U.S. Physical Therapy, Inc. (USPH) AI Stock Analysis
USPH AI stock analysis summary
AI ResearchU.S. Physical Therapy, Inc. (USPH) operates outpatient physical therapy clinics and provides industrial injury prevention services. The company delivered a 5-year revenue CAGR of 13.0% through FY2025, reaching $781.0M in sales. However, profitability has fluctuated, with net margin narrowing to 1.9% in FY2025 and trailing twelve months EPS standing at $0.18.
- Market cap
- $1.28B
- Revenue (TTM)
- $804.3M
- P/E
- 476.2x fwd 27.2x
- 1Y return
- -1.8% S&P 500 16.8%
- Avg. target
- $97.00 13.2% vs last close
Bull case
- Revenue expanded at a 13.0% 5-year CAGR from FY2020 through FY2025, reaching $781.0M.
- Free cash flow generation remained positive at $61.0M in FY2025, supporting $27.4M in dividends paid.
- Consensus estimates project FY2026 EPS of $2.90, implying 10.2% annual growth.
Bear case
- Trailing net margin stands at 4.0% with trailing twelve months EPS of just $0.18, resulting in an elevated trailing P/E of 476.2x.
- Net debt totaled $360.9M as of June 30, 2026, against $24.9M in cash and short-term investments.
- Quarterly earnings fell 56.5% year-over-year in the latest quarter ended June 30, 2026.
What U.S. Physical Therapy does
U.S. Physical Therapy, Inc. operates two primary segments: Physical Therapy Operations and Industrial Injury Prevention Services. Its Physical Therapy Operations segment delivers outpatient care for orthopedic-related disorders, sports injuries, preventative health, neurological conditions, and pre- and post-operative rehabilitation. The Industrial Injury Prevention Services segment provides onsite injury prevention, performance optimization, post-offer employment testing, functional capacity evaluations, and ergonomic assessments for corporations, insurers, and contractors. Headquartered in Houston, Texas, the company operates clinics across 39 states and manages additional physical therapy practice facilities.
Growth and profitability
Revenue increased from $495.0M in FY2021 to $781.0M in FY2025, supported by 16.3% top-line growth in FY2025. Over the same period, gross margin moved from 23.7% in FY2021 to 20.1% in FY2025, while operating margin shifted from 14.3% to 10.3%. Net income totaled $15.1M in FY2025, down from $27.8M in FY2021. For the trailing twelve months ended June 30, 2026, revenue stood at $804.3M with an operating margin of 11.1%. In the quarter ended June 30, 2026, quarterly revenue grew 8.5% year-over-year, while quarterly earnings declined 56.5%.
Balance sheet and cash flow
As of June 30, 2026, U.S. Physical Therapy held $24.9M in cash and short-term investments alongside total debt of $385.8M, resulting in net debt of $360.9M. Shareholders' equity was $448.7M, reflecting a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.86 and a current ratio of 1.27. In FY2025, operating cash flow generated $75.1M and free cash flow reached $61.0M. Capital expenditures totaled $14.1M, share buybacks used $5.6M, and dividends paid absorbed $27.4M.
Valuation and performance
U.S. Physical Therapy trades at a trailing P/E of 476.2x and a forward P/E of 27.2x, compared to medians of 24.6x and 17.3x for its US-listed Healthcare peers. Its EV/EBITDA is 15.9x versus the peer median of 12.0x, while its price-to-sales of 1.6x is below the peer median of 4.1x. Over the past year, USPH delivered a return of -1.8%, lagging the 16.8% return of the S&P 500 (SPY). Over five years, the stock returned -9.4% compared to 83.0% for the benchmark.
USPH dividend
USPH offers a forward annual dividend of $1.84 per share, translating to a dividend yield of 2.15% with a payout ratio of 72.0%. The company has paid dividends for 16 consecutive years, supported by a 5-year annualized dividend growth rate of 41.3%. Dividends are distributed on a quarterly frequency, with the last ex-dividend date on August 21, 2026.
What analysts expect
Wall Street coverage consists of 2 Strong Buy, 4 Buy, and 1 Hold ratings. The mean price target is $97.00, representing a 13.2% premium over the last close of $85.71. For the fiscal year ending December 31, 2026, analysts estimate revenue of $847.9M and EPS of $2.90, reflecting 10.2% expected earnings growth. The company posted 0 EPS beats over the last 4 quarters, and its next earnings date is November 4, 2026.
Key risks and what to watch
- The company recorded 0 EPS beats over the last 4 quarters, highlighting recent forecast misses.
- Short interest stands at 10.4% of float, indicating elevated negative market sentiment.
- Total debt of $385.8M represents a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.86 as of June 30, 2026.
AI-generated research summary. Written with AI from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 and checked so every figure matches that data. For information only, not investment advice. Disclaimer
About this USPH AI stock analysis
This page is an AI-written research summary of U.S. Physical Therapy, Inc. (USPH). The text was generated on October 30, 2026 from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 (company profile, annual results, latest balance sheet, valuation, price performance and analyst estimates). An automatic check rejects any draft that contains a figure not found in that data. It is not investment advice; verify figures on the linked tabs before making decisions.
Related: USPH income statement, USPH balance sheet, USPH key metrics, USPH analyst forecast, USPH chart. See the USPH stock overview for the latest quote and news.
USPH AI stock analysis FAQ
What dividend does U.S. Physical Therapy pay?
USPH pays a forward annual dividend of $1.84 per share, which corresponds to a dividend yield of 2.15%. Dividends are paid quarterly, and the company has paid dividends for 16 consecutive years.
How leveraged is U.S. Physical Therapy's balance sheet?
As of June 30, 2026, the company carried total debt of $385.8M and cash of $24.9M, leaving net debt at $360.9M. Its debt-to-equity ratio stood at 0.86 with a current ratio of 1.27.
What are analysts forecasting for USPH?
For FY2026, analysts forecast revenue of $847.9M and EPS of $2.90. The mean price target is $97.00, which is 13.2% above the last closing price of $85.71.
How has USPH stock performed relative to the market?
Over the past 1 year, USPH returned -1.8% compared to a 16.8% gain for the S&P 500 (SPY). Over a 5-year span, the stock returned -9.4% versus 83.0% for the index.