VSE Corporation (VSEC) AI Stock Analysis

NASDAQ: VSECAI research summary: business, growth, valuation, analysts, bull and bear case.

VSEC AI stock analysis summary

AI Research

VSE Corporation is an aftermarket products and services provider operating across Aviation, Fleet, and Federal and Defense segments. Over the trailing twelve months, the company generated $1.36B in revenue with an operating margin of 12.7% and quarterly revenue growth of 65.0%. However, its total debt stands at $1.03B, and its trailing price-to-earnings multiple of 52.4x trades at a substantial premium to peers.

Market cap
$4.60B
Revenue (TTM)
$1.36B
P/E
52.4x
fwd 22.5x
1Y return
5.2%
S&P 500 16.8%
Avg. target
$257.11
56.7% vs last close

Bull case

  • Quarterly revenue expanded 65.0% year-over-year in the latest quarter ended June 30, 2026, while quarterly earnings surged 488.4%.
  • Analyst sentiment is predominantly positive, with 8 Strong Buy ratings and a mean price target of $257.11, implying 56.7% upside over the last close.
  • The company has maintained regular quarterly dividend payments for 42 consecutive years with a low payout ratio of 7.9%.

Bear case

  • Valuation multiples remain elevated, with a trailing P/E of 52.4x and EV to EBITDA of 33.7x compared to US-listed Industrials medians of 24.8x and 13.9x.
  • Total debt stands at $1.03B, creating net debt of $950.2M against $75.4M in cash and short-term investments.
  • The company expanded its share count by 145.7% over the past 5 years, resulting in significant shareholder dilution.

What VSE does

VSE Corporation provides aftermarket products and services across three distinct segments: Aviation, Fleet, and Federal and Defense. The Aviation segment delivers international parts distribution, supply chain solutions, and maintenance, repair, and overhaul (MRO) services for components and engine accessories to commercial airlines, cargo transporters, and private aircraft owners. The Fleet segment provides parts supply, inventory management, e-commerce fulfillment, and logistics services for commercial, federal, and truck fleet customers. The Federal and Defense segment provides refurbishment, sustainment, engineering, logistics, and maintenance services to extend the life cycle of military vehicles, ships, and aircraft for the United States Department of Defense.

Growth and profitability

VSE Corporation increased annual revenue from $750.9M in FY2021 to $1.11B in FY2025, recording a five-year revenue CAGR of 10.9%. After declining 10.8% in FY2022, revenue rose 28.5% in FY2023, 25.5% in FY2024, and 3.0% in FY2025. Operating margin expanded from 2.9% in FY2021 to 11.2% in FY2025, while net income grew from $8.0M to $53.5M over the same period. For the trailing twelve months, revenue reached $1.36B with an operating margin of 12.7% and a profit margin of 5.5%. In the latest quarter ended June 30, 2026, quarterly revenue grew 65.0% year-over-year, and quarterly earnings grew 488.4%.

VSEC income statement →

Balance sheet and cash flow

As of June 30, 2026, VSE Corporation held $75.4M in cash and short-term investments alongside total debt of $1.03B, resulting in net debt of $950.2M. The company maintains a current ratio of 3.77 and a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.35 against shareholders' equity of $2.93B. In FY2025, operating cash flow turned positive to $27.0M, supporting free cash flow of $5.7M. Capital expenditures absorbed $21.3M during FY2025, while dividends paid totaled $8.3M. The company's share count increased 145.7% over five years.

VSEC balance sheet →

Valuation and performance

VSE Corporation trades at a trailing P/E of 52.4x and a forward P/E of 22.5x, both above the median of its US-listed Industrials peers of 24.8x and 17.2x, respectively. Its enterprise value stands at $5.96B with an EV to EBITDA ratio of 33.7x, compared to the peer median of 13.9x, and a price-to-sales ratio of 3.4x versus 1.5x for peers. Over the past year, the stock returned 5.2%, trailing the S&P 500 return of 16.8%. Over five years, however, VSEC gained 252.5% versus 83.0% for the S&P 500.

VSEC key metrics →

VSEC dividend

VSE Corporation pays an annual forward dividend of $0.40 per share, delivering a dividend yield of 0.24% with a payout ratio of 7.9%. Dividends are distributed quarterly and have been paid for 42 consecutive years, registering a five-year annualized dividend growth rate of 2.1%. The last ex-dividend date was October 15, 2026.

VSEC dividend history →

What analysts expect

Wall Street coverage on VSE Corporation consists of 8 Strong Buy, 1 Buy, and 2 Hold ratings, with no Sell or Strong Sell recommendations. The consensus mean price target is $257.11, representing a 56.7% upside relative to the last close of $164.08. Analysts estimate FY2026 revenue of $1.81B and EPS of $6.79, reflecting 73.3% earnings growth. For FY2027, 10 analysts project revenue of $2.20B and EPS of $8.28. The company has beat EPS estimates in each of the last 4 quarters, with next earnings scheduled for November 4, 2026.

VSEC forecast and price target →

Key risks and what to watch

  • The stock is trading 17.1% below its 200-day average and exhibits higher volatility with a beta of 1.27.
  • Free cash flow was negative in three of the last five fiscal years, including -$51.7M in FY2024, before recovering to $5.7M in FY2025.
  • Short interest represents 8.3% of the float, reflecting meaningful market skepticism.
  • The business carries $1.03B in total debt with only $75.4M in cash and short-term investments.

AI-generated research summary. Written with AI from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 and checked so every figure matches that data. For information only, not investment advice. Disclaimer

About this VSEC AI stock analysis

This page is an AI-written research summary of VSE Corporation (VSEC). The text was generated on October 30, 2026 from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 (company profile, annual results, latest balance sheet, valuation, price performance and analyst estimates). An automatic check rejects any draft that contains a figure not found in that data. It is not investment advice; verify figures on the linked tabs before making decisions.

Related: VSEC income statement, VSEC balance sheet, VSEC key metrics, VSEC analyst forecast, VSEC chart. See the VSEC stock overview for the latest quote and news.

VSEC AI stock analysis FAQ

What is VSE Corporation's dividend yield and payout history?

VSE Corporation offers an annual forward dividend of $0.40 per share, yielding 0.24% with a payout ratio of 7.9%. The company has paid dividends for 42 consecutive years, growing them at a 2.1% annualized rate over the last five years.

How did VSE Corporation perform in its most recent quarter?

In the quarter ended June 30, 2026, VSE Corporation achieved 65.0% year-over-year quarterly revenue growth and 488.4% year-over-year quarterly earnings growth.

What are analysts forecasting for VSEC earnings and revenue?

For FY2026, analysts estimate revenue of $1.81B and EPS of $6.79, representing 73.3% earnings growth. For the following fiscal year, 10 analysts estimate revenue of $2.20B and EPS of $8.28.

What is VSE Corporation's current debt position?

As of June 30, 2026, VSE Corporation held $75.4M in cash and short-term investments against $1.03B in total debt, yielding net debt of $950.2M and a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.35.

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