Martin Marietta Materials, Inc. (MLM) AI Stock Analysis

NYSE: MLMAI research summary: business, growth, valuation, analysts, bull and bear case.

MLM AI stock analysis summary

AI Research

Martin Marietta Materials, Inc. (MLM) is a major producer of natural resource-based building materials, including aggregates, cement, and concrete. In FY2025, the company generated $6.54B in revenue with free cash flow of $978.0M. Over the last twelve months, revenue reached $6.69B, though quarterly earnings fell 23.2% year-over-year in the latest quarter.

Market cap
$35.57B
Revenue (TTM)
$6.69B
P/E
32.6x
fwd 20.6x
1Y return
-19.3%
S&P 500 16.8%
Avg. target
$632.46
26.3% vs last close

Bull case

  • For FY2027, 12 analysts project revenue to expand 23.1% to $9.63B and EPS to grow 24.9% to $21.24.
  • Free cash flow grew to $978.0M in FY2025, supported by solid gross margins of 30.0%.
  • Consensus price target of $632.46 implies 26.3% upside from the recent closing price of $500.84.

Bear case

  • Quarterly earnings fell 23.2% year-over-year in the latest quarter ending June 30, 2026.
  • The stock trades at an EV/EBITDA of 19.7x and forward P/E of 20.6x, both at a premium to S&P 500 Basic Materials peers.
  • Shares declined 19.3% over the past year, lagging the S&P 500 benchmark return of 16.8%.

What Martin Marietta does

Martin Marietta Materials, Inc., based in Raleigh, North Carolina, supplies natural resource-based building materials to the construction industry domestically and globally. The company provides aggregates like crushed stone, sand, and gravel for infrastructure projects, residential and nonresidential builds, and industrial uses. It also manufactures ready mixed concrete, asphalt, paving products, and Portland and specialty cement. In addition, Martin Marietta produces magnesia-based chemicals utilized in wastewater treatment, flame retardants, pulp and paper production, and environmental processes, as well as dolomitic lime used in steel production and soil stabilization.

Growth and profitability

Martin Marietta expanded annual revenue from $5.41B in FY2021 to $6.54B in FY2025, producing a 5-year revenue CAGR of 6.7%. Revenue grew 14.5% in FY2021, 13.8% in FY2022, and 10.0% in FY2023, before declining 3.6% in FY2024 and rebounding 0.1% in FY2025. Gross margin expanded from 24.9% in FY2021 to 30.0% in FY2025. Operating margin was 23.3% in FY2025, down from a peak of 41.4% in FY2024. Net income reached $1.14B in FY2025 with diluted EPS of $18.83. For the latest quarter ended June 30, 2026, revenue increased 21.0% year-over-year, while earnings fell 23.2% year-over-year, bringing trailing twelve-month revenue to $6.69B.

MLM income statement →

Balance sheet and cash flow

As of June 30, 2026, Martin Marietta held $112.0M in cash and short-term investments against total debt of $5.95B, resulting in net debt of $5.84B. Shareholders' equity was $11.55B, supporting a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.52 and a current ratio of 1.40. In FY2025, operating cash flow stood at $1.78B. Capital expenditures totaled $807.0M, generating $978.0M in free cash flow. Capital returns in FY2025 included $450.0M deployed toward share buybacks and $197.0M toward dividends, with its share count declining 4.0% over five years.

MLM balance sheet →

Valuation and performance

Martin Marietta trades at a trailing P/E of 32.6x and a forward P/E of 20.6x, compared to the median of its S&P 500 Basic Materials peers at 30.9x and 13.6x, respectively. Its enterprise value of $41.06B corresponds to an EV/EBITDA of 19.7x, above the peer median of 14.0x, while its price-to-sales ratio is 5.3x versus the peer median of 2.4x. The stock has dropped 19.3% over the past year, underperforming the S&P 500's gain of 16.8%, and gained 41.2% over five years compared to 83.0% for the broader index.

MLM key metrics →

MLM dividend

Martin Marietta pays an annualized forward dividend of $3.36 per share, representing a dividend yield of 0.67%. Dividends are distributed on a quarterly basis, with a payout ratio of 18.1%. The company has paid consecutive dividends for 33 years, achieving an annualized 5-year dividend growth rate of 7.7%. The most recent ex-dividend date was September 1, 2026.

MLM dividend history →

What analysts expect

Wall Street analysts hold 12 Strong Buy, 4 Buy, and 8 Hold ratings on MLM, with no Sell or Strong Sell recommendations. The mean price target is $632.46, representing 26.3% upside compared to the last close of $500.84. For the fiscal year ending December 31, 2026, consensus calls for revenue of $7.82B and EPS of $17.01, representing an EPS decline of 9.4%. For FY2027, 12 analysts project revenue to rise 23.1% to $9.63B and EPS to rise 24.9% to $21.24. Martin Marietta beat EPS estimates in 3 of the last 4 quarters, with next earnings scheduled for November 3, 2026.

MLM forecast and price target →

Key risks and what to watch

  • Net debt stands at $5.84B with total debt of $5.95B against cash reserves of $112.0M.
  • Full-year FY2026 EPS is projected to decrease 9.4% to $17.01.
  • Short interest accounts for 5.0% of the public float.

AI-generated research summary. Written with AI from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 and checked so every figure matches that data. For information only, not investment advice. Disclaimer

About this MLM AI stock analysis

This page is an AI-written research summary of Martin Marietta Materials, Inc. (MLM). The text was generated on October 30, 2026 from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 (company profile, annual results, latest balance sheet, valuation, price performance and analyst estimates). An automatic check rejects any draft that contains a figure not found in that data. It is not investment advice; verify figures on the linked tabs before making decisions.

Related: MLM income statement, MLM balance sheet, MLM key metrics, MLM analyst forecast, MLM chart. See the MLM stock overview for the latest quote and news.

MLM AI stock analysis FAQ

What is Martin Marietta Materials' dividend yield and payout ratio?

Martin Marietta has a forward dividend yield of 0.67% based on an annual dividend of $3.36 per share. It maintains a payout ratio of 18.1% and has paid dividends for 33 consecutive years.

How does Martin Marietta's valuation compare to its peer group?

MLM trades at a forward P/E of 20.6x and EV/EBITDA of 19.7x. Both multiples represent a premium to the median of its S&P 500 Basic Materials peers, which stand at 13.6x and 14.0x, respectively.

What is the consensus analyst target for MLM stock?

The mean analyst price target is $632.46, which is 26.3% above its closing price of $500.84 on October 16, 2026. Among covering analysts, 16 rate the stock a Buy or Strong Buy, and 8 rate it a Hold.

When does Martin Marietta report earnings next?

Martin Marietta is scheduled to report its next earnings results on November 3, 2026. The company has exceeded EPS expectations in 3 of the trailing 4 quarters.

More Basic Materials AI stock analysis