U.S. Bancorp (USB) AI Stock Analysis
USB AI stock analysis summary
AI ResearchU.S. Bancorp is a regional financial services holding company operating across commercial banking, consumer banking, wealth management, and payment services. The company delivered $27.89B in trailing twelve-month revenue with a 30.0% profit margin and a 12.8% return on equity. Trading at a forward P/E of 10.4x, the stock offers a 3.68% dividend yield backed by 43 consecutive years of dividend payments.
- Market cap
- $91.50B
- Revenue (TTM)
- $27.89B
- P/E
- 11.4x fwd 10.4x
- 1Y return
- 33.6% S&P 500 16.8%
- Avg. target
- $68.50 16.6% vs last close
Bull case
- Quarterly earnings grew 10.2% year-over-year in the period ended September 30, 2026, supported by an operating margin of 40.1% over the trailing twelve months.
- Valuation appears favorable relative to peers, with a forward P/E of 10.4x compared to the median of its S&P 500 Financial Services peers at 12.6x.
- The company offers an attractive forward dividend yield of 3.68% with a sustainable 33.1% payout ratio and 43 consecutive years of payments.
Bear case
- Revenue growth slowed significantly to 0.3% in FY2025, down from 5.1% in FY2024 and 48.3% in FY2023.
- Longer-term share performance has lagged the broader market, as the 5-year return of 21.5% fell short of the S&P 500 return of 83.0%.
- Shareholder dilution has occurred over time, with total share count increasing by 5.1% over the past 5 years.
What U.S. Bancorp does
U.S. Bancorp is a financial services holding company based in Minneapolis, Minnesota, serving individuals, businesses, institutions, governmental entities, and financial institutions across the United States. It operates across several segments: Corporate and Commercial Banking, Consumer and Business Banking, Wealth Management and Investment Services, Payment Services, and Treasury and Corporate Support. Corporate offerings include depository accounts, credit products, capital markets, treasury management, and lock-box collection. Its consumer unit delivers credit cards, lease financing, asset-backed lending, agricultural finance, and international trade services, while wealth management provides fiduciary services, asset management, insurance, and fund administration.
Growth and profitability
U.S. Bancorp generated $42.86B in revenue in FY2025, up 0.3% from $42.71B in FY2024, following a 5-year revenue CAGR of 11.2% from FY2020. Operating margin improved to 22.2% in FY2025 from 18.5% in FY2024, and net income grew to $7.58B with a net margin of 17.7% and EPS of $4.62. In FY2023, revenue stood at $40.62B with net income of $5.43B. Over the trailing twelve months, revenue reached $27.89B with an operating margin of 40.1% and EPS of $5.14. For the latest quarter ended September 30, 2026, quarterly revenue grew 8.4% year-over-year while quarterly earnings expanded 10.2%.
Balance sheet and cash flow
As of September 30, 2026, U.S. Bancorp held $202.67B in cash and short-term investments against total debt of $73.04B, resulting in net cash of $129.63B. Shareholders' equity was $66.42B and total assets stood at $702.97B, with a debt-to-equity ratio of 1.10 and a current ratio of 0.37. In FY2025, the bank generated operating cash flow and free cash flow of $7.97B. Capital allocation in FY2025 included $489.0M deployed toward share buybacks alongside $3.50B paid in dividends, while share count rose 5.1% over five years.
Valuation and performance
U.S. Bancorp trades at a trailing P/E of 11.4x and a forward P/E of 10.4x, compared to the median of its S&P 500 Financial Services peers of 14.2x trailing and 12.6x forward earnings. Its price-to-sales multiple is 3.3x, slightly above the peer median of 3.1x, while its price-to-book ratio is 1.5x. With a market cap of $91.50B, the stock gained 33.6% over the past year, outperforming the S&P 500 (SPY) return of 16.8%, but its 5-year return of 21.5% lagged the index return of 83.0%.
USB dividend
U.S. Bancorp pays a quarterly dividend with an annualized forward payout of $2.16 per share, yielding 3.68%. The payout ratio is 33.1%, supported by a 5-year annualized dividend growth rate of 4.0%. The company has maintained an uninterrupted dividend track record with 43 consecutive years paid, and its last ex-dividend date was September 30, 2026.
What analysts expect
Wall Street sentiment reflects 13 Strong Buy, 3 Buy, and 8 Hold ratings, with 0 Sell or Strong Sell recommendations. The mean price target of $68.50 implies a 16.6% upside from the last close of $58.73. For the fiscal year ending December 31, 2026, analysts estimate EPS of $5.28 (up 14.2%) on revenue of $31.07B, rising to $5.84 EPS and $33.34B revenue in the next fiscal year. The company beat EPS estimates in each of the last 4 quarters, with next earnings scheduled for January 19, 2027.
Key risks and what to watch
- The current ratio sits at 0.37 as of September 30, 2026, reflecting short-term liquidity profiles common to financial institutions that require careful funding management.
- Total debt of $73.04B produces a debt-to-equity ratio of 1.10 against $66.42B in shareholders' equity.
- Full-year revenue estimate of $31.07B for the fiscal year ending December 31, 2026 represents a sharp decline from FY2025 revenue of $42.86B.
AI-generated research summary. Written with AI from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 and checked so every figure matches that data. For information only, not investment advice. Disclaimer
About this USB AI stock analysis
This page is an AI-written research summary of U.S. Bancorp (USB). The text was generated on October 30, 2026 from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 (company profile, annual results, latest balance sheet, valuation, price performance and analyst estimates). An automatic check rejects any draft that contains a figure not found in that data. It is not investment advice; verify figures on the linked tabs before making decisions.
Related: USB income statement, USB balance sheet, USB key metrics, USB analyst forecast, USB chart. See the USB stock overview for the latest quote and news.
USB AI stock analysis FAQ
What is U.S. Bancorp's dividend yield and payout schedule?
U.S. Bancorp pays an annualized dividend of $2.16 per share, representing a 3.68% yield. Payments are distributed quarterly with a payout ratio of 33.1%, backed by 43 consecutive years of dividend distributions.
How does USB compare to its sector peers on valuation?
USB trades at a forward P/E of 10.4x and a trailing P/E of 11.4x, both lower than the median of its S&P 500 Financial Services peers of 12.6x and 14.2x, respectively. Its price-to-sales ratio is 3.3x versus the peer median of 3.1x.
What are analysts forecasting for U.S. Bancorp?
Analysts hold a mean price target of $68.50, representing 16.6% potential upside from the close of $58.73. Consensus estimates project EPS of $5.28 for FY2026 and $5.84 for the following fiscal year.
When does U.S. Bancorp report its next quarterly results?
U.S. Bancorp is scheduled to report its next financial results on January 19, 2027. The company has beaten consensus EPS estimates in each of the past 4 quarters.