Trinity Industries, Inc. (TRN) AI Stock Analysis

NYSE: TRNAI research summary: business, growth, valuation, analysts, bull and bear case.

TRN AI stock analysis summary

AI Research

Trinity Industries, Inc. (TRN) provides railcar leasing, management, and manufacturing services across North America. In FY2025, revenue declined 30.0% to $2.16B while net income reached $253.1M, supported by a 26.6% gross margin. The company maintains an enterprise value of $7.29B and offers a forward dividend yield of 4.92%.

Market cap
$2.01B
Revenue (TTM)
$2.04B
P/E
5.9x
fwd 20.1x
1Y return
-6.3%
S&P 500 16.8%
Avg. target
$33.00
30.8% vs last close

Bull case

  • Trinity Industries trades at an EV/EBITDA multiple of 6.9x, notably below the US-listed Industrials peer median of 13.9x.
  • In the quarter ended June 30, 2026, quarterly earnings grew 619.5% year-over-year.
  • The stock offers a forward dividend yield of 4.92%, supported by 54 consecutive years of dividend payments.

Bear case

  • Total debt reached $5.23B as of June 30, 2026, leading to a high debt-to-equity ratio of 4.57.
  • High capital expenditures of $794.9M contributed to negative free cash flow of -$435.2M in FY2025.
  • For the fiscal year ending December 31, 2026, analyst consensus expects EPS to fall 29.1% to $2.23.

What Trinity Industries does

Operating under the brand name TrinityRail, Trinity Industries, Inc. is a provider in North America's rail transportation sector. The business is organized into two segments: the Railcar Leasing and Management Services Group and the Rail Products Group. Railcar Leasing and Management Services leases freight and tank railcars, manages third-party investor fleets, and provides maintenance, with a managed fleet of 106,970 owned or leased railcars as of the end of 2021. The Rail Products Group manufactures freight and tank railcars for liquids, gases, and dry cargo, while providing maintenance and modification services to industrial shippers and railroads.

Growth and profitability

Between FY2020 and FY2025, Trinity Industries recorded a 5-year revenue CAGR of 4.3%. Annual revenue grew from $1.52B in FY2021 to a peak of $3.08B in FY2024 before decreasing 30.0% to $2.16B in FY2025. Despite lower revenue, net income increased to $253.1M in FY2025 from $138.4M in FY2024, as gross margin widened from 21.7% to 26.6% and operating margin reached 16.6%. Over the trailing twelve months, revenue totaled $2.04B with an operating margin of 12.1% and a profit margin of 16.6%. In the latest quarter ending June 30, 2026, quarterly revenue fell 4.2% year-over-year, while quarterly earnings grew 619.5%.

TRN income statement →

Balance sheet and cash flow

As of June 30, 2026, Trinity Industries held $155.7M in cash and short-term investments against $5.23B in total debt, resulting in net debt of $5.07B. Total assets stood at $8.23B and shareholders' equity was $1.14B, reflecting a debt-to-equity ratio of 4.57 and a current ratio of 2.09. In FY2025, operating cash flow generated $359.7M, while capital expenditures of $794.9M led to free cash flow of -$435.2M. Capital allocation in FY2025 included $98.7M paid in dividends and $80.0M directed to share buybacks.

TRN balance sheet →

Valuation and performance

At a last close of $25.22, Trinity Industries trades at a trailing P/E of 5.9x, well below the 24.8x median of its US-listed Industrials peers. Its forward P/E of 20.1x is higher than the peer median of 17.2x. The enterprise value stands at $7.29B, with an EV/EBITDA multiple of 6.9x compared to the sector peer median of 13.9x, and a price-to-sales ratio of 1.0x versus the peer median of 1.5x. Over the past year, the stock fell 6.3%, trailing the S&P 500 (SPY) return of 16.8%. Over five years, the stock returned 5.1% versus 83.0% for SPY.

TRN key metrics →

TRN dividend

Trinity Industries has paid consecutive dividends for 54 years. The forward annual dividend is $1.24 per share, providing a dividend yield of 4.92% with a payout ratio of 46.8%. Dividends are distributed on a quarterly frequency and have achieved a 5-year annualized dividend growth rate of 9.6%. The company's last ex-dividend date was October 15, 2026.

TRN dividend history →

What analysts expect

Wall Street coverage includes 2 Hold ratings, with 0 Strong Buy, Buy, Sell, or Strong Sell ratings. The mean price target is $33.00, representing 30.8% upside compared to the last close of $25.22. For the fiscal year ending December 31, 2026, analysts estimate revenue of $2.05B and EPS of $2.23, which is a 29.1% decline in EPS. Over the last four quarters, the company delivered 2 EPS beats. The next earnings date is October 29, 2026.

TRN forecast and price target →

Key risks and what to watch

  • High leverage is a primary consideration, given total debt of $5.23B against cash and short-term investments of $155.7M.
  • Free cash flow has remained negative across four consecutive years, including -$435.2M in FY2025 and -$21.9M in FY2024.
  • Revenue volatility remains pronounced, highlighted by a 30.0% decline in FY2025 and a 4.2% year-over-year drop in the quarter ended June 30, 2026.
  • The stock exhibits market volatility with a beta of 1.35 and sits 18.2% below its 200-day moving average.

AI-generated research summary. Written with AI from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 and checked so every figure matches that data. For information only, not investment advice. Disclaimer

About this TRN AI stock analysis

This page is an AI-written research summary of Trinity Industries, Inc. (TRN). The text was generated on October 30, 2026 from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 (company profile, annual results, latest balance sheet, valuation, price performance and analyst estimates). An automatic check rejects any draft that contains a figure not found in that data. It is not investment advice; verify figures on the linked tabs before making decisions.

Related: TRN income statement, TRN balance sheet, TRN key metrics, TRN analyst forecast, TRN chart. See the TRN stock overview for the latest quote and news.

TRN AI stock analysis FAQ

What is Trinity Industries' dividend yield and payment schedule?

Trinity Industries pays a quarterly dividend with a forward annualized payout of $1.24, equaling a dividend yield of 4.92%. The company has maintained consecutive dividend payments for 54 years.

When is Trinity Industries' next earnings report?

The company's next earnings date is scheduled for October 29, 2026.

How much debt does Trinity Industries have?

As of June 30, 2026, Trinity Industries held $5.23B in total debt and $155.7M in cash and short-term investments, resulting in net debt of $5.07B and a debt-to-equity ratio of 4.57.

What do analysts target for TRN stock?

Analysts have an average price target of $33.00 for TRN, which is 30.8% above its last close of $25.22, with all 2 covering analysts assigning a Hold rating.

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