TFS Financial Corporation (TFSL) AI Stock Analysis
TFSL AI stock analysis summary
AI ResearchTFS Financial Corporation is a retail consumer banking holding company operating primarily through Third Federal Savings and Loan Association of Cleveland. In FY2025, the company generated $792.0M in revenue with net income of $91.0M. The stock offers a dividend yield of 7.78% and gained 39.1% over the past year through October 16, 2026.
- Market cap
- $4.58B
- Revenue (TTM)
- $347.2M
- P/E
- 45.4x fwd 76.9x
- 1Y return
- 39.1% S&P 500 16.8%
- Avg. target
- $18.25 11.8% vs last close
Bull case
- TFS Financial offers a dividend yield of 7.78% and has maintained consecutive dividend payments for 13 years.
- In the latest quarter ended June 30, 2026, the company posted quarterly earnings growth of 42.5% and quarterly revenue growth of 15.2%.
- The stock returned 39.1% over the past year, outperforming the S&P 500 return of 16.8%.
Bear case
- The stock trades at an elevated forward P/E of 76.9x, compared to the US-listed Financial Services median of 10.8x.
- TFS Financial carries total debt of $5.81B against $28.6M in cash and short-term investments, resulting in a debt-to-equity ratio of 2.97.
- Short interest stands relatively high, with short interest accounting for 18.4% of the float.
What TFS Financial does
TFS Financial Corporation provides retail consumer banking services across the United States, operating primarily through its subsidiary, Third Federal Savings and Loan Association of Cleveland, MHC. Established in 1938 and headquartered in Cleveland, Ohio, the company offers deposit products including savings, money market, checking, and individual retirement accounts, along with certificates of deposit. Its core business model centers on mortgage loans for home purchases and refinancing, alongside home equity loans and lines of credit. TFS Financial operates a network of 37 full-service branches and five loan production offices throughout Ohio and Florida.
Growth and profitability
TFS Financial expanded revenue from $444.6M in FY2021 to $792.0M in FY2025, recording a 5-year revenue CAGR of 9.3%. Revenue declined 12.6% in FY2021, fell 2.6% in FY2022, and dropped 29.6% in FY2023, before surging 148.8% to $758.8M in FY2024 and rising 4.4% in FY2025. Annual net income climbed to $91.0M in FY2025, with an operating margin of 14.5% and a net margin of 11.5%. For the trailing twelve months, revenue was $347.2M with a profit margin of 29.4%. In the latest quarter ended June 30, 2026, quarterly revenue increased 15.2% year-over-year, while quarterly earnings grew 42.5%.
Balance sheet and cash flow
As of June 30, 2026, TFS Financial held $28.6M in cash and short-term investments against total debt of $5.81B, resulting in net debt of $5.78B. Shareholders' equity totaled $1.96B across $18.07B in total assets, with a debt-to-equity ratio of 2.97 and a current ratio of 0.01. During FY2025, the company generated $82.4M in operating cash flow and $71.0M in free cash flow. Capital allocation in FY2025 included $11.5M in capital expenditures, $4.0M spent on share buybacks, and $59.5M distributed in dividends paid.
Valuation and performance
At a closing price of $16.33 on October 16, 2026, TFS Financial carried a market capitalization of $4.58B. The stock traded at a trailing P/E of 45.4x and a forward P/E of 76.9x, both higher than the median of its US-listed Financial Services peers at 12.1x and 10.8x, respectively. Its price-to-sales multiple was 13.2x compared to the peer median of 3.2x, alongside a price-to-book ratio of 2.4x. Over the past year, the stock returned 39.1%, outperforming the S&P 500 return of 16.8%, though its 5-year return of 21.9% trailed the index return of 83.0%.
TFSL dividend
TFS Financial pays a quarterly dividend with an annualized forward payout of $1.27 per share, yielding 7.78%. The company reported a payout ratio of 3.2% and has paid dividends for 13 consecutive years. Its 5-year annualized dividend growth rate was 0.2%, and its most recent ex-dividend date was September 9, 2026.
What analysts expect
Analyst sentiment consists of 2 Hold ratings, with 0 Buy and 0 Sell recommendations. The mean price target of $18.25 represents an 11.8% upside relative to the last close of $16.33. For the fiscal year ending September 30, 2026, consensus estimates project EPS of $0.36 on revenue of $347.7M. Looking ahead, 2 analysts project next fiscal year EPS of $0.39 and revenue of $374.2M. TFS Financial has beaten EPS estimates in 2 of the past 4 quarters, with next earnings scheduled for October 29, 2026.
Key risks and what to watch
- The company reported a low current ratio of 0.01 as of June 30, 2026, reflecting tight short-term liquidity.
- Net debt of $5.78B poses financing and balance sheet risks relative to $1.96B in shareholders' equity.
- Earnings predictability remains uneven, as the company met or exceeded EPS expectations in only 2 of the last 4 quarters.
AI-generated research summary. Written with AI from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 and checked so every figure matches that data. For information only, not investment advice. Disclaimer
About this TFSL AI stock analysis
This page is an AI-written research summary of TFS Financial Corporation (TFSL). The text was generated on October 30, 2026 from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 (company profile, annual results, latest balance sheet, valuation, price performance and analyst estimates). An automatic check rejects any draft that contains a figure not found in that data. It is not investment advice; verify figures on the linked tabs before making decisions.
Related: TFSL income statement, TFSL balance sheet, TFSL key metrics, TFSL analyst forecast, TFSL chart. See the TFSL stock overview for the latest quote and news.
TFSL AI stock analysis FAQ
What is TFS Financial's dividend yield and payment frequency?
TFS Financial pays a quarterly dividend with an annualized forward amount of $1.27 per share, representing a dividend yield of 7.78%. The company has distributed dividends for 13 consecutive years.
When is TFS Financial's next earnings report?
The company's next earnings date is scheduled for October 29, 2026.
What are analysts' price targets and expectations for TFSL?
The mean price target from analysts is $18.25, indicating an 11.8% premium to the last closing price of $16.33. All 2 covering analysts assign a Hold rating to the stock.
How much debt does TFS Financial carry?
As of June 30, 2026, TFS Financial held $5.81B in total debt and $28.6M in cash and short-term investments, translating to net debt of $5.78B and a debt-to-equity ratio of 2.97.