1st Source Corporation (SRCE) AI Stock Analysis

NASDAQ: SRCEAI research summary: business, growth, valuation, analysts, bull and bear case.

SRCE AI stock analysis summary

AI Research

1st Source Corporation is a bank holding company for 1st Source Bank, providing consumer banking, commercial lending, and wealth management services across Indiana, Michigan, and Florida. In FY2025, revenue grew 5.2% to $600.0M while net income reached $158.3M. The company holds $1.60B in cash and short-term investments against $294.3M in total debt as of June 30, 2026.

Market cap
$2.07B
Revenue (TTM)
$442.4M
P/E
12.3x
fwd 13.7x
1Y return
52.8%
S&P 500 16.8%
Avg. target
$89.67
4.4% vs last close

Bull case

  • Quarterly earnings grew 29.3% year-over-year in the quarter ended June 30, 2026, alongside 16.0% revenue growth.
  • The company maintains a strong liquidity position with $1.60B in cash and short-term investments compared to $294.3M in total debt.
  • Shareholders have received dividends for 42 consecutive years, supported by a 5-year annualized dividend growth rate of 6.1% and a low payout ratio of 23.2%.

Bear case

  • At a forward price-to-earnings ratio of 13.7x, the stock trades at a premium to the US-listed Financial Services peer median of 10.8x.
  • Analyst consensus projects next fiscal year revenue growth to decelerate to 2.9% alongside modest EPS growth of 2.2%.
  • The company's net margin of 26.4% in FY2025 remains lower than the 33.4% net margin achieved in FY2021.

What 1st Source does

1st Source Corporation operates as the bank holding company for 1st Source Bank, offering financial services to individuals and businesses primarily across Indiana, Michigan, and Sarasota County, Florida. Consumer offerings include checking accounts, savings accounts, certificates of deposit, consumer loans, mortgages, home equity lines of credit, and mobile banking. For commercial clients, the bank delivers loans for real estate, industrial equipment, and renewable energy, as well as leasing and treasury management. It also provides wealth management, covering trust, investment, and custodial services for individuals, employee benefit plans, and charitable foundations.

Growth and profitability

Annual revenue expanded from $354.9M in FY2021 to $600.0M in FY2025, reflecting a 5-year revenue CAGR of 10.3%. Net income increased from $118.5M in FY2021 to $158.3M in FY2025, while diluted earnings per share grew from $4.69 to $6.73 over the same timeframe. Net margin stood at 26.4% in FY2025, down from 33.4% in FY2021, though gross margin recovered to 70.3% from 65.7% in FY2024. For the trailing twelve months ended June 30, 2026, revenue was $442.4M with an operating margin of 54.1% and a profit margin of 38.6%. In the latest quarter, quarterly revenue rose 16.0% year-over-year, and quarterly earnings grew 29.3%.

SRCE income statement →

Balance sheet and cash flow

As of June 30, 2026, 1st Source Corporation held $1.60B in cash and short-term investments and $294.3M in total debt, yielding net cash of $1.30B. Shareholders' equity was $1.31B against total assets of $9.26B, with a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.22 and a current ratio of 0.51. In FY2025, operating cash flow reached $223.1M and free cash flow was $213.0M. Capital expenditures totaled $10.1M, while capital return included $13.9M in share buybacks and $38.4M in dividends paid.

SRCE balance sheet →

Valuation and performance

At $85.91 per share, 1st Source Corporation trades at a trailing price-to-earnings multiple of 12.3x and a forward multiple of 13.7x, compared to medians of 12.1x and 10.8x for its US-listed Financial Services peers. Its price-to-sales ratio of 4.7x exceeds the peer median of 3.2x, while price-to-book stands at 1.6x and PEG is 1.37. The stock gained 52.8% over the past year and 103.1% over five years, outperforming the S&P 500 ETF (SPY) returns of 16.8% and 83.0% over the corresponding periods.

SRCE key metrics →

SRCE dividend

The company pays a quarterly dividend with an annualized forward payout of $1.68 per share, representing a dividend yield of 1.96%. Its payout ratio is 23.2%, and dividends have been paid for 42 consecutive years. Over the past five years, dividend growth annualized at 6.1%, with the last ex-dividend date on August 4, 2026.

SRCE dividend history →

What analysts expect

Wall Street coverage consists of 1 Buy and 2 Hold ratings, with zero Sell recommendations. The mean price target of $89.67 implies 4.4% upside from the last closing price of $85.91. For the current fiscal year ending December 31, 2026, consensus estimates project revenue of $468.8M and EPS of $7.24, representing 7.4% EPS growth. The company beat EPS estimates in 3 of the last 4 quarters, and its next earnings date is October 22, 2026.

SRCE forecast and price target →

Key risks and what to watch

  • The current ratio of 0.51 reflects potential short-term liquidity constraints despite substantial cash reserves.
  • Annual revenue growth moderated from 31.8% in FY2023 and 12.4% in FY2024 to 5.2% in FY2025.
  • Short interest stands at 5.0% of float, indicating lingering bearish sentiment among market participants.

AI-generated research summary. Written with AI from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 and checked so every figure matches that data. For information only, not investment advice. Disclaimer

About this SRCE AI stock analysis

This page is an AI-written research summary of 1st Source Corporation (SRCE). The text was generated on October 30, 2026 from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 (company profile, annual results, latest balance sheet, valuation, price performance and analyst estimates). An automatic check rejects any draft that contains a figure not found in that data. It is not investment advice; verify figures on the linked tabs before making decisions.

Related: SRCE income statement, SRCE balance sheet, SRCE key metrics, SRCE analyst forecast, SRCE chart. See the SRCE stock overview for the latest quote and news.

SRCE AI stock analysis FAQ

What is 1st Source Corporation's dividend yield and track record?

1st Source Corporation offers a forward dividend yield of 1.96% with an annual dividend of $1.68 per share. It has paid dividends for 42 consecutive years and maintains a payout ratio of 23.2%.

How much debt does 1st Source Corporation carry?

As of June 30, 2026, the company reported total debt of $294.3M against $1.60B in cash and short-term investments, resulting in net cash of $1.30B and a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.22.

How does SRCE's valuation compare to its financial sector peers?

SRCE trades at a forward P/E of 13.7x and a price-to-sales ratio of 4.7x, both above the US-listed Financial Services peer medians of 10.8x and 3.2x, respectively.

When is 1st Source Corporation's next earnings report?

The company's next earnings release is scheduled for October 22, 2026, following 3 EPS beats over the trailing 4 quarters.

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