecutive years and carries a payout ratio of 5.8%.

How much debt does Group 1 Automotive have?

As of June 30, 2026, the company held $5.98B in total debt and $164.5M in cash and short-term investments, resulting in net debt of $5.82B and a debt-to-equity ratio of 2.03.

When is Group 1 Automotive's next earnings report?

The company's next earnings report date is scheduled for October 28, 2026.

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