Eagle Materials Inc. (EXP) AI Stock Analysis

NYSE: EXPAI research summary: business, growth, valuation, analysts, bull and bear case.

EXP AI stock analysis summary

AI Research

Eagle Materials Inc. (EXP) is a supplier of heavy construction and light building materials, including cement, concrete, aggregates, and gypsum wallboard. The company generated $2.32B in trailing twelve-month revenue with an operating margin of 21.7%. However, quarterly earnings fell 12.5% year-over-year in the latest quarter ending June 30, 2026.

Market cap
$5.22B
Revenue (TTM)
$2.32B
P/E
13.4x
fwd 13.7x
1Y return
-28.4%
S&P 500 16.8%
Avg. target
$195.50
15.0% vs last close

Bull case

  • Trailing operating margin of 21.7% and return on equity of 27.0% remain above the US-listed Basic Materials peer operating margin median of 18.5%.
  • Share buybacks of $390.4M in FY2026 contributed to a 23.2% net share count reduction over the past 5 years.
  • Trailing P/E of 13.4x and EV-to-EBITDA of 9.5x trade at discounts to the US-listed Basic Materials peer medians of 19.7x and 10.5x.

Bear case

  • Quarterly earnings fell 12.5% year-over-year in the latest quarter ending June 30, 2026, while analysts project FY2027 EPS to decline 6.7% to $12.28.
  • Free cash flow dropped from $353.3M in FY2025 to $197.4M in FY2026 as capital expenditures expanded to $416.7M.
  • The stock is down 28.4% over the past year and trades 16.8% below its 200-day moving average.

What Eagle Materials does

Eagle Materials Inc. is a producer and supplier of heavy construction materials and light building materials across the United States. Its operations are divided into Cement, Concrete and Aggregates, Gypsum Wallboard, and Recycled Paperboard segments. Activities include limestone mining for Portland cement production, slag grinding, gypsum mining for wallboard manufacturing, and producing recycled paperboard, containerboard, and lightweight packaging grades. The company also sells ready-mix concrete and aggregates like crushed stones, sand, and gravel for residential, commercial, and infrastructure construction. Founded in 1963 and formerly called Centex Construction Products, it rebranded to Eagle Materials in January 2004 and is based in Dallas, Texas.

Growth and profitability

Between FY2021 and FY2026, Eagle Materials delivered a 5-year revenue compound annual growth rate of 7.3%. Annual revenue increased from $1.86B in FY2022 to $2.31B in FY2026, while net income peaked at $477.6M in FY2024 before decreasing to $423.8M in FY2026. Gross margin stood at 28.3% in FY2026 compared to 30.3% in FY2024, and net margin narrowed to 18.4%. In the latest quarter ending June 30, 2026, revenue increased 2.6% year-over-year, but quarterly earnings declined 12.5%. Trailing twelve-month revenue reached $2.32B with EPS of $12.69.

EXP income statement →

Balance sheet and cash flow

As of June 30, 2026, Eagle Materials held $233.5M in cash and short-term investments against $1.80B in total debt, resulting in net debt of $1.56B. The company maintained a current ratio of 3.23 and a debt-to-equity ratio of 1.21 on $1.49B of shareholders' equity. In FY2026, operating cash flow was $614.2M, while free cash flow stood at $197.4M after $416.7M in capital expenditures. Cash returns included $390.4M in share buybacks and $32.4M in dividends paid, contributing to a 23.2% share count reduction over 5 years.

EXP balance sheet →

Valuation and performance

Eagle Materials trades at a trailing P/E of 13.4x, which is below the 19.7x median of its US-listed Basic Materials peers. Its forward P/E is 13.7x compared to the peer median of 13.4x, and EV-to-EBITDA is 9.5x against a peer median of 10.5x. The company's price-to-sales ratio is 2.2x. Over the past year, EXP fell 28.4%, while the S&P 500 gained 16.8%. Over a 5-year horizon, the stock returned 23.9% compared to 83.0% for the S&P 500.

EXP key metrics →

EXP dividend

Eagle Materials pays a forward annual dividend of $1.00 per share, offering a dividend yield of 0.59% with a payout ratio of 7.9%. The company distributes dividends quarterly and has paid dividends for 31 consecutive years. Its 5-year annualized dividend growth rate is 58.5%, and the last ex-dividend date was September 14, 2026.

EXP dividend history →

What analysts expect

Wall Street coverage includes 11 Hold ratings, with 0 Buy and 0 Sell ratings. The mean price target is $195.50, which is 15.0% above the last close of $170.01. For the current fiscal year ending March 31, 2027, consensus estimates project EPS to decline 6.7% to $12.28 on revenue of $2.32B. For the following fiscal year, 8 analysts estimate EPS of $13.58 and revenue of $2.39B. Eagle Materials beat EPS estimates in 2 of the last 4 quarters, with next earnings scheduled for October 29, 2026.

EXP forecast and price target →

Key risks and what to watch

  • Total debt of $1.80B leaves net debt at $1.56B with a debt-to-equity ratio of 1.21.
  • Annual net income declined from $477.6M in FY2024 to $423.8M in FY2026.
  • The company has beat EPS estimates in only 2 of the past 4 quarters.
  • Beta of 1.33 and a short percent of float of 7.9% indicate heightened volatility and negative market positioning.

AI-generated research summary. Written with AI from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 and checked so every figure matches that data. For information only, not investment advice. Disclaimer

About this EXP AI stock analysis

This page is an AI-written research summary of Eagle Materials Inc. (EXP). The text was generated on October 30, 2026 from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 (company profile, annual results, latest balance sheet, valuation, price performance and analyst estimates). An automatic check rejects any draft that contains a figure not found in that data. It is not investment advice; verify figures on the linked tabs before making decisions.

Related: EXP income statement, EXP balance sheet, EXP key metrics, EXP analyst forecast, EXP chart. See the EXP stock overview for the latest quote and news.

EXP AI stock analysis FAQ

Does Eagle Materials pay a dividend?

Yes. Eagle Materials pays an annual forward dividend of $1.00 per share, which equates to a 0.59% dividend yield and a payout ratio of 7.9%. It has paid consecutive dividends for 31 years.

What is Eagle Materials' current valuation?

Eagle Materials has a market capitalization of $5.22B and an enterprise value of $7.03B. It trades at a trailing P/E of 13.4x and an EV-to-EBITDA ratio of 9.5x.

When does Eagle Materials report earnings next?

Eagle Materials is scheduled to report its next earnings on October 29, 2026.

What are analysts' expectations for Eagle Materials?

All 11 analysts covering the stock rate it a Hold, with a mean price target of $195.50. For the fiscal year ending March 31, 2027, EPS is estimated at $12.28 on revenue of $2.32B.

More Basic Materials AI stock analysis