The ONE Group Hospitality, Inc. (STKS) AI Stock Analysis

NASDAQ: STKSAI research summary: business, growth, valuation, analysts, bull and bear case.

STKS AI stock analysis summary

AI Research

The ONE Group Hospitality, Inc. (STKS) develops, operates, and licenses dining venues, including the STK and Kona Grill brands. While revenue grew to $805.7M in FY2025, the company posted a net loss of -$92.2M and carries high net debt of $652.3M. The stock has dropped 52.9% over the past year to close at $1.21.

Market cap
$38.3M
Revenue (TTM)
$800.5M
P/E
—
fwd 7.5x
1Y return
-52.9%
S&P 500 16.8%
Avg. target
$4.45
267.8% vs last close

Bull case

  • Wall Street analysts have 3 Strong Buy ratings with a mean price target of $4.45, representing 267.8% upside over the last close of $1.21.
  • The company achieved a 5-year revenue CAGR of 41.5%, increasing annual revenue from $277.2M in FY2021 to $805.7M in FY2025.
  • Next fiscal year estimates model an EPS recovery to $0.18 along with 7.9% revenue growth to $876.3M.

Bear case

  • The balance sheet shows total debt of $658.7M against just $6.4M in cash and short-term investments, with a low current ratio of 0.38.
  • Annual net income dropped to -$92.2M in FY2025, driving free cash flow to -$27.3M after $57.6M in capital expenditures.
  • The company missed consensus forecasts across the board with 0 EPS beats over the last 4 quarters, and quarterly revenue fell 3.3% in the latest quarter.

What ONE Group Hospitality does

The ONE Group Hospitality, Inc. is a hospitality company specializing in the development, ownership, operation, management, and licensing of restaurants and lounges. It operates through STK, Kona Grill, and ONE Hospitality segments. Beyond restaurant venues, it offers turn-key food and beverage solutions for hotels, casinos, and entertainment destinations, including rooftops, banqueting, catering, and room service. As of the report, the company owns, operates, manages, or licenses 25 STK restaurants, 24 Kona Grills across North America, Europe, and the Middle East, and 14 food and beverage venues within hotels and casinos.

Growth and profitability

Revenue expanded significantly from $277.2M in FY2021 to $805.7M in FY2025, showing a 5-year revenue CAGR of 41.5%. However, profitability deteriorated over that timeframe. Gross margin declined from 23.5% in FY2021 to 11.9% in FY2025, and operating margin ended at 5.4%. Net income dropped from $31.3M in FY2021 to -$92.2M in FY2025, resulting in an EPS of -$2.24. For the latest trailing twelve months, revenue reached $800.5M with a net profit margin of -10.2% and EPS of -$3.80. In the latest quarter ended June 30, 2026, quarterly revenue fell 3.3% year-over-year while quarterly earnings declined 2.0%.

STKS income statement →

Balance sheet and cash flow

As of June 30, 2026, the company held $6.4M in cash and short-term investments against total debt of $658.7M, resulting in net debt of $652.3M. Its debt-to-equity ratio stood at 5.56, with shareholders' equity at $118.5M and a current ratio of 0.38. In FY2025, operating cash flow was $30.3M, but free cash flow was -$27.3M due to $57.6M in capital expenditures. Share buybacks totaled $1.1M in FY2025, and the share count decreased 7.7% over 5 years.

STKS balance sheet →

Valuation and performance

STKS carries a market capitalization of $38.3M and an enterprise value of $914.9M. It trades at a forward P/E of 7.5x, below the 14.1x median of its US-listed Consumer Cyclical peers. Its EV to EBITDA multiple is 11.1x, matching the peer median of 11.1x, while its price-to-sales ratio is 0.0x compared to the peer median of 0.7x. Over the past year, STKS shares fell 52.9%, trailing the S&P 500 (SPY) return of 16.8%. Over 5 years, the stock is down 91.2% versus an 83.0% gain for the benchmark.

STKS key metrics →

What analysts expect

Wall Street coverage includes 3 Strong Buy ratings, 0 Buy, 0 Hold, 0 Sell, and 0 Strong Sell. The mean price target is $4.45, which is 267.8% above the last closing price of $1.21. For the current fiscal year ending December 31, 2026, consensus expectations project revenue of $811.9M and an EPS of -$0.95. For the next fiscal year, 1 analyst estimates revenue of $876.3M and an EPS of $0.18. The company has 0 EPS beats over the last 4 quarters, and the next earnings date is November 5, 2026.

STKS forecast and price target →

Key risks and what to watch

  • Liquidity risk is elevated given net debt of $652.3M, a debt-to-equity ratio of 5.56, and a current ratio of 0.38.
  • Negative profitability poses sustained pressure, with trailing twelve month profit margin at -10.2% and EPS of -$3.80.
  • The stock has had severe price erosion, trading down 52.9% over 1 year, down 91.2% over 5 years, and 34.7% below its 200-day moving average.
  • Execution challenges persist as demonstrated by 0 EPS beats over the trailing 4 quarters.

AI-generated research summary. Written with AI from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 and checked so every figure matches that data. For information only, not investment advice. Disclaimer

About this STKS AI stock analysis

This page is an AI-written research summary of The ONE Group Hospitality, Inc. (STKS). The text was generated on October 30, 2026 from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 (company profile, annual results, latest balance sheet, valuation, price performance and analyst estimates). An automatic check rejects any draft that contains a figure not found in that data. It is not investment advice; verify figures on the linked tabs before making decisions.

Related: STKS income statement, STKS balance sheet, STKS key metrics, STKS analyst forecast, STKS chart. See the STKS stock overview for the latest quote and news.

STKS AI stock analysis FAQ

What brands does The ONE Group Hospitality operate?

The company operates restaurant venues primarily under the STK and Kona Grill brands, encompassing 25 STK locations and 24 Kona Grills, as well as 14 hospitality food and beverage venues.

Does STKS pay a dividend?

STKS does not currently pay a dividend.

What is STKS's debt position?

As of June 30, 2026, the company held $658.7M in total debt and $6.4M in cash and short-term investments, resulting in net debt of $652.3M and a debt-to-equity ratio of 5.56.

When does The ONE Group Hospitality report earnings next?

The company's next earnings report is scheduled for November 5, 2026.

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