Southwest Gas Holdings, Inc. (SWX) AI Stock Analysis
SWX AI stock analysis summary
AI ResearchSouthwest Gas Holdings, Inc. (SWX) distributes and transports natural gas across Arizona, Nevada, and California. In FY2025, revenue was $1.94B with net income of $439.8M, while operating margin expanded to 24.4%. Over the trailing twelve months, the company generated $1.74B in revenue with diluted EPS of $4.00.
- Market cap
- $6.34B
- Revenue (TTM)
- $1.74B
- P/E
- 21.9x fwd 17.4x
- 1Y return
- 16.1% S&P 500 16.8%
- Avg. target
- $99.78 14.1% vs last close
Bull case
- Analysts maintain a positive outlook with 8 Strong Buy and 2 Buy ratings alongside a mean price target of $99.78.
- Trailing twelve months profit margin reached 31.4%, and quarterly earnings grew 20.9% year-over-year in the period ended June 30, 2026.
- The company provides long-term dividend consistency with 42 consecutive years of payouts and a forward yield of 2.95%.
Bear case
- Free cash flow has been negative in four of the last five reported fiscal years, finishing at -$251.8M in FY2025.
- Annual revenue contracted 62.0% in FY2025 to $1.94B, contributing to a 5-year revenue CAGR of -10.1%.
- Southwest Gas Holdings recorded 0 EPS beats over the last 4 quarters.
What Southwest Gas does
Headquartered in Las Vegas, Nevada, Southwest Gas Holdings, Inc. oversees the distribution and transportation of natural gas across Arizona, Nevada, and California through its subsidiaries. Established in 1931, the company operates across three primary segments: Natural Gas Distribution, Utility Infrastructure Services, and Pipeline and Storage. Beyond natural gas distribution, it provides comprehensive services such as trenching, installation, replacement of underground pipes, and maintenance for energy distribution systems. As of December 31, 2021, its infrastructure served a customer base of 2,159,000 across residential, commercial, industrial, and other natural gas categories.
Growth and profitability
Revenue shifted from $3.68B in FY2021 to a peak of $5.43B in FY2023, before declining to $5.11B in FY2024 and falling 62.0% to $1.94B in FY2025. Across the five-year period from FY2020 to FY2025, revenue posted a compound annual growth rate of -10.1%. Net income stood at $200.8M in FY2021, dipped to -$203.3M in FY2022, and reached $439.8M in FY2025, when gross margin expanded to 29.3% and operating margin rose to 24.4%. For the latest quarter ended June 30, 2026, quarterly revenue fell 9.6% year-over-year, while quarterly earnings grew 20.9% year-over-year. TTM revenue reached $1.74B with an operating margin of 24.2% and EPS of $4.00.
Balance sheet and cash flow
As of June 30, 2026, Southwest Gas Holdings held $270.5M in cash and short-term investments alongside total debt of $3.51B, yielding net debt of $3.24B. Shareholders' equity was $4.13B, supported by total assets of $10.48B. The company maintained a current ratio of 1.12 and a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.85. In FY2025, operating cash flow stood at $556.1M, capital expenditures were $807.9M, and free cash flow was -$251.8M. Cash uses in FY2025 also included $178.5M in dividends paid, while share issuance brought in $19.7M.
Valuation and performance
At a last close of $87.45, Southwest Gas Holdings traded at a trailing P/E of 21.9x and a forward P/E of 17.4x, compared to the median of its US-listed Utilities peers of 20.6x and 17.2x, respectively. Its enterprise value to EBITDA ratio was 10.3x, below the peer median of 12.1x, while its price-to-sales of 3.6x stood above the peer median of 2.4x. Over the past year, the stock returned 16.1%, trailing the S&P 500's 16.8% return. Over five years, its 51.0% return trailed the S&P 500's 83.0% gain.
SWX dividend
Southwest Gas Holdings pays a quarterly dividend with a forward annual payout of $2.58 per share, representing a dividend yield of 2.95%. The company has paid consecutive dividends for 42 years, with a 5-year annualized dividend growth rate of 1.9%. Its payout ratio is 67.6%, and the last ex-dividend date was November 16, 2026.
What analysts expect
Analyst coverage includes 8 Strong Buy ratings and 2 Buy ratings, with zero Hold, Sell, or Strong Sell recommendations. The mean price target of $99.78 implies 14.1% upside compared to the last close of $87.45. For the current fiscal year ending December 31, 2026, consensus estimates project EPS of $4.26 on revenue of $1.92B. Over the last four quarters, the company recorded 0 EPS beats. The next earnings date is November 4, 2026.
Key risks and what to watch
- Total debt of $3.51B and net debt of $3.24B create substantial leverage obligations relative to cash of $270.5M.
- In the quarter ended June 30, 2026, quarterly revenue fell 9.6% year-over-year, underperforming the peer median growth rate of 4.2%.
- A dividend payout ratio of 67.6% on an annual payout of $2.58 restricts capital flexibility amid negative free cash flow of -$251.8M in FY2025.
AI-generated research summary. Written with AI from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 and checked so every figure matches that data. For information only, not investment advice. Disclaimer
About this SWX AI stock analysis
This page is an AI-written research summary of Southwest Gas Holdings, Inc. (SWX). The text was generated on October 30, 2026 from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 (company profile, annual results, latest balance sheet, valuation, price performance and analyst estimates). An automatic check rejects any draft that contains a figure not found in that data. It is not investment advice; verify figures on the linked tabs before making decisions.
Related: SWX income statement, SWX balance sheet, SWX key metrics, SWX analyst forecast, SWX chart. See the SWX stock overview for the latest quote and news.
SWX AI stock analysis FAQ
What is Southwest Gas Holdings' dividend yield?
Southwest Gas Holdings has a forward annual dividend of $2.58 per share, which equates to a dividend yield of 2.95% as of October 16, 2026. The company has paid dividends for 42 consecutive years.
What are analysts forecasting for Southwest Gas Holdings' earnings?
For the fiscal year ending December 31, 2026, analysts estimate EPS of $4.26, reflecting 16.8% growth, on revenue of $1.92B. For FY2027, 10 analysts estimate EPS of $5.01 on revenue of $2.04B.
How much debt does Southwest Gas Holdings carry on its balance sheet?
As of June 30, 2026, the company reported $3.51B in total debt and $270.5M in cash and short-term investments, resulting in net debt of $3.24B. Its debt-to-equity ratio was 0.85.
How does Southwest Gas Holdings' valuation compare to its utility peers?
Southwest Gas Holdings trades at a forward P/E of 17.4x and an EV to EBITDA ratio of 10.3x. In comparison, the median for its US-listed Utilities peers is 17.2x for forward P/E and 12.1x for EV to EBITDA.