Suburban Propane Partners, L.P. (SPH) AI Stock Analysis

NYSE: SPHAI research summary: business, growth, valuation, analysts, bull and bear case.

SPH AI stock analysis summary

AI Research

Suburban Propane Partners, L.P. (SPH) is a retail distributor of propane, fuel oil, and refined fuels serving approximately 1.0 million customers across 42 states. In FY2025, revenue grew 7.9% to $1.43B while net income reached $106.6M. The partnership offers a forward dividend yield of 7.44% but operates with a high total debt of $1.33B against $5.0M in cash.

Market cap
$1.17B
Revenue (TTM)
$1.39B
P/E
9.1x
fwd 16.6x
1Y return
1.3%
S&P 500 16.8%
Avg. target
$17.00
-2.7% vs last close

Bull case

  • Units trade at a discount to the US-listed Utilities peer group median on both trailing P/E (9.1x vs. 20.6x) and EV/EBITDA (8.9x vs. 12.1x).
  • The partnership provides an attractive forward dividend yield of 7.44% backed by 31 consecutive years of distribution payments.
  • Free cash flow generation remained positive at $114.3M in FY2025, adequately covering the $84.2M in dividends paid.

Bear case

  • The balance sheet is leveraged with $1.33B in total debt and only $5.0M in cash, resulting in a current ratio of 0.78.
  • Trailing twelve-month operating margin compressed to 0.8%, well below the US-listed Utilities peer median of 22.6%.
  • Dividend growth has been negative over the long term, contracting at an annualized rate of 6.3% over 5 years.

What Suburban Propane Partners does

Suburban Propane Partners, L.P. operates as a retail marketer and distributor of propane, renewable propane, fuel oil, and refined fuels across the United States. The partnership operates through four primary segments: Propane, Fuel Oil and Refined Fuels, Natural Gas and Electricity, and All Other. Its Propane segment supplies fuel for residential space heating, water heating, cooking, motor fuel, and industrial cutting gas. The Fuel Oil and Refined Fuels unit distributes fuel oil, diesel, kerosene, and gasoline. It also markets natural gas and electricity in deregulated markets in New York and Pennsylvania, and installs and services home comfort heating equipment across a network of 700 locations.

Growth and profitability

Suburban Propane generated $1.43B in revenue in FY2025, recovering 7.9% after revenue declined 4.8% in FY2023 to $1.43B and fell 7.1% in FY2024 to $1.33B. Net income in FY2025 totaled $106.6M with diluted EPS of $1.91, up from $74.2M and EPS of $1.68 in FY2024. Over the 5-year period from FY2020 to FY2025, revenue posted a CAGR of 5.3%. Operating margin stood at 14.4% in FY2025 compared to 16.5% in FY2021. For the trailing twelve months ended June 30, 2026, revenue was $1.39B with an operating margin of 0.8%. In the latest quarter, quarterly revenue grew 0.5% year-over-year while quarterly earnings declined 1.9%.

SPH income statement →

Balance sheet and cash flow

As of June 30, 2026, Suburban Propane held $5.0M in cash and short-term investments against $1.33B in total debt, resulting in net debt of $1.32B. The partnership carries a debt-to-equity ratio of 1.86 and a current ratio of 0.78, with shareholders' equity at $713.0M. During FY2025, operating cash flow reached $186.3M and free cash flow was $114.3M. Cash outflows included $72.0M in capital expenditures and $84.2M paid in dividends, alongside $23.5M raised through share issuance.

SPH balance sheet →

Valuation and performance

Suburban Propane trades at a trailing P/E of 9.1x and a forward P/E of 16.6x, compared to medians of 20.6x and 17.2x, respectively, for its US-listed Utilities peer group. Its EV/EBITDA of 8.9x and price-to-sales ratio of 0.8x also sit below the peer group medians of 12.1x and 2.4x. SPH units have lagged broader equity benchmarks, gaining 1.3% over the past year and 58.8% over five years, compared to returns of 16.8% and 83.0% for the S&P 500 (SPY).

SPH key metrics →

SPH dividend

SPH pays a quarterly distribution totaling an annual forward dividend of $1.30 per unit, representing a dividend yield of 7.44%. The payout ratio stands at 65.7%, supported by 31 consecutive years of payments. However, the annualized 5-year dividend growth rate declined 6.3%. The most recent ex-dividend date occurred on August 4, 2026.

SPH dividend history →

What analysts expect

Wall Street coverage includes 2 analysts, consisting of 1 Strong Buy and 1 Strong Sell rating. The mean price target is $17.00, representing a 2.7% discount to the last close of $17.48. Consensus forecasts estimate FY2026 revenue of $1.40B and EPS of $1.93, with FY2027 revenue projected at $1.45B. The company beat EPS estimates in 1 of the last 4 quarters, and the next earnings date is November 12, 2026.

SPH forecast and price target →

Key risks and what to watch

  • Liquidity is constrained with a current ratio of 0.78 and cash reserves of just $5.0M as of June 30, 2026.
  • A debt-to-equity ratio of 1.86 leaves the business sensitive to financing costs on its $1.32B in net debt.
  • Quarterly earnings growth was negative at -1.9% in the latest quarter ended June 30, 2026, while analysts have beaten estimates in only 1 of the last 4 quarters.

AI-generated research summary. Written with AI from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 and checked so every figure matches that data. For information only, not investment advice. Disclaimer

About this SPH AI stock analysis

This page is an AI-written research summary of Suburban Propane Partners, L.P. (SPH). The text was generated on October 30, 2026 from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 (company profile, annual results, latest balance sheet, valuation, price performance and analyst estimates). An automatic check rejects any draft that contains a figure not found in that data. It is not investment advice; verify figures on the linked tabs before making decisions.

Related: SPH income statement, SPH balance sheet, SPH key metrics, SPH analyst forecast, SPH chart. See the SPH stock overview for the latest quote and news.

SPH AI stock analysis FAQ

What is SPH's dividend yield and payout track record?

SPH provides an annual forward dividend of $1.30 per unit, which equates to a 7.44% dividend yield. The partnership has paid distributions for 31 consecutive years and maintains a payout ratio of 65.7%.

How does SPH's valuation compare to utilities peers?

SPH trades at a trailing P/E of 9.1x and an EV/EBITDA of 8.9x. Both multiples are lower than the US-listed Utilities peer group medians of 20.6x and 12.1x, respectively.

What is SPH's debt and liquidity position?

As of June 30, 2026, SPH reported $5.0M in cash and short-term investments against $1.33B in total debt, leading to a debt-to-equity ratio of 1.86 and a current ratio of 0.78.

What are analysts forecasting for SPH?

Analysts project FY2026 revenue of $1.40B and EPS of $1.93, followed by FY2027 revenue of $1.45B and EPS of $2.08. The average price target of $17.00 is 2.7% below the last closing price of $17.48.

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