Smith & Wesson Brands, Inc. (SWBI) AI Stock Analysis

NASDAQ: SWBIAI research summary: business, growth, valuation, analysts, bull and bear case.

SWBI AI stock analysis summary

AI Research

Smith & Wesson Brands, Inc. (SWBI) is a US manufacturer of firearms, accessories, and precision components. In FY2026, revenue rebounded 10.4% to $523.8M, while free cash flow reached $90.4M. The company maintains a 3.68% dividend yield and trades at a forward P/E of 11.8x.

Market cap
$634.0M
Revenue (TTM)
$551.4M
P/E
26.2x
fwd 11.8x
1Y return
45.3%
S&P 500 16.8%
Avg. target
$17.25
22.0% vs last close

Bull case

  • Revenue increased 32.3% year-over-year in the quarter ended July 31, 2026, alongside an 86.7% year-over-year rise in quarterly earnings.
  • Free cash flow rebounded to $90.4M in FY2026 after negative free cash flow of -$29.0M in FY2025.
  • The stock trades at a forward P/E of 11.8x and EV/EBITDA of 9.4x, both lower than the US-listed Industrials peer medians of 17.2x and 13.9x.

Bear case

  • Long-term sales contracted at a 5-year revenue CAGR of -13.1% between FY2021 and FY2026.
  • Operating margin of 1.2% over the trailing twelve months remains well below the US-listed Industrials peer median of 11.7%.
  • The dividend payout ratio stands at 96.3%, absorbing $23.2M of cash distributions in FY2026 against net income of $18.5M.

What Smith & Wesson Brands does

Smith & Wesson Brands, Inc. designs, manufactures, and distributes firearms and related products under the Smith & Wesson, M&P, and Gemtech brand names. Its firearm portfolio encompasses handguns such as revolvers and pistols, long guns including modern sporting rifles and bolt action rifles, as well as handcuffs, suppressors, and accessories. Through its Smith & Wesson Precision Components division, the company also offers manufacturing services to third parties, including forging, heat treating, rapid prototyping, tooling, finishing, plating, machining, and custom plastic injection molding. It serves hunters, collectors, enthusiasts, competitive shooters, personal protection buyers, law enforcement agencies, security personnel, and military organizations worldwide.

Growth and profitability

Over a five-year period from FY2021 to FY2026, revenue posted a compound annual growth rate of -13.1%. Annual revenue contracted from $864.1M in FY2022 to $474.7M in FY2025 before rising 10.4% to $523.8M in FY2026. Gross margin moderated from 43.3% in FY2022 to 26.9% in FY2026, while net margin fell from 22.5% to 3.5% over the same timeframe. Net income reached $18.5M in FY2026, generating diluted EPS of $0.40. In the latest quarter ended July 31, 2026, quarterly revenue grew 32.3% year-over-year, and quarterly earnings grew 86.7% year-over-year. TTM revenue stands at $551.4M with a net profit margin of 4.4%.

SWBI income statement →

Balance sheet and cash flow

As of July 31, 2026, Smith & Wesson held $25.2M in cash and short-term investments against total debt of $72.8M, resulting in net debt of $47.5M. The company shows a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.19 and a current ratio of 3.62, supported by $373.7M in shareholders' equity. In FY2026, operating cash flow recovered to $114.2M, while capital expenditures were $23.8M, generating $90.4M in free cash flow. Capital return included $23.2M in dividends paid, alongside share issuance of $1.6M, with share count down 6.6% over five years.

SWBI balance sheet →

Valuation and performance

Smith & Wesson trades at a trailing P/E of 26.2x and a forward P/E of 11.8x, compared to medians of 24.8x and 17.2x, respectively, for its US-listed Industrials peers. Its EV/EBITDA of 9.4x sits below the peer median of 13.9x, and its price-to-sales multiple is 1.1x versus the peer median of 1.5x. Over the past year, SWBI shares returned 45.3%, outperforming the S&P 500 (SPY) return of 16.8%. However, its five-year return stands at -18.6%, compared to an 83.0% gain for the S&P 500.

SWBI key metrics →

SWBI dividend

Smith & Wesson pays a quarterly dividend with an annual forward payout of $0.52 per share, yielding 3.68% as of October 16, 2026. The dividend has been paid for 7 consecutive years and achieved a 5-year annualized dividend growth rate of 39.1%. The company's payout ratio is 96.3%, and its last ex-dividend date was September 17, 2026.

SWBI dividend history →

What analysts expect

Consensus coverage shows 2 Strong Buy ratings, 0 Buy, 0 Hold, 0 Sell, and 0 Strong Sell ratings. The mean price target is $17.25, representing an upside of 22.0% from the last close of $14.14. For the fiscal year ending April 30, 2027, consensus estimates project revenue of $559.4M and EPS of $0.55, reflecting expected EPS growth of 34.2%. Smith & Wesson beat EPS estimates in each of the last 4 quarters, and its next earnings date is December 3, 2026.

SWBI forecast and price target →

Key risks and what to watch

  • Gross margin compressed from 43.3% in FY2022 to 26.9% in FY2026, limiting operational profitability.
  • Operating cash flow has demonstrated historical volatility, swinging from -$7.2M in FY2025 to $114.2M in FY2026.
  • Total debt of $72.8M compares to cash and short-term investments of $25.2M, resulting in net debt of $47.5M as of July 31, 2026.

AI-generated research summary. Written with AI from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 and checked so every figure matches that data. For information only, not investment advice. Disclaimer

About this SWBI AI stock analysis

This page is an AI-written research summary of Smith & Wesson Brands, Inc. (SWBI). The text was generated on October 30, 2026 from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 (company profile, annual results, latest balance sheet, valuation, price performance and analyst estimates). An automatic check rejects any draft that contains a figure not found in that data. It is not investment advice; verify figures on the linked tabs before making decisions.

Related: SWBI income statement, SWBI balance sheet, SWBI key metrics, SWBI analyst forecast, SWBI chart. See the SWBI stock overview for the latest quote and news.

SWBI AI stock analysis FAQ

What is Smith & Wesson's dividend yield and payout schedule?

Smith & Wesson pays a quarterly dividend with an annual forward rate of $0.52 per share, which represents a 3.68% yield as of October 16, 2026. The payout ratio is 96.3%, and the company has paid dividends for 7 consecutive years.

How does SWBI's valuation compare to its sector peers?

SWBI trades at an EV/EBITDA of 9.4x and a forward P/E of 11.8x, compared to medians of 13.9x and 17.2x for its US-listed Industrials peers. Its trailing P/E is 26.2x compared to the peer median of 24.8x.

What do Wall Street analysts forecast for SWBI?

Wall Street analysts hold 2 Strong Buy ratings with a mean price target of $17.25, which is 22.0% above the last close of $14.14. Consensus models anticipate FY2027 revenue of $559.4M and EPS of $0.55.

What is the financial position of Smith & Wesson's balance sheet?

As of July 31, 2026, the company held $25.2M in cash and short-term investments against $72.8M in total debt, creating net debt of $47.5M. It has a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.19 and a current ratio of 3.62.

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