Knife River Corporation (KNF) AI Stock Analysis

NYSE: KNFAI research summary: business, growth, valuation, analysts, bull and bear case.

KNF AI stock analysis summary

AI Research

Knife River Corporation is an aggregates-led construction materials and contracting services company. For the trailing twelve months ended June 30, 2026, the company generated $3.31B in revenue with an operating margin of 8.8%. Its stock closed at $50.50 on October 16, 2026, having declined 22.9% over the past year.

Market cap
$2.87B
Revenue (TTM)
$3.31B
P/E
20.5x
fwd 13.6x
1Y return
-22.9%
S&P 500 16.8%
Avg. target
$75.12
48.8% vs last close

Bull case

  • Knife River achieved a 5-year revenue CAGR of 7.6%, expanding total revenue to $3.15B in FY2025.
  • Analysts project a 39.8% rebound in EPS for the next fiscal year, reaching $3.24 on revenue of $3.56B.
  • The stock trades at an EV/EBITDA of 9.2x, which sits below the US-listed Basic Materials peer median of 10.5x.

Bear case

  • Free cash flow fell to -$69.6M in FY2025 as capital expenditures increased to $348.0M.
  • In the latest quarter ended June 30, 2026, quarterly earnings fell 13.5% year-over-year.
  • Knife River carries $1.67B in total debt against just $40.7M in cash and short-term investments.

What Knife River does

Knife River Corporation specializes in providing aggregates-led construction materials and comprehensive contracting services across the United States. The company operates through segments including Pacific, Northwest, Mountain, Central, and Energy Services. Its primary activities include mining, processing, and distributing construction aggregates such as crushed stone, sand, gravel, asphalt, and ready-mix concrete for infrastructure and building projects. Additionally, Knife River delivers contracting services that include heavy-civil construction, asphalt and concrete paving, and site development and grading. Headquartered in Bismarck, North Dakota, the company serves federal, state, and municipal governments, commercial and residential developers, and industrial customers.

Growth and profitability

Annual revenue grew from $2.23B in FY2021 to $2.53B in FY2022, $2.83B in FY2023, $2.90B in FY2024, and $3.15B in FY2025, reflecting a 5-year revenue CAGR of 7.6%. Net income peaked at $201.7M in FY2024 before decreasing to $157.1M in FY2025, alongside an operating margin drop from 10.9% to 9.1%. Diluted EPS dropped from $3.56 in FY2024 to $2.79 in FY2025. Over the trailing twelve months, revenue reached $3.31B with a net profit margin of 4.2% and EPS of $2.46. In the latest quarter ended June 30, 2026, quarterly revenue rose 12.6% year-over-year, while quarterly earnings fell 13.5%.

KNF income statement →

Balance sheet and cash flow

As of June 30, 2026, Knife River held $40.7M in cash and short-term investments against $1.67B in total debt, resulting in net debt of $1.63B. Shareholders' equity stood at $1.61B, yielding a debt-to-equity ratio of 1.04, while its current ratio was 2.66. Operating cash flow in FY2025 was $278.5M, but free cash flow was -$69.6M due to capital expenditures of $348.0M. During FY2025, the company deployed $2.6M toward share buybacks.

KNF balance sheet →

Valuation and performance

At a share price of $50.50, Knife River carries a market capitalization of $2.87B and an enterprise value of $4.55B. The stock trades at a trailing P/E of 20.5x and a forward P/E of 13.6x, compared to medians of 19.7x and 13.4x, respectively, for its US-listed Basic Materials peers. Its EV/EBITDA stands at 9.2x, below the peer median of 10.5x, while its price-to-sales of 0.9x trails the peer median of 1.8x. Over the past year, KNF shares dropped 22.9%, trailing the S&P 500 return of 16.8%.

KNF key metrics →

What analysts expect

Wall Street coverage consists of 4 Strong Buy, 3 Hold, and 1 Sell ratings. The mean price target of $75.12 suggests a 48.8% upside relative to the closing price of $50.50. For the fiscal year ending December 31, 2026, consensus estimates anticipate EPS of $2.32 on revenue of $3.43B. In the subsequent fiscal year, 3 analysts project revenue of $3.56B and EPS of $3.24. Knife River has beaten EPS estimates in 1 of the last 4 quarters, and its next earnings date is November 3, 2026.

KNF forecast and price target →

Key risks and what to watch

  • The company holds net debt of $1.63B with a debt-to-equity ratio of 1.04, which could constrain financial flexibility.
  • The stock has fallen 32.9% below its 200-day moving average and trades near its 52-week low of $47.79.
  • Earnings predictability remains a factor to watch, with the company beating consensus EPS estimates in only 1 of the last 4 quarters.
  • Short interest represents 10.2% of the float, reflecting elevated negative market sentiment.

AI-generated research summary. Written with AI from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 and checked so every figure matches that data. For information only, not investment advice. Disclaimer

About this KNF AI stock analysis

This page is an AI-written research summary of Knife River Corporation (KNF). The text was generated on October 30, 2026 from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 (company profile, annual results, latest balance sheet, valuation, price performance and analyst estimates). An automatic check rejects any draft that contains a figure not found in that data. It is not investment advice; verify figures on the linked tabs before making decisions.

Related: KNF income statement, KNF balance sheet, KNF key metrics, KNF analyst forecast, KNF chart. See the KNF stock overview for the latest quote and news.

KNF AI stock analysis FAQ

What are Knife River's primary revenue drivers?

Knife River produces and distributes aggregates-led materials such as crushed stone, sand, gravel, asphalt, and ready-mix concrete, alongside contracting services. In FY2025, these operations generated $3.15B in total revenue.

What is Knife River's current debt level?

As of June 30, 2026, Knife River had $1.67B in total debt and $40.7M in cash and short-term investments, resulting in net debt of $1.63B and a debt-to-equity ratio of 1.04.

What are analysts forecasting for Knife River's earnings?

Analysts estimate EPS of $2.32 on revenue of $3.43B for FY2026, followed by projected EPS of $3.24 and revenue of $3.56B in the next fiscal year.

What is the consensus price target for KNF stock?

The mean price target from analysts is $75.12, representing a 48.8% premium to the last close of $50.50 on October 16, 2026.

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