Canadian National Railway Company (CNI) AI Stock Analysis
CNI AI stock analysis summary
AI ResearchCanadian National Railway Company (CNI) operates a 20,000 route mile rail network across Canada and the United States. Over the trailing twelve months, the company generated $17.76B in revenue with an operating margin of 40.3%. It returned capital to shareholders in FY2025 by paying $2.21B in dividends and repurchasing $2.12B of its common stock.
- Market cap
- $73.57B
- Revenue (TTM)
- $17.76B
- P/E
- 21.6x fwd 18.9x
- 1Y return
- 31.8% S&P 500 16.8%
- Avg. target
- $136.12 11.8% vs last close
Bull case
- CNI generated a solid 40.3% operating margin and a 26.9% profit margin over the trailing twelve months.
- The company maintains a 31-year dividend track record backed by a 7.9% five-year annualized dividend growth rate and a 36.7% payout ratio.
- Shareholder returns are supported by share repurchases, which reduced the share count by 13.9% over five years alongside $2.12B in buybacks during FY2025.
Bear case
- The balance sheet carries $22.63B in total debt and $22.33B in net debt against cash reserves of $294.1M as of June 30, 2026.
- Liquidity appears constrained with a current ratio of 0.87 as of June 30, 2026.
- Over a five-year period, the stock's 10.4% return substantially underperformed the S&P 500 return of 83.0%.
What Canadian National Railway does
Canadian National Railway Company, founded in 1919 and based in Montreal, Canada, provides rail and related transportation services across 20,000 route miles of track in Canada and the United States. Its services include equipment, custom brokerage, transloading, distribution, real estate, and private car storage. The company also delivers intermodal services, comprehensive trucking solutions like door-to-door delivery and specialized transport, and end-to-end supply chain services. It serves various markets, including automotive, coal, fertilizers, forest products, grain, metals, minerals, petroleum, chemicals, and consumer goods.
Growth and profitability
Between FY2020 and FY2025, revenue achieved a five-year compound annual growth rate of 4.6%. Annual revenue increased from $14.48B in FY2021 to $17.11B in FY2022, fell 1.6% to $16.83B in FY2023, and reached $17.29B in FY2025. Net income was $4.72B in FY2025, supported by an operating margin of 38.1% and a gross margin of 44.9%. In the trailing twelve months, revenue reached $17.76B with an operating margin of 40.3% and EPS of $5.64. For the quarter ended June 30, 2026, revenue increased 11.3% year-over-year, while earnings grew 10.2%.
Balance sheet and cash flow
As of June 30, 2026, the company held $294.1M in cash and short-term investments against total debt of $22.63B, leaving net debt at $22.33B. Its current ratio stood at 0.87, and the debt-to-equity ratio was 1.03 based on $21.91B in shareholders' equity. In FY2025, operating cash flow reached $7.04B and free cash flow was $3.39B. Capital expenditures totaled $3.66B, while the company directed $2.12B to share buybacks and $2.21B to dividend payments.
Valuation and performance
CNI trades at a trailing P/E of 21.6x, below the 24.8x median of its US-listed Industrials peers, while its forward P/E of 18.9x sits above the peer median of 17.2x. The enterprise value of $88.29B reflects an EV to EBITDA multiple of 13.4x, compared to 13.9x for the peer median. Its price-to-sales ratio is 4.1x versus the peer median of 1.5x. Over the past year, CNI generated a 31.8% return, outperforming the S&P 500 (SPY) return of 16.8%, but its five-year return of 10.4% lagged the benchmark return of 83.0%.
CNI dividend
Canadian National Railway offers a forward dividend yield of 2.12% with an annualized payout of $2.58 per share. The company has paid dividends for 31 consecutive years, delivering a five-year annualized dividend growth rate of 7.9%. Its payout ratio stands at 36.7%, and its most recent ex-dividend date was September 8, 2026.
What analysts expect
Wall Street analyst coverage consists of 10 Strong Buy, 5 Buy, 14 Hold, 0 Sell, and 1 Strong Sell ratings. The mean price target is $136.12, which sits 11.8% above the last close of $121.79 on October 16, 2026. For the fiscal year ending December 31, 2026, consensus estimates project revenue of $18.60B and EPS of $8.11. The company has beaten EPS estimates in 3 of the last 4 quarters, with its next earnings date set for October 30, 2026.
Key risks and what to watch
- Working capital pressure could emerge given a current ratio of 0.87 and net debt totaling $22.33B as of June 30, 2026.
- Top-line growth has experienced periods of stagnation, including a 1.6% revenue decline in FY2023 and modest 1.4% growth in FY2025.
- The business requires substantial ongoing capital reinvestment, illustrated by $3.66B in capital expenditures during FY2025.
AI-generated research summary. Written with AI from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 and checked so every figure matches that data. For information only, not investment advice. Disclaimer
About this CNI AI stock analysis
This page is an AI-written research summary of Canadian National Railway Company (CNI). The text was generated on October 30, 2026 from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 (company profile, annual results, latest balance sheet, valuation, price performance and analyst estimates). An automatic check rejects any draft that contains a figure not found in that data. It is not investment advice; verify figures on the linked tabs before making decisions.
Related: CNI income statement, CNI analyst forecast, CNI chart. See the CNI stock overview for the latest quote and news.
CNI AI stock analysis FAQ
What dividend does Canadian National Railway pay?
CNI pays an annualized forward dividend of $2.58 per share, which reflects a 2.12% dividend yield. The company has paid dividends for 31 consecutive years and maintains a payout ratio of 36.7%.
How is CNI valued relative to its sector peers?
CNI trades at a trailing P/E of 21.6x, compared to the median of 24.8x for its US-listed Industrials peers. However, its forward P/E of 18.9x and price-to-sales ratio of 4.1x exceed the peer medians of 17.2x and 1.5x, respectively.
How has CNI stock performed against the S&P 500?
Over the past year, CNI returned 31.8%, outperforming the S&P 500 return of 16.8%. Over a five-year horizon, CNI returned 10.4%, trailing the S&P 500 return of 83.0%.
When does Canadian National Railway report earnings next?
The company is scheduled to report its next quarterly financial results on October 30, 2026.