Atmos Energy Corporation (ATO) AI Stock Analysis
ATO AI stock analysis summary
AI ResearchAtmos Energy Corporation is a regulated natural gas distribution and pipeline utility serving approximately 3.3 million customers across eight states. In the trailing twelve months, the company generated $4.92B in revenue with an operating margin of 37.2%. It supports an enterprise value of $36.21B and carries a forward dividend yield of 2.39%.
- Market cap
- $28.28B
- Revenue (TTM)
- $4.92B
- P/E
- 19.9x fwd 17.6x
- 1Y return
- -2.9% S&P 500 16.8%
- Avg. target
- $184.55 10.3% vs last close
Bull case
- Trailing twelve-month operating margin reached 37.2%, surpassing the S&P 500 Utilities peer median of 23.0%.
- Net income steadily expanded from $665.6M in FY2021 to $1.20B in FY2025, driving EPS to $7.49.
- The company maintains a track record of 42 consecutive years of dividend payments with a 9.0% five-year annualized growth rate.
Bear case
- Capital expenditures of $3.56B exceeded operating cash flow of $2.05B in FY2025, generating free cash flow of -$1.51B.
- Total debt reached $10.26B as of June 30, 2026, alongside a current ratio of 0.81.
- Shareholder dilution has occurred over time, with the share count increasing 26.7% over the past 5 years.
What Atmos Energy does
Headquartered in Dallas, Texas, Atmos Energy Corporation operates in regulated natural gas distribution, pipeline, and storage markets across the United States. Established in 1906, the company operates through two segments: Distribution and Pipeline and Storage. The Distribution segment provides regulated natural gas sales and delivery to approximately 3.3 million residential, commercial, industrial, and public authority customers across eight states through 73,243 miles of mains. The Pipeline and Storage segment operates 5,652 miles of gas transmission lines and five underground storage reservoirs in Texas, transporting gas for third parties and offering ancillary storage services.
Growth and profitability
Between FY2021 and FY2025, Atmos Energy increased annual revenue from $3.41B to $4.70B, recording a five-year revenue CAGR of 10.8%. Annual net income grew from $665.6M in FY2021 to $1.20B in FY2025, lifting EPS from $5.16 to $7.49. Although revenue fell 2.6% in FY2024, it rebounded 12.9% in FY2025 with an operating margin of 33.2% and a net margin of 25.5%. For the trailing twelve months ended June 30, 2026, revenue was $4.92B with an operating margin of 37.2% and a profit margin of 28.5%. In the latest quarter, revenue grew 4.8% year-over-year while quarterly earnings expanded 23.3%.
Balance sheet and cash flow
As of June 30, 2026, Atmos Energy held $525.8M in cash and short-term investments against total debt of $10.26B, resulting in net debt of $9.73B. The current ratio stood at 0.81, and debt-to-equity was 0.67 on shareholders' equity of $15.26B. During FY2025, operating cash flow reached $2.05B, while capital expenditures totaled $3.56B, leading to free cash flow of -$1.51B. Capital funding during FY2025 included $713.7M from share issuance, alongside $553.8M distributed in dividends.
Valuation and performance
Atmos Energy trades at a trailing P/E of 19.9x, below the 21.0x median of its S&P 500 Utilities peers. However, its forward P/E of 17.6x and EV/EBITDA of 13.6x sit above the peer medians of 16.0x and 12.2x, respectively. The company's price-to-sales multiple is 5.7x, compared to the peer median of 2.9x. Over the past year, the stock returned -2.9%, trailing the S&P 500 return of 16.8%. Over five years, the stock gained 103.6% compared to 83.0% for the S&P 500.
ATO dividend
Atmos Energy provides an annual forward dividend of $4.00 per share, reflecting a 2.39% dividend yield and a payout ratio of 47.6%. The company has paid dividends for 42 consecutive years and increased them at a five-year annualized rate of 9.0%. Its last ex-dividend date was August 24, 2026.
What analysts expect
Wall Street coverage includes 2 Strong Buy ratings and 12 Hold ratings, with no Buy, Sell, or Strong Sell recommendations. The mean price target of $184.55 implies a 10.3% upside compared to the last close of $167.34. For the current fiscal year ending September 30, 2026, consensus estimates project EPS of $8.46 on revenue of $5.12B. Atmos Energy beat EPS expectations in 3 of the last 4 quarters, with next earnings scheduled for November 4, 2026.
Key risks and what to watch
- Net debt of $9.73B requires substantial operating cash flow to manage ongoing leverage and interest costs.
- Persistent negative free cash flow, including -$1.51B in FY2025, keeps the company reliant on external debt and equity financing.
- Valuation multiples such as forward P/E of 17.6x and EV/EBITDA of 13.6x sit above the S&P 500 Utilities peer medians of 16.0x and 12.2x.
- A 1-year return of -2.9% significantly lagged the broader S&P 500 return of 16.8%.
AI-generated research summary. Written with AI from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 and checked so every figure matches that data. For information only, not investment advice. Disclaimer
About this ATO AI stock analysis
This page is an AI-written research summary of Atmos Energy Corporation (ATO). The text was generated on October 30, 2026 from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 (company profile, annual results, latest balance sheet, valuation, price performance and analyst estimates). An automatic check rejects any draft that contains a figure not found in that data. It is not investment advice; verify figures on the linked tabs before making decisions.
Related: ATO income statement, ATO balance sheet, ATO key metrics, ATO analyst forecast, ATO chart. See the ATO stock overview for the latest quote and news.
ATO AI stock analysis FAQ
Does Atmos Energy pay a dividend?
Yes, Atmos Energy pays a quarterly dividend with an annual forward payout of $4.00 per share, yielding 2.39%. It has paid consecutive dividends for 42 years with a payout ratio of 47.6%.
What are analysts forecasting for ATO?
Analysts maintain 2 Strong Buy and 12 Hold ratings, with a mean price target of $184.55, representing a 10.3% upside to the $167.34 close. Current fiscal year estimates project EPS of $8.46 on revenue of $5.12B.
What does Atmos Energy's debt profile look like?
As of June 30, 2026, Atmos Energy carried $10.26B in total debt and $525.8M in cash, resulting in net debt of $9.73B. Its debt-to-equity ratio was 0.67, with a current ratio of 0.81.
How fast has Atmos Energy grown revenue?
Atmos Energy produced a five-year revenue CAGR of 10.8% through FY2025, growing revenue from $3.41B in FY2021 to $4.70B in FY2025. In the latest quarter ended June 30, 2026, quarterly revenue rose 4.8% year-over-year.