UGI Corporation (UGI) AI Stock Analysis

NYSE: UGIAI research summary: business, growth, valuation, analysts, bull and bear case.

UGI AI stock analysis summary

AI Research

UGI Corporation is an energy distribution and marketing company operating regulated gas utilities, midstream infrastructure, and propane businesses. In FY2025, revenue grew 1.1% to $7.29B with a net income of $678.0M, but its trailing twelve months operating margin stood at -2.5%. The stock trades at a trailing P/E of 12.8x with a forward dividend yield of 3.90%.

Market cap
$8.24B
Revenue (TTM)
$7.30B
P/E
12.8x
fwd 7.7x
1Y return
24.5%
S&P 500 16.8%
Avg. target
$43.25
12.5% vs last close

Bull case

  • Analyst sentiment is positive with 3 Strong Buy ratings, 1 Buy, and a mean price target of $43.25 that sits 12.5% above the last closing price.
  • The stock trades at a forward P/E of 7.7x and an EV to EBITDA of 8.2x, lower than the US-listed Utilities peer medians of 17.2x and 12.1x.
  • UGI offers an established income profile with 41 consecutive years of dividend payments and a forward yield of 3.90%.

Bear case

  • Trailing twelve months operating margin is negative at -2.5%, well below the US-listed Utilities peer median of 22.6%.
  • Current fiscal year EPS is projected to decline 15.7% to $2.80 from $3.32 reported in FY2025.
  • The balance sheet carries $6.71B in total debt and $6.24B in net debt, resulting in a debt-to-equity ratio of 1.29.

What UGI does

UGI Corporation, headquartered in King of Prussia, Pennsylvania, operates globally through its subsidiaries to distribute, store, transport, and market energy products and related services. The company is organized into four main segments: AmeriGas Propane, UGI International, Midstream & Marketing, and UGI Utilities. AmeriGas distributes propane to approximately 1.3 million customers via 1,400 distribution locations. UGI International supplies liquefied petroleum gases across European markets. Midstream & Marketing manages pipeline and storage contracts, infrastructure, and electric generation powered by coal, landfill gas, solar, and natural gas. UGI Utilities supplies natural gas to 677,000 customers through about 12,500 miles of gas mains and 2,560 miles of electric lines.

Growth and profitability

Between FY2020 and FY2025, UGI achieved a 5-year revenue compound annual growth rate of 2.1%. Top-line results expanded to $10.11B in FY2022 before declining to $8.93B in FY2023 and $7.21B in FY2024. In FY2025, revenue rebounded by 1.1% to $7.29B, while operating margin reached 15.2% and net income totaled $678.0M, or $3.32 per share. Over the trailing twelve months, revenue was $7.30B with an operating margin of -2.5% and a net profit margin of 9.2%. For the latest quarter ended June 30, 2026, quarterly revenue fell 4.5% year-over-year, while quarterly earnings grew 6.4%.

UGI income statement →

Balance sheet and cash flow

As of June 30, 2026, UGI held $476.0M in cash and short-term investments against total debt of $6.71B, resulting in net debt of $6.24B. Shareholders' equity was $5.21B, yielding a debt-to-equity ratio of 1.29 and a current ratio of 1.44. In FY2025, operating cash flow was $1.23B, while capital expenditures reached $837.0M, producing free cash flow of $390.0M. The company allocated capital toward $322.0M in dividends paid and $33.0M in share buybacks during FY2025.

UGI balance sheet →

Valuation and performance

UGI closed at $38.43 on October 16, 2026, giving it a market capitalization of $8.24B and an enterprise value of $14.48B. The stock trades at a trailing P/E of 12.8x and a forward P/E of 7.7x, both below the median of its US-listed Utilities peers of 20.6x and 17.2x, respectively. Its enterprise value to EBITDA ratio is 8.2x compared to the peer median of 12.1x. Over the past year, UGI's return of 24.5% outperformed the S&P 500 (SPY) return of 16.8%, though its 5-year return of 10.1% lagged the index's 83.0% gain.

UGI key metrics →

UGI dividend

UGI pays a forward annual dividend of $1.50 per share, representing a dividend yield of 3.90% and a payout ratio of 51.7%. The dividend is paid quarterly and has been distributed for 41 consecutive years. Over the past five years, dividend growth has been 2.7% annualized, with the last ex-dividend date on September 15, 2026.

UGI dividend history →

What analysts expect

Four analysts cover UGI, with 3 Strong Buy ratings, 1 Buy, and no Hold or Sell recommendations. The mean price target is $43.25, representing a 12.5% premium to the last close of $38.43. For the fiscal year ending September 30, 2026, consensus estimates project EPS of $2.80 on revenue of $7.34B. For the following fiscal year, 4 analysts forecast EPS of $3.22 and revenue of $7.75B. The company beat EPS estimates in 2 of the last 4 quarters, with next earnings scheduled for November 19, 2026.

UGI forecast and price target →

Key risks and what to watch

  • Revenue in the latest quarter ending June 30, 2026, declined 4.5% year-over-year.
  • Short interest stands at 7.0% of the float, reflecting negative bets on the stock.
  • Capital expenditures of $837.0M in FY2025 consumed a significant portion of the $1.23B in operating cash flow.

AI-generated research summary. Written with AI from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 and checked so every figure matches that data. For information only, not investment advice. Disclaimer

About this UGI AI stock analysis

This page is an AI-written research summary of UGI Corporation (UGI). The text was generated on October 30, 2026 from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 (company profile, annual results, latest balance sheet, valuation, price performance and analyst estimates). An automatic check rejects any draft that contains a figure not found in that data. It is not investment advice; verify figures on the linked tabs before making decisions.

Related: UGI income statement, UGI balance sheet, UGI key metrics, UGI analyst forecast, UGI chart. See the UGI stock overview for the latest quote and news.

UGI AI stock analysis FAQ

What dividend does UGI pay?

UGI pays a quarterly dividend totaling an annualized $1.50 per share, which corresponds to a 3.90% dividend yield and a 51.7% payout ratio. The company has paid dividends for 41 consecutive years.

What are analysts' price targets for UGI?

The mean analyst price target for UGI is $43.25, which is 12.5% above its October 16, 2026 closing price of $38.43. All four covering analysts rate the stock either a Strong Buy or Buy.

How leveraged is UGI's balance sheet?

As of June 30, 2026, UGI held $476.0M in cash and short-term investments against $6.71B in total debt, leading to net debt of $6.24B and a debt-to-equity ratio of 1.29.

When is UGI's next earnings report?

UGI Corporation is scheduled to report its next earnings on November 19, 2026.

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