Vulcan Materials Company (VMC) AI Stock Analysis

NYSE: VMCAI research summary: business, growth, valuation, analysts, bull and bear case.

VMC AI stock analysis summary

AI Research

Vulcan Materials Company is a leading producer and supplier of construction aggregates in the United States. In FY2025, the company delivered revenue of $7.93B and net income of $1.08B, generating $1.14B in free cash flow. Over the trailing twelve months, operating margin reached 21.6%, while the stock traded down 12.4% over the past year.

Market cap
$33.38B
Revenue (TTM)
$8.12B
P/E
30.4x
fwd 22.4x
1Y return
-12.4%
S&P 500 16.8%
Avg. target
$308.30
19.7% vs last close

Bull case

  • Trailing operating margin of 21.6% exceeds the S&P 500 Basic Materials peer median of 18.8%.
  • Analyst estimates model a 15.6% increase in EPS to $10.26 for the next fiscal year.
  • Vulcan generated $1.14B in free cash flow in FY2025 while maintaining a conservative debt-to-equity ratio of 0.58.

Bear case

  • The stock trades at a forward P/E of 22.4x, well above the peer median of 13.6x.
  • Shares dropped 12.4% over the trailing 12 months, trailing the SPY return of 16.8%.
  • Quarterly revenue growth of 2.5% in the latest quarter lagged the peer median growth rate of 9.3%.

What Vulcan Materials does

Vulcan Materials Company, headquartered in Birmingham, Alabama, produces and supplies construction aggregates across the United States. Founded in 1909, the company operates via four segments: Aggregates, Asphalt, Concrete, and Calcium. The Aggregates segment supplies crushed stones, sand, and gravel for highways, streets, public works, and building construction. The Asphalt Mix segment produces asphalt mix and performs asphalt paving across states including Alabama, Tennessee, and Texas. The Concrete segment supplies ready-mixed concrete across California, Maryland, New Jersey, New York, Oklahoma, Pennsylvania, Texas, Virginia, and Washington D.C., while Calcium mines and produces calcium products for animal feed, plastics, and water treatment.

Growth and profitability

Between FY2020 and FY2025, revenue expanded at a compound annual growth rate of 10.3%. Annual revenue rose from $5.55B in FY2021 to $7.32B in FY2022 and $7.78B in FY2023, before contracting 4.7% to $7.42B in FY2024. In FY2025, revenue rebounded 6.9% to $7.93B, accompanied by a 27.3% gross margin, a 20.1% operating margin, and diluted EPS of $7.99. For the trailing twelve months through June 30, 2026, revenue was $8.12B with diluted EPS of $8.48. In the quarter ended June 30, 2026, quarterly revenue grew 2.5% year-over-year and quarterly earnings rose 2.7%.

VMC income statement →

Balance sheet and cash flow

As of June 30, 2026, Vulcan Materials held $194.2M in cash and short-term investments against total debt of $4.89B, leaving net debt at $4.69B. The company recorded a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.58 and a current ratio of 1.76, backed by shareholders' equity of $8.46B and total assets of $16.44B. In FY2025, operating cash flow stood at $1.81B, supporting $677.7M in capital expenditures. That same year, the company allocated $438.4M to share buybacks and paid $259.8M in dividends.

VMC balance sheet →

Valuation and performance

Trading at $257.63 on October 16, 2026, Vulcan Materials held a market capitalization of $33.38B and an enterprise value of $36.36B. The stock trades at a trailing P/E of 30.4x, below the 32.2x median of its S&P 500 Basic Materials peers, but its forward P/E of 22.4x sits above the peer median of 13.6x. Its EV/EBITDA stands at 15.4x compared to the peer median of 14.0x, and its price-to-sales ratio is 4.1x versus 2.4x for peers. Over the past year, the stock fell 12.4%, while the SPY returned 16.8%.

VMC key metrics →

VMC dividend

Vulcan Materials pays a quarterly dividend with a forward annual payout of $2.08 per share, yielding 0.81%. The dividend payout ratio is 24.5%, and the company has paid dividends for 42 consecutive years. Over the past five years, the dividend has grown at an annualized rate of 7.6%. The company's last ex-dividend date was November 9, 2026.

VMC dividend history →

What analysts expect

Wall Street coverage includes 14 Strong Buy, 2 Buy, 7 Hold, 0 Sell, and 1 Strong Sell recommendations. The mean price target of $308.30 represents 19.7% upside relative to the $257.63 close on October 16, 2026. For the fiscal year ending December 31, 2026, consensus expectations call for revenue of $8.14B and EPS of $8.87, representing 10.9% EPS growth. Vulcan beat EPS estimates in 3 of the last 4 quarters, with next earnings scheduled for October 29, 2026.

VMC forecast and price target →

Key risks and what to watch

  • Net debt stood at $4.69B as of June 30, 2026, compared to a cash balance of $194.2M.
  • Revenue declined by 4.7% in FY2024, demonstrating vulnerability to periodic construction cycle pullbacks.
  • The company's price-to-sales multiple of 4.1x represents a premium over the sector peer median of 2.4x.

AI-generated research summary. Written with AI from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 and checked so every figure matches that data. For information only, not investment advice. Disclaimer

About this VMC AI stock analysis

This page is an AI-written research summary of Vulcan Materials Company (VMC). The text was generated on October 30, 2026 from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 (company profile, annual results, latest balance sheet, valuation, price performance and analyst estimates). An automatic check rejects any draft that contains a figure not found in that data. It is not investment advice; verify figures on the linked tabs before making decisions.

Related: VMC income statement, VMC balance sheet, VMC key metrics, VMC analyst forecast, VMC chart. See the VMC stock overview for the latest quote and news.

VMC AI stock analysis FAQ

What is Vulcan Materials' dividend yield and payment record?

Vulcan Materials pays a forward annual dividend of $2.08 per share, which corresponds to a 0.81% yield. The company has paid dividends for 42 consecutive years and maintains a payout ratio of 24.5%.

When is Vulcan Materials' next earnings release?

Vulcan Materials is scheduled to report its next quarterly financial results on October 29, 2026.

How does Vulcan Materials' valuation compare to its peers?

Vulcan trades at a forward P/E of 22.4x and an EV/EBITDA of 15.4x, both of which are higher than the S&P 500 Basic Materials peer medians of 13.6x and 14.0x, respectively.

What is the consensus analyst target for VMC stock?

The consensus mean price target is $308.30, which sits 19.7% above the closing price of $257.63 on October 16, 2026.

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