SmartFinancial, Inc. (SMBK) AI Stock Analysis
SMBK AI stock analysis summary
AI ResearchSmartFinancial, Inc. (SMBK) is a regional bank holding company overseeing SmartBank across Tennessee, Alabama, and Florida. The company generated $316.4M in FY2025 revenue with a 5-year revenue CAGR of 18.9%, alongside trailing twelve-month net income margin of 28.1%. Its shares closed at $50.84, delivering a 49.6% one-year return.
- Market cap
- $869.3M
- Revenue (TTM)
- $204.2M
- P/E
- 15.0x fwd 14.1x
- 1Y return
- 49.6% S&P 500 16.8%
- Avg. target
- $52.88 4.0% vs last close
Bull case
- FY2025 net income reached $50.3M with EPS rising to $3.03, continuing momentum into the latest quarter with 39.1% year-over-year quarterly earnings growth.
- The balance sheet is supported by $532.5M in net cash, $642.9M in cash and short-term investments, and a low debt-to-equity ratio of 0.19 as of June 30, 2026.
- Earnings execution has been consistent, with EPS beating analyst expectations in all 4 of the last 4 quarters.
Bear case
- SmartFinancial trades at a premium forward P/E of 14.1x and price-to-sales of 4.3x compared to its US-listed Financial Services peer medians of 10.8x and 3.2x.
- Gross margin has compressed significantly over time, declining from 91.0% in FY2021 to 61.0% in FY2025.
- The consensus mean price target of $52.88 offers limited implied upside of 4.0% relative to the last close of $50.84.
What SmartFinancial does
SmartFinancial, Inc. is a bank holding company that oversees SmartBank, providing financial services to individual and corporate clients. Headquartered in Knoxville, Tennessee, it operates across Commercial Real Estate, Consumer Real Estate, Construction and Land Development, Commercial and Industrial, and Consumer and Other segments. Deposit products include checking, savings, money market accounts, time deposits, IRAs, and CDs. Its lending portfolio covers commercial and residential real estate, construction, commercial and industrial, and consumer loans. It also provides wealth management, insurance, mortgage origination, and digital banking platforms. As of March 1, 2022, it operated 41 full-service branches and 2 loan production offices across East and Middle Tennessee, Alabama, and the Florida Panhandle.
Growth and profitability
Annual revenue rose from $149.2M in FY2021 to $316.4M in FY2025, reflecting a 5-year revenue CAGR of 18.9%. In FY2025, revenue increased 10.9%, while net income expanded to $50.3M and EPS reached $3.03, up from $36.1M and $2.06 respectively in FY2024. Operating margin stood at 19.4% in FY2025 compared to 15.9% in FY2024, though gross margin of 61.0% remains lower than the 91.0% recorded in FY2021. For the trailing twelve months ended June 30, 2026, revenue stood at $204.2M with an operating margin of 41.7% and a profit margin of 28.1%. In the latest quarter, quarterly revenue grew 16.4% year-over-year while quarterly earnings rose 39.1%.
Balance sheet and cash flow
As of June 30, 2026, SmartFinancial held $642.9M in cash and short-term investments against total debt of $110.4M, resulting in net cash of $532.5M. Total assets stood at $6.12B, with shareholders' equity of $576.8M and a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.19. The current ratio was 260.57. During FY2025, operating cash flow reached $61.7M and free cash flow was $59.3M. The company used cash for $2.4M in capital expenditures and paid $5.5M in dividends.
Valuation and performance
At $50.84, SmartFinancial trades at a trailing P/E of 15.0x and a forward P/E of 14.1x, which compares to the median of its US-listed Financial Services peers of 12.1x trailing and 10.8x forward. Its price-to-sales multiple is 4.3x versus the peer median of 3.2x, while its price-to-book ratio is 1.5x. SmartFinancial's stock generated a 1-year return of 49.6% and a 5-year return of 107.6%, outperforming the SPY returns of 16.8% and 83.0% over the same periods.
SMBK dividend
SmartFinancial pays a quarterly dividend with an annualized forward payout of $0.34 per share, translating to a dividend yield of 0.67%. Its payout ratio is 9.9%. The company has paid consecutive dividends for 8 years, achieving a 5-year annualized dividend growth rate of 9.9%. The last ex-dividend date was July 31, 2026.
What analysts expect
SmartFinancial carries 2 Strong Buy and 4 Hold ratings from analysts, with no Buy, Sell, or Strong Sell recommendations. The mean price target is $52.88, representing 4.0% above the last close of $50.84. For the fiscal year ending December 31, 2026, consensus estimates project revenue of $226.7M and EPS of $3.74, a 23.3% increase in EPS. The company beat EPS estimates in each of the last 4 quarters, with its next earnings date scheduled for October 19, 2026.
Key risks and what to watch
- Consensus FY2026 revenue of $226.7M is below the $316.4M achieved in FY2025, which warrants tracking of top-line trends.
- Gross margins dropped from 91.0% in FY2021 to 61.0% in FY2025, indicating potential shifts in funding or interest costs.
- The stock is trading 14.3% above its 200-day moving average and near its 52-week high of $54.14, raising sensitivity to earnings misses.
- Short interest accounts for 4.0% of the float, representing modest negative sentiment.
AI-generated research summary. Written with AI from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 and checked so every figure matches that data. For information only, not investment advice. Disclaimer
About this SMBK AI stock analysis
This page is an AI-written research summary of SmartFinancial, Inc. (SMBK). The text was generated on October 30, 2026 from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 (company profile, annual results, latest balance sheet, valuation, price performance and analyst estimates). An automatic check rejects any draft that contains a figure not found in that data. It is not investment advice; verify figures on the linked tabs before making decisions.
Related: SMBK income statement, SMBK balance sheet, SMBK key metrics, SMBK analyst forecast, SMBK chart. See the SMBK stock overview for the latest quote and news.
SMBK AI stock analysis FAQ
What was SmartFinancial's revenue and net income in FY2025?
In FY2025, SmartFinancial reported revenue of $316.4M, up 10.9% year-over-year, and net income of $50.3M, yielding diluted EPS of $3.03.
Does SmartFinancial pay a dividend?
Yes, SmartFinancial pays a quarterly dividend with an annual forward amount of $0.34 per share, representing a 0.67% yield and a 9.9% payout ratio.
How does SmartFinancial's valuation compare to industry peers?
SmartFinancial trades at a trailing P/E of 15.0x and forward P/E of 14.1x, higher than the US-listed Financial Services peer medians of 12.1x and 10.8x, respectively.
What is the consensus analyst target price for SMBK?
The consensus mean price target for SMBK is $52.88, which is 4.0% above its last closing price of $50.84, based on 2 Strong Buy and 4 Hold ratings.