FreightCar America, Inc. (RAIL) AI Stock Analysis

NASDAQ: RAILAI research summary: business, growth, valuation, analysts, bull and bear case.

RAIL AI stock analysis summary

AI Research

FreightCar America, Inc. manufactures and distributes railcars and components for bulk commodities and freight transport across North America. The company achieved FY2025 net income of $38.1M on revenue of $501.0M, but its trailing twelve month operating margin sits at -3.8%. In the latest quarter ended June 30, 2026, quarterly revenue fell 4.6% year-over-year.

Market cap
$194.1M
Revenue (TTM)
$463.5M
P/E
—
fwd 8.8x
1Y return
-40.4%
S&P 500 16.8%
Avg. target
$14.67
147.7% vs last close

Bull case

  • FreightCar America generated free cash flow of $31.4M in FY2025 while expanding its gross margin to 14.6%.
  • Analysts forecast revenue to increase 49.5% to $665.6M and EPS to rise 160.7% to $1.06 for the next fiscal year.
  • The stock trades at a forward P/E of 8.8x and a PEG ratio of 0.64, compared to the median of its US-listed Industrials peers forward P/E of 17.2x.

Bear case

  • Total debt of $144.9M against shareholders' equity of $36.2M results in an elevated debt-to-equity ratio of 4.00.
  • For the latest quarter ended June 30, 2026, quarterly revenue fell 4.6% and quarterly earnings decreased 24.2% year-over-year.
  • RAIL shares declined 40.4% over the past year while the S&P 500 delivered a gain of 16.8%.

What FreightCar America does

FreightCar America, Inc. specializes in the design, manufacturing, and distribution of railcars and components for transporting bulk commodities and containerized freight across North America. The company operates through two segments: Manufacturing and Parts. Its product lineup includes open top hoppers, covered hopper cars, gondolas, and specialized railcars such as ore hoppers, ballast cars, and intermodal flats. In addition to manufacturing new railcars, FreightCar America sells used railcars, enters into leasing arrangements, and refurbishes or converts existing fleets. It also supplies forged, cast, and fabricated parts, and exports railcars to Latin America and the Middle East for railroads, shippers, and financial institutions.

Growth and profitability

FreightCar America expanded revenue at a 5-year CAGR of 35.8% from FY2020 to FY2025. Annual revenue grew from $203.1M in FY2021 to $559.4M in FY2024 before decreasing 10.4% to $501.0M in FY2025. Gross margin expanded across this timeframe, rising from 5.6% in FY2021 to 14.6% in FY2025. Operating margin turned positive at 2.9% in FY2023 and reached 6.8% in FY2025. The company delivered net income of $38.1M and diluted EPS of $0.56 in FY2025. Over the trailing twelve months, revenue was $463.5M with an operating margin of -3.8% and EPS of -$0.39. For the latest quarter ended June 30, 2026, quarterly revenue fell 4.6% year-over-year while quarterly earnings declined 24.2%.

RAIL income statement →

Balance sheet and cash flow

As of June 30, 2026, FreightCar America held $63.0M in cash and short-term investments alongside total debt of $144.9M, resulting in net debt of $81.9M. Total assets stood at $276.1M against shareholders' equity of $36.2M, reflecting a debt-to-equity ratio of 4.00 and a current ratio of 1.81. In FY2025, operating cash flow was $34.8M and free cash flow was $31.4M, with capital expenditures of $3.4M. Over the past five years, the company's share count increased by 37.7%.

RAIL balance sheet →

Valuation and performance

At a last close of $5.92, FreightCar America has a market cap of $194.1M and an enterprise value of $324.6M. The stock trades at a forward P/E of 8.8x and a price-to-sales ratio of 0.4x, both lower than the median of its US-listed Industrials peers at 17.2x and 1.5x, respectively. However, its EV/EBITDA of 25.2x sits above the peer median of 13.9x, and price-to-book is 6.7x. Over the past year, RAIL shares fell 40.4%, trailing the S&P 500 return of 16.8%. Over five years, the stock gained 37.4% compared to 83.0% for the index.

RAIL key metrics →

What analysts expect

Wall Street sentiment includes 2 Strong Buy ratings and no Buy, Hold, Sell, or Strong Sell recommendations. The mean price target is $14.67, implying 147.7% upside compared to the last close of $5.92. For the fiscal year ending December 31, 2026, analysts estimate EPS of $0.41, representing an 18.7% decline, on revenue of $445.1M. For the next fiscal year, 3 analysts project EPS to grow 160.7% to $1.06 on revenue of $665.6M. Over the last 4 quarters, the company delivered 1 EPS beat. The next earnings date is November 9, 2026.

RAIL forecast and price target →

Key risks and what to watch

  • FreightCar America carries net debt of $81.9M with a debt-to-equity ratio of 4.00 as of June 30, 2026.
  • The trailing twelve months operating margin is -3.8%, well behind the US-listed Industrials peer median of 11.7%.
  • The company exceeded consensus EPS expectations in only 1 of the last 4 quarters.
  • Dilution risk is present as the company increased its share count by 37.7% over the past 5 years.

AI-generated research summary. Written with AI from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 and checked so every figure matches that data. For information only, not investment advice. Disclaimer

About this RAIL AI stock analysis

This page is an AI-written research summary of FreightCar America, Inc. (RAIL). The text was generated on October 30, 2026 from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 (company profile, annual results, latest balance sheet, valuation, price performance and analyst estimates). An automatic check rejects any draft that contains a figure not found in that data. It is not investment advice; verify figures on the linked tabs before making decisions.

Related: RAIL income statement, RAIL balance sheet, RAIL key metrics, RAIL analyst forecast, RAIL chart. See the RAIL stock overview for the latest quote and news.

RAIL AI stock analysis FAQ

What does FreightCar America do?

FreightCar America, Inc. designs, manufactures, and distributes railcars and components for bulk commodities and containerized freight across North America and international markets. Its products include hoppers, gondolas, and specialized railcars, alongside leasing and fleet refurbishment services.

What are FreightCar America's revenue and earnings estimates?

For the fiscal year ending December 31, 2026, consensus estimates project revenue of $445.1M and EPS of $0.41. For the following fiscal year, analysts expect revenue of $665.6M and EPS of $1.06.

Does FreightCar America pay a dividend?

FreightCar America does not currently pay a dividend according to its reported data.

When is FreightCar America's next earnings report?

The company is scheduled to report its next earnings on November 9, 2026.

What is the analyst price target for RAIL stock?

The consensus mean price target is $14.67, which represents a 147.7% premium over the last close of $5.92.

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